Dan Ellington: QB · Georgia State · #13.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Dan Ellington
Extends plays on the move until something opens up. Second year in the Georgia State quarterback room. The first career honor came in 2019: All-Sun Belt. One game to point at: 382 passing yards and 69 rushing yards against Arkansas State — Week 6, 2019.
Play style
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
44.1% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 24.3% conversion-per-dropback — 40.0% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
9 of 14 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (64.3%). 4 of the team's 22 inside-the-5 carries (18.2%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Georgia State | 227 | 355 | 63.9% | 2,447 | 6.9 | 22 | 8 | 137.8 | 48 |
| 2018 | Georgia State | 174 | 292 | 59.6% | 2,119 | 7.3 | 12 | 5 | 130.7 | 44 |
| Career | 401 | 647 | 62.0% | 4,566 | 7.1 | 34 | 13 | 134.6 | 46 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Georgia State | 160 | 668 | 4.2 | 6 | 64 |
| 2018 | Georgia State | 158 | 635 | 4.0 | 5 | 42 |
| Career | 318 | 1,303 | 4.1 | 11 | 64 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2019 season · 13 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 38-30@ Tennessee | 11/24 | 139 | 2 | 0 | 5.8 | 70.1 | |
| Wk 2 | W 48-42vs Furman | 29/37 | 362 | 5 | 0 | 9.8 | 92.3 | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | L 10-57@ Western Michigan | 11/20 | 126 | 1 | 1 | 6.3 | 43.8 | |
| Wk 4 | L 34-37@ Texas State | 24/39 | 219 | 3 | 1 | 5.6 | 70.9 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 6 | W 52-38vs Arkansas State | 29/41 | 382 | 1 | 0 | 9.3 | 87.1 | Season-high 382 yds |
| Wk 7 | W 31-21@ Coastal Carolina | 16/24 | 122 | 1 | 1 | 5.1 | 88.6 | |
| Wk 8 | W 28-21vs Army | 20/28 | 232 | 3 | 0 | 8.3 | 75.0 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 9 | W 52-33vs Troy | 18/25 | 189 | 2 | 1 | 7.6 | 88.6 | |
| Wk 11 | L 31-45@ UL Monroe | 5/10 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | — | |
| Wk 12 | L 27-56vs App State | 12/27 | 88 | 1 | 2 | 3.3 | — | |
| Wk 13 | W 28-15vs South Alabama | 21/27 | 208 | 2 | 1 | 7.7 | — | |
| Wk 14 | L 10-38@ Georgia Southern | 18/27 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 | — | |
 Bowl | L 17-38vs Wyoming | 13/26 | 156 | 1 | 1 | 6.0 | — | |
| Total | 227/355 | 2447 | 22 | 8 | 6.9 | — |
Week 2 · 2019
W 48-42
vs Furman
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 315 passing plays (202 completions) against the box score's 355 attempts (227 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
6.4297 of 205 QBsSack rate
4.6%57 of 205 QBsRarely sacked (57 of 205 QBs) and still 97 of 205 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 63.9% completion on 355 attempts · 30 deep completions averaging 28.4 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2019 baseline
No situation moves him more than 23 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
2 seasons under Shawn Elliott — 9-16 over that span.
Splits · Per-game
2019 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 244 | 2.3 | 7.7 | 0.7 |
| Road6g | 138 | 1.2 | 5.6 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 215 | 2.0 | 6.8 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 157 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 0.7 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Shawn Elliott
Pass share
39.6%
385 pass / 586 run
Plays / game
74.7
13 games
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Player standing · 2019
Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.
How it ended
Two seasons at Georgia State, 4,566 passing yards — the college career is complete.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-SUN BELT · 2ND TEAM
All-Sun Belt 2nd team (2019)
Coaching lineage · 2016–2019
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Trent Miles → Shawn Elliott. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
