cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dontae Carter /Vanderbilt

Dontae Carter

S · Vanderbilt · So · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

33 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Vanderbilt for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Vanderbilt for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Vanderbilt

Returning around him

  • 86% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Vanderbilt player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (18 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Vanderbilt · Last season: 10-3 (AP #13) · Talent rank #55 · 2026 recruiting class #76

S · VANDERBILT · SEC

Dontae Carter

  • 2
  • #1
  • 6-1 | 185 lb
  • Cibolo, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

33

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 48th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11982

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#166 national
CFB
College
Vanderbilt
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class2
Jersey1
Measurements6-1 | 185 lb
HometownCibolo, TX
Primary teamVanderbilt

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 166 recruit
Composite rating 0.9292 HighSchool
Signed with Vanderbilt 2024
Origin Steele Cibolo, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9292 No. 166 recruit | HighSchool | Vanderbilt

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11982Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12197Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Vanderbilt

Composite

0.9292

#166 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dontae Carter

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dontae Carter

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
33Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
33Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dontae Carter is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Vanderbilt's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11982 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 166 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 33 18 solo | #1194/4942 (76th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
33 76th
SOLO
18 74th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 45-3vs Charleston Southern100.00.00
Wk 2W 44-20@ Virginia Tech320.00.00
Wk 3W 31-7@ South Carolina220.00.00
Wk 4W 70-21vs Georgia State410.00.00
Wk 5W 55-35vs Utah State330.00.00
Wk 6L 14-30@ Alabama310.00.00
Wk 8W 31-24vs LSU100.00.00
Wk 9W 17-10vs Missouri630.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 10L 31-34@ Texas100.00.00
Wk 11W 45-38vs Auburn310.00.01
Wk 13W 45-17vs Kentucky330.00.00
Wk 14W 45-24@ Tennessee100.00.00
BowlL 27-34vs Iowa220.00.00
Total33180.00.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Vanderbilt7-6HC: Clark Lea · Run-heavy
2025Vanderbilt10-3HC: Clark Lea · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Vanderbilt33180.00.01----
2024Vanderbilt1180.00.02----
Career2 loaded seasons44260.00.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 33 #1194/4942 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 18 #1178/4584 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g2.90.00.00.1
Road5g2.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g2.70.00.00.1
Losses3g2.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.60.00.00.0
Weeks 8+6g2.50.00.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

33Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Solo tackles#1178 / 2975 · 59th pct
18defe
Tackles#1194 / 2975 · 59th pct
33defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Dontae CarterVanderbiltTyler MartinMassachusetts· 69% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 65% simBlake FletcherAir Force· 63% sim
Solo tackles
59
Carter
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
91
Fletcher
Tackles
59
Carter
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
99
Fletcher
Passes defended
48
Carter
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
67
Fletcher
Sacks
24
Carter
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
24
Fletcher
QB hurries
22
Carter
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
92
Fletcher
Tackles for loss
7
Carter
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
28
Fletcher

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Carl Williams IV’s 2024 season.

Carl Williams IV

90%match

Baylor · 2024

#2

Tyson Player

UNLV · 2021

88%
#3

Ja'Bril Rawls

Florida State · 2025

83%
#4

Josh Turner

Florida International · 2021

82%
#5

Ayden Duncanson

East Carolina · 2025

81%

Matches Carl on

Height
PD rate
Class year

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Ayden Duncanson's sophomore season at East Carolina (2025).

Ayden Duncanson

88%match

East Carolina · 2025

#2

Collin Jacob

Louisiana · 2025

86%
#3

D'Angelo Mayes

Utah State · 2025

83%
#4

Ryland Gandy

Pittsburgh · 2024

82%
#5

Jordan White

Northern Illinois · 2022

82%

Matches Ayden on

Class year
PD rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Clark Lea

Pass share

50.4%

400 pass / 394 run

Plays / game

61.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

274 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Clark Lea
Vanderbilt
2025
Clark Lea
Vanderbilt

Played his entire career under Clark Lea.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCibolo, TX
Height6'1"
Weight185 lb
Class2
PositionS
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Vanderbilt S2 #11982 #12197 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Vanderbilt SEC S 2 No. 1 | 6-1 | 185 lb | Cibolo, TX
2024 Vanderbilt SEC S 2 No. 1 | 6-1 | 185 lb | Cibolo, TX