Heisman / Players / Cade Graham /Central Michigan

Cade Graham

PK · Central Michigan · Sr · #47

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

3 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Central Michigan for 2026As of Jun 22, 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Central Michigan for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

PK · Central Michigan

Returning around him

10% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
Transfer portal: -5 net (12 in / 17 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Central Michigan · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #121 · 2026 recruiting class #113

PK · CENTRAL MICHIGAN · MID-AMERICAN

Cade Graham

4
#47
5-8 | 165 lb
Caledonia, MI

CFB Zeitgeist PK Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#16013

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP K AWARD

Lou Groza

—

CONSENSUS

All-American

—

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

Recruit

—

No recruit profile

CFB

College

Central Michigan

2025

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionPK

Class4

Jersey47

Measurements5-8 | 165 lb

HometownCaledonia, MI

Primary teamCentral Michigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive

Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player

Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable

Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable

Class	Profile	Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file

Latest destination -- --

Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context

Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD

Season	Move	Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16

Current nowcast#16013Latest modeled ballot order

Season forecast#16013Where the full season sim points

Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy

Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier

Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot

Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—

FWAA—

AFCA—

WCFF—

SN—

SI—

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Cade Graham already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #16013 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist

Role load -- Role share still loading

Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

OTHER season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level

Scrimmage yards 0 Combined rushing and receiving

Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns

Usage -- Role share still loading

Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.

Balanced profile

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	FGM/FGA	LONG	XP	PTS
Wk 1	W 16-14@ San José State	3/4	34	1/1	10
Wk 2	L 17-45@ Pittsburgh	1/1	41	2/2	5
Wk 3	L 3-63@ Michigan	1/1	22	0/0	3
Wk 4	W 49-10vs Wagner	0/0	0	7/7	7
Wk 5	W 24-13vs Eastern Michigan	1/2	22	3/3	6
Wk 6	L 22-28@ Akron	3/3	47	1/1	10
Wk 8	W 27-6@ Bowling Green	2/2	47	3/3	9
Wk 9	W 38-13vs Massachusetts	1/1	29	5/5	8
Wk 10	L 21-24@ Western Michigan	0/0	0	3/3	3
Wk 12	W 38-19vs Buffalo	1/1	32	5/5	8
Wk 13	W 28-16@ Kent State	0/0	0	4/4	4
Wk 14	L 3-21vs Toledo	1/1	28	0/0	3
Bowl	L 7-34@ Northwestern	0/1	0	1/1	1
Total		14/17	47	—	77

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Central Michigan7-6HC: Matt Drinkall · Run-heavy, slow tempo

Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Open full stat explorer

Group	Metric	Value	Rank	Pct	Why it matters
Defense	Total tackles	3	#31/388	92nd pct	Volumevs FBS peers
Defense	Solo tackles	2	#25/282	91st pct	Volumevs FBS peers
Defense	Sacks	0.0	#15/390	96th pct	Disruptionvs FBS peers
Defense	TFL	0.0	#20/390	95th pct	Disruptionvs FBS peers
Kicking	Kicking points	77	#80/221	64th pct	Scoringvs FBS peers
Kicking	Kicking LONG	47	#112/175	37th pct	Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking	Kicking XPA	35	#74/213	66th pct	Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking	Kicking XPM	35	#73/213	66th pct	Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking	Kicking FGA	17	#83/188	56th pct	Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking	FG made	14	#70/175	61st pct	Scoringvs FBS peers
Kicking	FG %	82.4%	#57/175	68th pct	Efficiencyvs FBS peers

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

The Groza award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home5g	—	—	—	—
Road8g	—	—	—	—

Win vs Loss

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Wins7g	—	—	—	—
Losses6g	—	—	—	—

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-77g	—	—	—	—
Weeks 8+6g	—	—	—	—

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

EPA / dropback—

awaiting

CPOE—

awaiting

Success rate—

awaiting

Explosive rate (20+)—

awaiting

aDOT—

awaiting

Deep-ball accuracy—

awaiting

Pressure-to-sack—

awaiting

3rd-down EPA—

awaiting

Red-zone TD rate—

awaiting

Play-action EPA—

awaiting

Scramble EPA—

awaiting

Turnover-worthy play rate—

awaiting

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Matt Drinkall

Pass share

32.2%

252 pass / 531 run

Plays / game

60.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.1%

188 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach

2025

Matt Drinkall

Central Michigan

Played his entire career under Matt Drinkall.

HometownCaledonia, MI

Height5'8"

Weight165 lb

Class4

PositionPK

Jersey47

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-MAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season	Honor	Scope	Team / Selector	Context
2025	All-MAC	all_conference	Central Michigan \| MAC	K

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season	Team	Role	Latest Model	Forecast	Win	Finalist	Official Finish	Points	Context
2024	Central Michigan	PK4	#16013	#16013	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W16 snapshot \| Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season	Team	Conference	Pos	Class	Bio
2025	Central Michigan	Mid-American	PK	4	No. 47 \| 5-8 \| 165 lb \| Caledonia, MI
2024	Central Michigan	Mid-American	PK	4	No. 47 \| 5-8 \| 165 lb \| Caledonia, MI

Cade Graham

R07 · Impact starter

Identity & Role

Recruiting Pedigree

Transfer Arc

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

The Room on Cade Graham

How rival fanbases talk about Cade Graham

Awaiting candidate metric

Why the honors trail matters

2025 Season · Final

OTHER season snapshot

What kind of player is this?

Traditional Stats

Advanced Metrics

Player Standing

Percentile Card

Advanced Savant

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Trophy Case · Detail

1 all-conference honor

Honors Timeline

Heisman By Year

Roster Timeline