cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Damien Moore /Fresno State

Damien Moore

RB · Fresno State · Sr · #28

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSCalifornia 2022 alumnus

RB · FRESNO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Damien Moore

  • 4
  • #28
  • 5-10 | 215 lb
  • La Puente, CA

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#3165

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2022
5172021
1012022

-80%

Sharp dropoff (-80%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1356 national
CFB
College
California
2021–2022
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#3 in market ▲ from #5 · 4 books

+90010.0% implied▲ tightened from +1200

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey28
Measurements5-10 | 215 lb
HometownLa Puente, CA
Primary teamFresno State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1356 recruit
Composite rating 0.8456 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Bishop Amat La Puente, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8456 No. 1356 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Lamar 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 20, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Fresno State -> Lamar 3-star | Immediate
2023 California -> Fresno State 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#3165Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2946Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8456

#1356 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Damien Moore

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Damien Moore

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Damien Moore's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Fresno State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3165 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 15.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2022 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2022 season snapshot | final

2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 125 101 rush | 24 rec | #433/735 (41st pct)
Rush TD 0 22 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 4.6 Per-rush efficiency | #364/735 (51st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2022 Season · Final

2022 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
22 41st
YDS
101 41st
YPC
4.6 51st
TD
0 40th

Receiving

REC
5 43rd
YDS
24 33rd
YPR
4.8 22nd
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 0-51@ North Texas10151.505Season-high 15 yds
Total10151.505
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021California5-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced
2022California4-8HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2022California221014.60--
2021California1005175.26--
Career2 loaded seasons1226185.16--
SeasonTeam
2022California5244.80--
2021California13856.51--
Career2 loaded seasons181096.11--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 5 24 rec yds | #315/552 (43rd pct)
Usage 15.8% 27.5% rush share | #158/738 (79th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.19 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #67/362 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 101 #433/735 41st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.6 #364/735 51st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 5 #315/552 43rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 24 #367/548 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.19 #67/362 82nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 88 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 15.8% #158/738 79th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 22 #434/739 41st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 12 #531/733 28th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 10 #415/540 23rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 4.8 #428/548 22nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 27.5% #149/738 80th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 19.7% #100/738 87th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 18.3% #169/738 77th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 17.7% #174/738 77th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 11.6% #142/738 81st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.9% #402/738 46th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 5.4% #138/738 81st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Road1g15.01.50.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Losses1g15.01.50.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-71g15.01.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Matt Entz

Pass share

44.2%

373 pass / 471 run

Plays / game

64.9

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

282 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022

2 coaches
2021
Lee Marks
Fresno State
2022
Jeff Tedford
Fresno State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Lee Marks → Jeff Tedford. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLa Puente, CA
Height5'10"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey28

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Fresno State RB4 #3165 #2946 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 California RB4 #2007 #2396 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 California RB4 #462 #659 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 Fresno State Mountain West RB 4 No. 28 | 5-10 | 215 lb | La Puente, CA
2022 California Pac-12 RB 4 No. 28 | 5-10 | 215 lb | La Puente, CA
2021 California Pac-12 RB 4 No. 28 | 5-10 | 215 lb | La Puente, CA