cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / DJ Butler /Houston

DJ Butler

RB · Houston · So · #25

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

301 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 68 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Houston for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Houston for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Houston

Returning around him

  • 105% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Houston player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (18 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Houston · Last season: 10-3 (AP #25) · Talent rank #66 · 2026 recruiting class #52

RB · HOUSTON · BIG 12

DJ Butler

  • 2
  • #25
  • 6-0 | 190 lb
  • Mobile, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

22

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 29th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1267

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
1022024
3012025

+195%

Up 195% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1212 national
CFB
College
Houston
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey25
Measurements6-0 | 190 lb
HometownMobile, AL
Primary teamHouston

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1212 recruit
Composite rating 0.8600 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2024
Origin WP Davidson Mobile, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8600 No. 1212 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1267Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1792Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8600

#1212 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on DJ Butler

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about DJ Butler

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
301Rush yards
68Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
27.4Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
355.7Rush yards
80Carries
0Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 301): needs 224.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 301): needs 349.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 301): needs 599.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 7.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

DJ Butler's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Houston, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1267 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 359 301 rush | 58 rec | #259/735 (65th pct)
Rush TD 0 68 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 4.4 Per-rush efficiency | #409/735 (44th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
68 66th
YDS
301 65th
YPC
4.4 44th
TD
0 40th

Receiving

REC
8 55th
YDS
58 54th
YPR
7.3 56th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 27-0vs Stephen F. Austin5295.8015
Wk 2W 35-9@ Rice4112.808
Wk 5W 27-24@ Oregon State3175.7011
Wk 7W 39-17@ Oklahoma State5173.405
Wk 8W 31-28vs Arizona273.506
Wk 9W 24-16@ Arizona State4194.806
Wk 10L 35-45vs West Virginia5255.0015
Wk 11W 30-27@ UCF14694.9011Season-high 69 yds
Wk 13L 14-17vs TCU8334.1013
Wk 14W 31-24@ Baylor10535.3013
BowlW 38-35vs LSU8212.609
Total683014.4015
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Houston4-8HC: Dana Holgorsen · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Houston10-3HC: Willie Fritz · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Houston683014.40--
2024Houston161026.40--
Career2 loaded seasons844034.80--
SeasonTeam
2025Houston8587.20--
2024Houston4369.00--
Career2 loaded seasons12947.80--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 8 58 rec yds | #248/552 (55th pct)
Usage 9.5% 15.0% rush share | #332/738 (55th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.09 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #226/362 (38th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 301 #259/735 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.4 #409/735 44th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 8 #248/552 55th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 58 #254/548 54th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.09 #226/362 38th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 60 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 9.5% #332/738 55th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 68 #249/739 66th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 15 #465/733 37th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 12 #365/540 33rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.3 #241/548 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 15.0% #349/738 53rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 12.1% #296/738 60th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 10.8% #327/738 56th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.9% #346/738 53rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 6.3% #385/738 48th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.0% #439/738 41st pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.8% #333/738 55th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g23.04.20.0
Road6g31.04.50.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins9g27.04.30.0
Losses2g29.04.50.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g19.04.10.0
Weeks 8+6g34.34.60.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

22Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rush tds (3rd).

Rec yards#218 / 338 · 35th pct
58rece
Receptions#225 / 338 · 32nd pct
8rece
Yards / carry#241 / 349 · 29th pct
4.4rush
Carries#249 / 349 · 29th pct
68rush
Rush yards#259 / 349 · 26th pct
301rush
Long run#332 / 349 · 4th pct
15rush
Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.09Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
DJ ButlerHoustonTae MeadowsTroy· 58% simKamari MoultonIowa· 56% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 56% sim
Rec yards
35
Butler
38
Meadows
53
Moulton
10
Wright
Receptions
32
Butler
45
Meadows
63
Moulton
32
Wright
Yards / carry
29
Butler
29
Meadows
62
Moulton
33
Wright
Carries
29
Butler
84
Meadows
86
Moulton
92
Wright
Rush yards
26
Butler
74
Meadows
84
Moulton
84
Wright
Long run
4
Butler
53
Meadows
33
Moulton
49
Wright
Rush TDs
3
Butler
72
Meadows
62
Moulton
62
Wright

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaiden Credle’s 2022 season.

Jaiden Credle

78%match

Northern Illinois · 2022

#2

Jaivian Thomas

UCLA · 2025

79%
#3

TJ McDaniel

SMU · 2020

68%
#4

A'Jon Vivens

Colorado State · 2021

72%
#5

Jordan Simmons

Michigan State · 2021

66%

Matches Jaiden on

Yards / carry
Weight
Rush TD rate

Differs from Jaiden on

Class year (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Andrew Body’s path through Alabama State.

Andrew Body

92%match

Alabama State · 2025

#2

Gerrid Doaks

Cincinnati · 2020

All-AACNFL Rd 7
90%
#3

Larry Rountree III

Missouri · 2020

All-SECNFL Rd 6
89%
#4

Narii Gaither

Gardner-Webb · 2023

86%
#5

TJ McDaniel

Northern Arizona · 2023

86%

Matches Andrew on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Anthony Williams Jr.'s sophomore season at Akron (2021).

Anthony Williams Jr.

74%match

Akron · 2021

#2

Ca'Lil Valentine

Illinois · 2025

72%
#3

Chavon Mceachern

Charlotte · 2021

66%
#4

Duke Watson

Louisville · 2025

70%
#5

A'Jon Vivens

Colorado State · 2021

69%

Matches Anthony on

Weight
Yards / carry
Height

Differs from Anthony on

Yards / reception (lower)
Rush TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Willie Fritz

Pass share

41.4%

377 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

70.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

2 coaches
2024
Dana Holgorsen
Houston
2025
Willie Fritz
Houston
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Dana Holgorsen → Willie Fritz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMobile, AL
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey25

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Houston RB2 #1267 #1792 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Houston Big 12 RB 2 No. 25 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Mobile, AL
2024 Houston Big 12 RB 2 No. 25 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Mobile, AL