CFB Zeitgeist Score
77
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 99th percentile.
Derrick Moore
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
29 TACKLES · 9.5 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Detroit2026 NFL rookie season
EDGE · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN
CFB Zeitgeist Score
77
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 99th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#6306
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
Michigan · EDGE
—
2023
Michigan · EDGE
—
2024
Michigan · EDGE
—
2025
Michigan · EDGE
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Career Arc
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#3 in market ▲ from #5 · 4 books
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 2, Pick 12
#44 overall · Detroit
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 29): needs 51/game over remaining 1.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 29): needs 71/game over remaining 1.
✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 9.5.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 9.5): needs 0.5/game over remaining 1.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Derrick Moore is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Michigan's defense, with 9.5 sacks, 10.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
Coverage & Takeaways
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-17vs New Mexico | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | L 13-24@ Oklahoma | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 3 | W 63-3vs Central Michigan | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 30-27@ Nebraska | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | W 24-10vs Wisconsin | 5 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 13-31@ USC | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-7vs Washington | 3 | 3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | 2 sacks |
| Wk 9 | W 31-20@ Michigan State | 6 | 4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 6 tackles |
| Wk 10 | W 21-16vs Purdue | 3 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | 2 sacks |
| Wk 12 | W 24-22@ Northwestern | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | W 45-20@ Maryland | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 9-27vs Ohio State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 29 | 19 | 10.0 | 9.5 | — | 3 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 29 | #1415/4942 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 10.0 | #103/4972 | 98th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 9.5 | #15/4972 | 100th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 3 | #521/2184 | 76th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 3 | #462/1878 | 75th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 19 | #1095/4584 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 1 | #103/736 | 86th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Road6g | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Losses3g | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort
Elite: sacks (99th). Strength: tackles for loss (96th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Pins his ears back and gets home. Production lives in the sack column.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dennard Flowers’s 2022 season.
Dennard Flowers
Dayon Hayes
Ryan Henderson
Malachi Lawrence
Van Fillinger
Matches Dennard on
Differs from Dennard on
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to RJ Oben's senior season at Duke (2023).
RJ Oben
Khalid Duke
Aidan Hubbard
David Bailey
Brandon Matterson
Matches RJ on
Differs from RJ on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sherrone Moore
Pass share
40.9%
340 pass / 492 run
Plays / game
64.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.4%
256 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Jim Harbaugh → Sherrone Moore. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Big Ten
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Big Ten | all_conference | Michigan | Big Ten | DE |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Michigan | Big Ten | EDGE | 4 | No. 8 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Baltimore, MD |
| 2024 | Michigan | Big Ten | EDGE | 4 | No. 8 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Baltimore, MD |
| 2023 | Michigan | Big Ten | EDGE | 4 | No. 8 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Baltimore, MD |
| 2022 | Michigan | Big Ten | EDGE | 4 | No. 8 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Baltimore, MD |