CFB Zeitgeist Score
46
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 66th percentile.
Andrew Rappleyea
One of Usas of 2026-06-22
Andrew Rappleyea is Penn State's steady hand — loved less for the stat line than for staying.
180REC YDS20REC3REC TD
4★ · NATIONAL RECRUIT
No.125
recruiting national rank
Penn State fans treat him as a favorite son; the bond outlasts the box score.
low confidence1 source
Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Penn State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Penn State
Returning around him
- 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 8 Penn State players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -11 net (37 in / 48 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Penn State · Last season: 7-6 (AP #7) · Talent rank #10 · 2026 recruiting class #15
TE · PENN STATE · BIG TEN
Andrew Rappleyea
- 2
- #87
- 6-4 | 251 lb
- Millbrook, NY
Heisman Heat
#1887
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Penn State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9441 | No. 125 recruit | HighSchool | Penn State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Penn State
Composite
0.9441
#125 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Andrew Rappleyea
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
53
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=15
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Andrew Rappleyea
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
3
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #222 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 58th
Why it matters
#222 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 3 TDs on 20 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 3 (58th)
MODERATE · n=20 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Yards per reception#467 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#510 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 at Clemson — 1 receiving_tds
Result W 22-10
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Clemson.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 8g
180Rec yards
20Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
22.5Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
292.5Rec yards
32Receptions
5Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 180): needs 104/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 180): needs 164/game over remaining 5.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 20): needs 8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 20): needs 12/game over remaining 5.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 1/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 1.4/game over remaining 5.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Andrew Rappleyea's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Penn State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
20 79th
YDS
180 74th
YPR
9.0 43rd
TD
3 91st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 46-11vs Nevada | 3 | 33 | 11.0 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 3 | W 52-6vs Villanova | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 6 | L 37-42@ UCLA | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 8 | L 24-25@ Iowa | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 11 | L 24-27vs Indiana | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 13 | W 37-10vs Nebraska | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Wk 14 | W 40-36@ Rutgers | 4 | 75 | 18.8 | 1 | 53 | Season-high 75 yds |
| Bowl | W 22-10@ Clemson | 5 | 18 | 3.6 | 1 | 11 | |
| Total | 20 | 180 | 9.0 | 3 | 53 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Penn State7-6HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Penn State | 20 | 180 | 9.0 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 20 | 180 | 9.0 | 3 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 20 | #102/475 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 180 | #126/475 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #45/475 | 91st pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.0 | #273/475 | 43rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 10.0% | #91/468 | 81st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 53 | #29/475 | 94th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.9% | #41/468 | 91st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.6% | #86/468 | 82nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 4.4% | #108/468 | 77th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.6% | #157/468 | 67th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.5% | #226/468 | 52nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 2.0% | #307/468 | 35th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 2.0 | 15.2 | 7.6 | 0.2 |
| Road4g | 3.0 | 29.8 | 10.3 | 0.5 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 2.8 | 28.2 | 9.7 | 0.6 |
| Losses3g | 2.0 | 13.0 | 7.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 2.8 | 19.0 | 8.2 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 2.2 | 26.0 | 9.8 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
46Mid-pack
Elite: long catch (85th). Concern: yards / catch (22nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Andrew RappleyeaPenn StateJack EndriesTexas· 73% simD'Andre RogersTCU· 71% simNoah MeyersWestern Kentucky· 70% sim
Long catch
Rec TDs
Receptions
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete TE
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Christopher Toudle’s 2021 season.
Christopher Toudle
74%match
#2
Camden Overton
74%
#3
Lake McRee
74%
#4
Donovan Green
73%
#5
Nick Muse
All-SECNFL Rd 7
72%
Matches Christopher on
Yards / reception
Weight
TD rate
Differs from Christopher on
Class year (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Christian Bentancur's sophomore season at Clemson (2025).
Christian Bentancur
82%match
#2
Ethan Davis
81%
#3
Walker Lyons
78%
#4
Camden Overton
76%
#5
Niko Hea
76%
Matches Christian on
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Recruiting rating
Differs from Christian on
Class year (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
James Franklin
Pass share
42.0%
339 pass / 469 run
Plays / game
62.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.4%
230 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
James Franklin
Penn State
Played his entire career under James Franklin.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMillbrook, NY
Height6'4"
Weight251 lb
Class2
PositionTE
Jersey87
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamPenn State
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Penn State | TE2 | #1887 | #1513 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Penn State | TE2 | #2574 | #2016 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Penn State | Big Ten | TE | 2 | No. 87 | 6-4 | 251 lb | Millbrook, NY |
| 2024 | Penn State | Big Ten | TE | 2 | No. 87 | 6-4 | 251 lb | Millbrook, NY |
| 2023 | Penn State | Big Ten | TE | 2 | No. 87 | 6-4 | 251 lb | Millbrook, NY |