cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dayon Hayes /Texas A&M

Dayon Hayes

DE · Texas A&M · Sr · #50

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

17 TACKLES · 3.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas A&M for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas A&M for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive end · Texas A&M

Returning around him

  • 75% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 10 Texas A&M players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (19 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas A&M · Last season: 11-2 (AP #7) · Talent rank #8 · 2026 recruiting class #9

DE · TEXAS A&M · SEC

Dayon Hayes

  • 4
  • #50
  • 6-3 | 264 lb
  • Pittsburgh, PA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#6636

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#311 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class4
Jersey50
Measurements6-3 | 264 lb
HometownPittsburgh, PA
Primary teamTexas A&M

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 311 recruit
Composite rating 0.9001 HighSchool
Signed with Pittsburgh 2020
Origin Westinghouse Pittsburgh, PA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 4-star | 0.9001 No. 311 recruit | HighSchool | Pittsburgh

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#6636Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#7085Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Pittsburgh

Composite

0.9001

#311 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dayon Hayes

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dayon Hayes

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
17Tackles
4Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
20Tackles
4.7Tackles for loss
4.1Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 17): needs 31.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 17): needs 41.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 1.2/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 3.2/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dayon Hayes is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Texas A&M's defense, with 3.5 sacks, 4.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #6636 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 311 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 17 12 solo | #2235/4942 (55th pct)
TFL 4.0 Backfield disruption | #738/4972 (85th pct)
Sacks 3.5 Pass-rush finish | #233/4972 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
17 55th
SOLO
12 62nd
TFL
4.0 85th
SACK
3.5 95th
QBH
6 94th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs UTSA210.00.00
Wk 2W 44-22vs Utah State320.50.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 3W 41-40@ Notre Dame110.00.00
Wk 5W 16-10vs Auburn331.01.00
Wk 7W 34-17vs Florida211.01.00
Wk 8W 45-42@ Arkansas200.50.50
Wk 9W 49-25@ LSU110.00.01
Wk 11W 38-17@ Missouri220.00.00
Wk 12W 31-30vs South Carolina111.01.00
Wk 13W 48-0vs Samford000.00.00
Wk 14L 17-27@ Texas000.00.00
Total17124.03.51
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Pittsburgh11-2HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Pittsburgh9-4HC: Pat Narduzzi · Run-leaning
2023Pittsburgh3-9HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Colorado9-4HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2025Texas A&M11-2HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Texas A&M17124.03.51----
2024Colorado16103.52.0------
2023Pittsburgh452510.54.04----
2022Pittsburgh1394.53.5------
2021Pittsburgh1699.03.01----
Career5 loaded seasons1076531.516.06----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 6 Quarterback hurries | #117/1878 (94th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 17 #2235/4942 55th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.0 #738/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.5 #233/4972 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 6 #117/1878 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 12 #1735/4584 62nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g1.80.60.50.0
Road5g1.20.10.10.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g1.70.40.30.1
Losses1g0.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.20.50.40.0
Weeks 8+6g1.00.20.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

64Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (94th). Strength: sacks (91st). Concern: tackles (23rd).

QB hurries#117 / 2975 · 95th pct
6defe
Sacks#233 / 2975 · 91st pct
3.5defe
Tackles for loss#736 / 2975 · 73rd pct
4.0defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Solo tackles#1735 / 2975 · 40th pct
12defe
Tackles#2235 / 2975 · 24th pct
17defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Dayon HayesTexas A&MAmare CampbellPenn State· 63% simMac HarrisSouth Florida· 63% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 62% sim
QB hurries
95
Hayes
88
Campbell
97
Harris
88
Parker
Sacks
91
Hayes
89
Campbell
97
Harris
80
Parker
Tackles for loss
73
Hayes
96
Campbell
91
Harris
87
Parker
Passes defended
48
Hayes
48
Campbell
67
Harris
18
Parker
Forced fumbles
47
Hayes
47
Campbell
47
Harris
47
Parker
Solo tackles
40
Hayes
100
Campbell
98
Harris
96
Parker
Tackles
24
Hayes
99
Campbell
99
Harris
98
Parker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Power Rusher

Bull-rushes through contact and sets a hard edge against the run.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Trey Schuman’s 2022 season.

Trey Schuman

86%match

Rice · 2022

#2

Cedric Johnson

Ole Miss · 2021

NFL Rd 6
86%
#3

Zuriah Fisher

Penn State · 2023

84%
#4

Jereme Robinson

Kansas · 2023

82%
#5

Chris Murray

Auburn · 2025

81%

Matches Trey on

Sack rate
Weight
TFL rate

Differs from Trey on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Elko

Pass share

45.8%

407 pass / 482 run

Plays / game

68.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

286 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Jimbo Fisher
Texas A&M
2022
Jimbo Fisher
Texas A&M
2023
Elijah Robinson
Texas A&M
era →
2024
Mike Elko
Texas A&M
era →
2025
Mike Elko
Texas A&M

Played under 3 different head coaches: Jimbo Fisher, Elijah Robinson, and Mike Elko. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPittsburgh, PA
Height6'3"
Weight264 lb
Class4
PositionDE
Jersey50

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Colorado DE4 #6636 #7085 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Pittsburgh DE4 #7012 #8120 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Pittsburgh DE4 #6237 #6701 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Pittsburgh DE4 #4495 #4925 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas A&M SEC DE 4 No. 50 | 6-3 | 264 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2024 Colorado Big 12 DE 4 No. 50 | 6-3 | 264 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2023 Pittsburgh ACC DE 4 No. 50 | 6-3 | 264 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2022 Pittsburgh ACC DE 4 No. 50 | 6-3 | 264 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2021 Pittsburgh ACC DE 4 No. 50 | 6-3 | 264 lb | Pittsburgh, PA