cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Caden Curry /Ohio State

Caden Curry

DE · Ohio State · Sr · #92

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

66 TACKLES · 11 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Indianapolis — Rd 6, Pick 33, #214 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Indianapolis2026 NFL rookie season

#214Rd 6 · Pick 33
Indianapolis2026 NFL rookie season

DE · OHIO STATE · BIG TEN

Caden Curry

  • 4
  • #92
  • 6-3 | 260 lb
  • Greenwood, IN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

86

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 100th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3827

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Ohio State · DE

2023

Ohio State · DE

2025

Ohio State · DE

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 6, Pick 33 · #214 overall · Indianapolis

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#123 national
CFB
College
Ohio State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 &middot; #214
Indianapolis &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class4
Jersey92
Measurements6-3 | 260 lb
HometownGreenwood, IN
Primary teamOhio State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 123 recruit
Composite rating 0.9506 HighSchool
Signed with Ohio State 2022
Origin Center Grove Greenwood, IN, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9506 No. 123 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3827Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3438Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Ohio State

Composite

0.9506

#123 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 6, Pick 33

#214 overall · Indianapolis

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Caden Curry

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Caden Curry

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 14g
66Tackles
16.5Tackles for loss
11Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
1.2Tackles for loss
0.8Sacks
Final
66Tackles
16.5Tackles for loss
11Sacks

✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 11.

✓ Hit 10-sack season · finished with 11.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Caden Curry is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Ohio State's defense, with 11.0 sacks, 16.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #3827 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 123 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 66 40 solo | #316/4942 (94th pct)
TFL 16.5 Backfield disruption | #11/4972 (100th pct)
Sacks 11.0 Pass-rush finish | #9/4972 (100th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
66 94th
SOLO
40 95th
TFL
16.5 100th
SACK
11.0 100th
QBH
8 98th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 14-7vs Texas610.00.00
Wk 2W 70-0vs Grambling442.01.00
Wk 3W 37-9vs Ohio421.01.01
Wk 5W 24-6@ Washington1195.03.00Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 6W 42-3vs Minnesota420.50.00
Wk 7W 34-16@ Illinois221.01.00
Wk 8W 34-0@ Wisconsin331.01.00
Wk 10W 38-14vs Penn State310.00.00
Wk 11W 34-10@ Purdue110.00.00
Wk 12W 48-10vs UCLA511.00.00
Wk 13W 42-9vs Rutgers642.02.002 sacks
Wk 14W 27-9@ Michigan420.00.00
Wk 15L 10-13vs Indiana743.02.012 sacks
BowlL 14-24vs Miami640.00.00
Total664016.511.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Ohio State11-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced
2023Ohio State11-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced
2025Ohio State12-2HC: Ryan Day · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio State664016.511.02----
2023Ohio State953.51.51----
2022Ohio State14111.50.5------
Career3 loaded seasons895621.513.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 8 Quarterback hurries | #41/1878 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 66 #316/4942 94th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 16.5 #11/4972 100th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 11.0 #9/4972 100th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 8 #41/1878 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 40 #212/4584 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home9g5.01.10.70.2
Road5g4.21.41.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins12g4.41.10.80.1
Losses2g6.51.51.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.31.40.90.1
Weeks 8+7g4.11.00.70.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

86All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (99th). Strength: tackles for loss (99th).

Sacks#9 / 2975 · 100th pct
11.0defe
Tackles for loss#11 / 2975 · 100th pct
16.5defe
QB hurries#41 / 2975 · 98th pct
8defe
Solo tackles#212 / 2975 · 92nd pct
40defe
Tackles#316 / 2975 · 89th pct
66defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Caden CurryOhio StateMac HarrisSouth Florida· 95% simKaleb Elarms-OrrTCU· 94% simKeyshaun ElliottArizona State· 94% sim
Sacks
100
Curry
97
Harris
93
Elarms-Orr
98
Elliott
Tackles for loss
100
Curry
91
Harris
97
Elarms-Orr
99
Elliott
QB hurries
98
Curry
97
Harris
95
Elarms-Orr
88
Elliott
Solo tackles
92
Curry
98
Harris
99
Elarms-Orr
98
Elliott
Tackles
89
Curry
99
Harris
100
Elarms-Orr
98
Elliott
Passes defended
67
Curry
67
Harris
67
Elarms-Orr
67
Elliott
Forced fumbles
47
Curry
47
Harris

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pure Rusher

Pins his ears back and gets home. Production lives in the sack column.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Derrick Moore’s 2024 season.

Derrick Moore

94%match

Michigan · 2024

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 12
#2

Eric Phillips

Cincinnati · 2024

90%
#3

Kameron Butler

Miami (OH) · 2021

All-MAC
83%
#4

Joe Evans

Iowa · 2022

All-Big Ten
82%
#5

Johnny Walker

Missouri · 2023

82%

Matches Derrick on

Weight
Sack rate
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Chaz Chambliss's senior season at Georgia (2024).

Chaz Chambliss

84%match

Georgia · 2024

#2

Branson Deen

Miami · 2023

82%
#3

Bryan Thomas Jr.

South Carolina · 2025

82%
#4

Tra Thomas

NC State · 2025

82%
#5

TJ Guy

Michigan · 2024

81%

Matches Chaz on

Class year
Sack rate
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Day

Pass share

47.0%

408 pass / 461 run

Plays / game

62.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.9%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Ryan Day
Ohio State
2023
Ryan Day
Ohio State
2025
Ryan Day
Ohio State

Played his entire career under Ryan Day.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGreenwood, IN
Height6'3"
Weight260 lb
Class4
PositionDE
Jersey92

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Ohio State | Big Ten DE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Ohio State DE4 #3827 #3438 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Ohio State DE4 #2632 #2568 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Ohio State DE4 #3675 #3415 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ohio State Big Ten DE 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Greenwood, IN
2024 Ohio State Big Ten DE 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Greenwood, IN
2023 Ohio State Big Ten DE 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Greenwood, IN
2022 Ohio State Big Ten DE 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Greenwood, IN