cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dennard Flowers /South Florida

Dennard Flowers

DE · South Florida · Sr · #15

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

26 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to South Florida for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to South Florida for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive end · South Florida

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +10 net (44 in / 34 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

South Florida · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #61 · 2026 recruiting class #65

DE · SOUTH FLORIDA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Dennard Flowers

  • 4
  • #15
  • 6-2 | 260 lb
  • Fairburn, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

42

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11905

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1248 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class4
Jersey15
Measurements6-2 | 260 lb
HometownFairburn, GA
Primary teamSouth Florida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1248 recruit
Composite rating 0.8483 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Creekside Fairburn, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8483 No. 1248 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#11905Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12179Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8483

#1248 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dennard Flowers

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dennard Flowers

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
26Tackles
3Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
34Tackles
3.9Tackles for loss
1.3Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 26): needs 18/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 26): needs 24.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 1.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dennard Flowers is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on South Florida's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11905 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 26 9 solo | #1609/4942 (67th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
26 67th
SOLO
9 54th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
1.0 82nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs Boise State400.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 3L 12-49@ Miami100.00.00
Wk 4W 63-14vs South Carolina State420.00.00
Wk 6W 54-26vs Charlotte410.00.00
Wk 7W 63-36@ North Texas210.00.00
Wk 8W 48-13vs Florida Atlantic200.00.00
Wk 9L 31-34@ Memphis331.00.00
Wk 11W 55-23vs UTSA311.00.00
Wk 12L 38-41@ Navy200.00.00
Wk 13W 48-18@ UAB111.01.00
Total2693.01.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Arkansas State3-9HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
2023Arkansas State6-7HC: Butch Jones · Run-leaning
2025South Florida9-4HC: Alex Golesh · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025South Florida2693.01.0------
2023Arkansas State1342.51.0------
2022Arkansas State1063.53.0------
Career3 loaded seasons49199.05.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 26 #1609/4942 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 9 #2127/4584 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g3.40.20.00.0
Road5g1.80.40.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g2.90.30.10.0
Losses3g2.00.30.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.00.00.00.0
Weeks 8+5g2.20.60.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

42Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
Tackles#1609 / 2975 · 45th pct
26defe
Solo tackles#2127 / 2975 · 26th pct
9defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Dennard FlowersSouth FloridaJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 61% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 60% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 58% sim
Sacks
63
Flowers
63
Vaughns
89
Montgomery
24
Martin
Tackles for loss
63
Flowers
85
Vaughns
85
Montgomery
63
Martin
Tackles
45
Flowers
99
Vaughns
99
Montgomery
98
Martin
Solo tackles
26
Flowers
96
Vaughns
82
Montgomery
87
Martin
QB hurries
22
Flowers
22
Vaughns
22
Montgomery
22
Martin
Passes defended
18
Flowers
48
Vaughns
67
Montgomery
67
Martin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Versatile End

Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jamil Muhammad’s 2022 season.

Jamil Muhammad

89%match

Georgia State · 2022

#2

Damian Jackson

Buffalo · 2022

87%
#3

Antonio Showers

Troy · 2021

85%
#4

Justice Finkley

Kansas · 2025

85%
#5

Louce Julien

Toledo · 2025

83%

Matches Jamil on

Weight
TFL rate
Sack rate

Differs from Jamil on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Justice Finkley's senior season at Kansas (2025).

Justice Finkley

94%match

Kansas · 2025

#2

Jordan Thompson

Rutgers · 2025

93%
#3

Bangally Kamara

Pittsburgh · 2023

85%
#4

Cooper McDonald

San Diego State · 2023

85%
#5

Thomas Witte

Nevada · 2025

85%

Matches Justice on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Alex Golesh

Pass share

44.8%

404 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

69.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.8%

291 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jeff Scott
South Florida
2023
Alex Golesh
South Florida
era →
2025
Alex Golesh
South Florida

Coaching transition mid-career: Jeff Scott → Alex Golesh. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFairburn, GA
Height6'2"
Weight260 lb
Class4
PositionDE
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Arkansas State DE4 #11905 #12179 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Arkansas State DE4 #12120 #12734 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Arkansas State DE4 #14316 #14409 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Florida American Athletic DE 4 No. 15 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Fairburn, GA
2023 Arkansas State Sun Belt DE 4 No. 15 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Fairburn, GA
2022 Arkansas State Sun Belt DE 4 No. 15 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Fairburn, GA
2021 Arkansas State Sun Belt DE 4 No. 15 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Fairburn, GA