Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-59@ Texas | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 2 | L 26-31vs UTSA | 7 | 54 | 7.7 | 1 | 13 | Season-high 54 yds |
| Total | 11 | 94 | 8.8 | 1 | 22 |
#1
Chris Dawn Jr.
Senior wide receiver for Texas State. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
5′9″ · 175 lb · Dallas, TX
CFB Index 82 · #24 of 485 WRsHigh confidence
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
94
receiving yards · 2026 · through week 2
11 catches · 1 TD · 8.5 per catch
2 games into 2026 so far -- Best game: 7 rec, 54 yds, 1 TD, vs UTSA
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
Senior wide receiver for Texas State. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
- Signed as a 3-star recruit to Texas State in 2023.
Chris Dawn Jr.
Wins underneath on volume and route precision. This is his fourth year in the same receiving corps at Texas State. His first career honor landed in 2025: All-Sun Belt. One game to point at: 54 rec yds, 7 receptions against UTSA — Week 2, 2026.
94 REC YDS · 11 REC · 1 REC TD
Low coverage — composed from the verified record.
- season totals
- positional archetype classification
- seasons on the roster
- recognition record
- game log
His career
Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.
The week the volume broke through — put up 180 yds at Marshall.Marshall · L 37-402025
20234 games
- Signed with Texas State3-star out of Mesquite Horn
202512 games
The role got bigger.
- All-Sun Beltthird
Career arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Texas State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-SUN BELT
All-Sun Belt mention (2025)
Coaching lineage · 2023–2026
1 coach2023–2026
Texas State
Played his entire career under G.J. Kinne.
2026 snapshot
Since week 1: +54 receiving yards, +7 catches, +1 receiving TD.
Season context · Team result + system
4 seasons under G.J. Kinne — 23-18 over that span.
2023Texas State8-5HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-leaning
2024Texas State8-5HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-leaning
2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
2026Texas State0-2HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy, fast tempo
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles
High confidenceBreakout
Concern: epa / target (10th percentile).
Real play-by-play efficiency
Box-score rates (7)
Season trend
Last seasonThis season
EPA / target
92nd → 10th percentile
Explosive rate
99th → 29th percentile
Catch rate
51st → 17th percentile
TD rate
18th → 50th percentile
Yards / catch
99th → 10th percentile
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).
Splits & context
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 5.5 REC/g, 47.0 YDS/g, 8.8 YPR, 0.5 TD/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
G.J. Kinne
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Backup
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Recognition
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
2026 outlook
In the mix for All-Pac-12
Based on 2025: #3 of 51 Sun Belt WRs — his program moves to the Pac-12 for 2026
How the All-Pac-12 estimate is computed
49% estimated, 95% confidence interval 43–54%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player. The base rate was measured on players who stayed in the same conference; this estimate is not adjusted for the move to the Pac-12.
Career stats
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Texas State | 11 | 94 | 8.5 | 1 | -- |
| 2025 | Texas State | 65 | 1,007 | 15.5 | 4 | -- |
| 2024 | Texas State | 37 | 418 | 11.3 | 6 | -- |
| 2023 | Texas State | 9 | 86 | 9.6 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 122 | 1,605 | 13.2 | 11 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Texas State | 1 | 2 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2025 | Texas State | 1 | -2 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Texas State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Texas State | -- | -- | 45 | 4 | -- |
| Career | 2 | 0 | 45 | 4 | -- |
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
- Week 1 · Texas · 3&6 · Q2 · EPA +3.24(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short middle to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST40, for 22 yards to the TEXAS43 (#9 J.Williams), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · UTSA · 3&3 · Q3 · EPA +2.77Chris Dawn Jr. 13 Yd pass from Brad Jackson (Dylan Cunanan PAT failed)
- Week 2 · UTSA · 2&8 · Q2 · EPA +1.96(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST45, for 13 yards to the TXST45 (#22 E.Newell), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Texas · 3&3 · Q3 · EPA +1.51(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST36, for 6 yards to the TXST38 (#8 K.Phillips), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Texas · 3&3 · Q1 · EPA +1.33(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TEXAS39, for 6 yards to the TEXAS37 (#29 G.Littleton; #28 J.Cryer), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · UTSA · 3&4 · Q4 · EPA +0.88(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at UTSA32, for 5 yards to the UTSA27 (#53 E.Osondu; #13 R.Lester), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · UTSA · 2&5 · Q1 · EPA +0.87(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST25, for 8 yards to the TXST33 (#20 Z.Morris; #22 E.Newell), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · UTSA · 2&3 · Q1 · EPA +0.62(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST31, for 7 yards to the TXST39 (#22 E.Newell), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · UTSA · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +0.45(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at UTSA09, for 8 yards to the UTSA06 (#1 C.Cooper)
- Week 2 · UTSA · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA -0.42(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST15, for 0 yards to the TXST14 (#23 B.Tucker, Jr.)
Game log
How he plays
Play style
Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.
CFB Index positional classification
Starter
The No. 1,463 recruit in the country is starting at receiver in the Pac-12 as a senior.
DNA match
Player DNA
Slot Technician
Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Que'Sean Brown’s 2025 season.
75%match
Matches Que'Sean on
TD rate
Weight
Height
Differs from Que'Sean on
EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Class year (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kyndon Fuselier’s path through Lamar.
Kyndon Fuselier
98%match
#3
Julius Young
94%
Matches Kyndon on
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Yamir Knight's junior season at SMU (2025).
71%match
Matches Yamir on
Total EPA (college ability)
Height
TD rate
Differs from Yamir on
Weight (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
Player DNA
Players who play like Chris Dawn Jr.
The receiver room · Texas State
- #11Beau Sparks1,200 receiving yards · 2025
- #1Chris Dawn Jr.1,007 receiving yards · 2025
- #2Kylen Evans211 receiving yards · 2025
- #3Zechariah Sample4 games · 2025
- #14Jordan Martin2 games · 2026
7 more on the roster · Texas State team page
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology