Drew Lock: QB · Missouri · #3.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Drew Lock
Picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. Played for two head coaches at Missouri: Gary Pinkel and Barry Odom. Named All-SEC two seasons running, most recently in 2018. A game that shows it: 398 passing yards and 51 rushing yards against Wyoming — Week 2, 2018.
Play style
High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
63.8% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 29.4% conversion-per-dropback — 50.0% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
4 of the team's 30 inside-the-5 carries (13.3%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
Game log · Week-by-week
2018 season · 13 games
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 51-14vs UT Martin | 19/25 | 289 | 4 | 0 | 11.6 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 40-13vs Wyoming | 33/45 | 398 | 4 | 0 | 8.8 | — | Season-high 398 yds |
| Wk 3 | W 40-37@ Purdue | 26/43 | 375 | 3 | 1 | 8.7 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 4 | L 29-43vs No. 2 Georgia | 23/48 | 221 | 0 | 1 | 4.6 | — | |
| Wk 6 | L 35-37@ South Carolina | 17/36 | 204 | 0 | 2 | 5.7 | — | |
| Wk 7 | L 10-39@ No. 1 Alabama | 13/26 | 142 | 1 | 2 | 5.5 | — | |
| Wk 8 | W 65-33vs Memphis | 23/29 | 350 | 4 | 0 | 12.1 | — | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 9 | L 14-15vs No. 12 Kentucky | 15/27 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | — | |
| Wk 10 | W 38-17@ No. 13 Florida | 24/32 | 250 | 3 | 0 | 7.8 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 11 | W 33-28vs Vanderbilt | 22/33 | 253 | 2 | 2 | 7.7 | — | |
| Wk 12 | W 50-17@ Tennessee | 21/30 | 257 | 2 | 0 | 8.6 | — | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 13 | W 38-0vs Arkansas | 16/25 | 221 | 2 | 0 | 8.8 | — | |
 Bowl | L 33-38vs Oklahoma State | 23/38 | 373 | 3 | 0 | 9.8 | — | |
| Total | 275/437 | 3498 | 28 | 8 | 8.0 | — |
Week 2 · 2018
W 40-13
vs Wyoming
398 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT · 51 rush yds (5 car) · 1 TD
Dominant 27-point win at home against Wyoming.
With E. Hall — 10 rec · 171 yds · 1 TD · D. Crockett — 73 rush yds (19 car) · 1 rec · 32 yds
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 435 passing plays (273 completions) against the box score's 437 attempts (275 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
8.1428 of 207 QBsSack rate
2.7%15 of 207 QBsRarely sacked (15 of 207 QBs) and still 28 of 207 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 62.9% completion on 437 attempts · 50 deep completions averaging 35.0 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2018 baseline
No situation moves him more than 44 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2018 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 271 | 2.3 | 8.5 | 0.4 |
| Road5g | 246 | 1.8 | 7.3 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 286 | 2.1 | 7.8 | 0.9 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 249 | 2.2 | 8.5 | 0.3 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Barry Odom
Pass share
45.3%
451 pass / 544 run
Plays / game
76.5
13 games
Scheme: Run-leaning, fast tempo.
Player standing · 2018
Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.
How it ended
Four seasons at Missouri, 12,193 passing yards, a first-team All-Conference season (2017) — drafted at #42 overall by the Denver Broncos.
A blue-chip recruit with honors.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-SEC · 2ND TEAM
All-SEC 2nd team (2018)
Coaching lineage · 2015–2018
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Gary Pinkel → Barry Odom. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Next stop · NFL
Denver BroncosEntering 8th NFL season
Denver BroncosEntering 8th NFL season
