cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Derrick Moore /Michigan

Derrick Moore

EDGE · Michigan · Sr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

29 TACKLES · 9.5 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Detroit — Rd 2, Pick 12, #44 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Detroit2026 NFL rookie season

#44Rd 2 · Pick 12
Detroit2026 NFL rookie season

EDGE · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN

Derrick Moore

  • 4
  • #8
  • 6-3 | 260 lb
  • Baltimore, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

77

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#6306

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Michigan · EDGE

2023

Michigan · EDGE

2024

Michigan · EDGE

2025

Michigan · EDGE

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 2, Pick 12 · #44 overall · Detroit

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Michigan
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R2 &middot; #44
Detroit &middot; 2026

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#3 in market ▲ from #5 · 4 books

+90010.0% implied▲ tightened from +1200

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionEDGE
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements6-3 | 260 lb
HometownBaltimore, MD
Primary teamMichigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#6306Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#7199Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 2, Pick 12

#44 overall · Detroit

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Derrick Moore

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Derrick Moore

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
29Tackles
10Tackles for loss
9.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.8Tackles for loss
0.8Sacks
Projected (13g)
31Tackles
10.8Tackles for loss
10.3Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 29): needs 51/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 29): needs 71/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 9.5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 9.5): needs 0.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Derrick Moore is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Michigan's defense, with 9.5 sacks, 10.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #6306 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 29 19 solo | #1415/4942 (71st pct)
TFL 10.0 Backfield disruption | #103/4972 (98th pct)
Sacks 9.5 Pass-rush finish | #15/4972 (100th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
29 71st
SOLO
19 76th
TFL
10.0 98th
SACK
9.5 100th
QBH
3 75th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-17vs New Mexico110.00.00
Wk 2L 13-24@ Oklahoma320.00.01
Wk 3W 63-3vs Central Michigan000.00.00
Wk 4W 30-27@ Nebraska311.51.50
Wk 6W 24-10vs Wisconsin531.51.00
Wk 7L 13-31@ USC100.00.01
Wk 8W 24-7vs Washington332.02.002 sacks
Wk 9W 31-20@ Michigan State642.02.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 10W 21-16vs Purdue322.02.002 sacks
Wk 12W 24-22@ Northwestern220.00.01
Wk 13W 45-20@ Maryland111.01.00
Wk 14L 9-27vs Ohio State100.00.00
Total291910.09.53
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Michigan13-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy
2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Michigan8-5HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-heavy
2025Michigan9-4HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan291910.09.53----
2024Michigan23166.04.02----
2023Michigan34206.05.02----
2022Michigan762.02.0------
Career4 loaded seasons936124.020.57----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 29 #1415/4942 71st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 10.0 #103/4972 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 9.5 #15/4972 100th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 19 #1095/4584 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.20.90.80.0
Road6g2.70.80.80.5

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.71.11.10.1
Losses3g1.70.00.00.7

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.20.50.40.3
Weeks 8+6g2.71.21.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort

77All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (99th). Strength: tackles for loss (96th).

Sacks#15 / 2975 · 99th pct
9.5defe
Tackles for loss#103 / 2975 · 96th pct
10.0defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Solo tackles#1095 / 2975 · 62nd pct
19defe
Tackles#1415 / 2975 · 52nd pct
29defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Derrick MooreMichiganRasheem BilesPittsburgh· 79% simMatt RoseStanford· 77% simColton PharesApp State· 77% sim
Sacks
99
Moore
95
Biles
89
Rose
80
Phares
Tackles for loss
96
Moore
100
Biles
93
Rose
96
Phares
QB hurries
82
Moore
88
Biles
82
Rose
72
Phares
Passes defended
78
Moore
86
Biles
78
Rose
78
Phares
Solo tackles
62
Moore
91
Biles
97
Rose
95
Phares
Tackles
52
Moore
98
Biles
99
Rose
98
Phares
Forced fumbles
47
Moore
47
Biles
47
Rose
47
Phares

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pure Rusher

Pins his ears back and gets home. Production lives in the sack column.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dennard Flowers’s 2022 season.

Dennard Flowers

82%match

Arkansas State · 2022

#2

Dayon Hayes

Pittsburgh · 2022

70%
#3

Ryan Henderson

San Diego State · 2025

68%
#4

Malachi Lawrence

UCF · 2024

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 23
65%
#5

Van Fillinger

Utah · 2022

65%

Matches Dennard on

Weight
Sack rate
Height

Differs from Dennard on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to RJ Oben's senior season at Duke (2023).

RJ Oben

77%match

Duke · 2023

#2

Khalid Duke

Kansas State · 2023

65%
#3

Aidan Hubbard

Northwestern · 2025

64%
#4

David Bailey

Texas Tech · 2025

Consensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 2
64%
#5

Brandon Matterson

UTSA · 2023

All-AAC
53%

Matches RJ on

Class year
Height
Weight

Differs from RJ on

TFL rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sherrone Moore

Pass share

40.9%

340 pass / 492 run

Plays / game

64.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

256 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2023
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2024
Sherrone Moore
Michigan
era →
2025
Sherrone Moore
Michigan

Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Harbaugh → Sherrone Moore. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBaltimore, MD
Height6'3"
Weight260 lb
Class4
PositionEDGE
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Michigan | Big Ten DE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Michigan EDGE4 #6306 #7199 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Michigan EDGE4 #905 #857 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Michigan EDGE4 #2337 #2236 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan Big Ten EDGE 4 No. 8 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Baltimore, MD
2024 Michigan Big Ten EDGE 4 No. 8 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Baltimore, MD
2023 Michigan Big Ten EDGE 4 No. 8 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Baltimore, MD
2022 Michigan Big Ten EDGE 4 No. 8 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Baltimore, MD