cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Eli Pancol /Duke

Eli Pancol

WR · Duke · Sr · #4

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

CAREER COMPLETEDuke 2024 — college career complete

WR · DUKE · ACC

Eli Pancol

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-3 | 205 lb
  • Pendleton, IN

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#190

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2024
2332021
3472022
7982024

+242%

Up 242% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#589 national
CFB
College
Duke
2021–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-3 | 205 lb
HometownPendleton, IN
Primary teamDuke

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 589 recruit
Composite rating 0.8785 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2019
Origin Pendleton Heights Pendleton, IN, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 3-star | 0.8785 No. 589 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#190Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#204Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8785

#589 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Eli Pancol

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Eli Pancol

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Eli Pancol's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Duke, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #190 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 60 9 rec TD | #61/1110 (95th pct)
Receiving yards 798 13.3 per catch | #70/1107 (94th pct)
Scrimmage yards 798 Total offensive yardage | #70/1107 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
60 95th
YDS
798 94th
YPR
13.3 62nd
TD
9 99th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Duke3-9HC: David Cutcliffe · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Duke9-4HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
2024Duke9-4HC: Manny Diaz · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2024Duke6079813.39--
2022Duke2334715.10--
2021Duke1723313.71--
Career3 loaded seasons1001,37813.810--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.1% 14.3% pass-game share | #269/1137 (76th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 9 Across offense and returns | #17/1111 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 60 #61/1110 95th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 798 #70/1107 94th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 9 #17/1111 99th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.3 #420/1106 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 14.3% #269/1137 76th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 86 #13/1105 99th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.0% #310/1137 73rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.7% #142/1137 88th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.3% #213/1137 81st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.1% #208/1137 82nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.6% #176/1137 85th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.7% #483/1137 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.3% #332/1137 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Manny Diaz

Pass share

53.3%

506 pass / 444 run

Plays / game

67.9

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024

3 coaches
2021
David Cutcliffe
Duke
2022
Mike Elko
Duke
era →
2024
Manny Diaz
Duke
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: David Cutcliffe, Mike Elko, and Manny Diaz. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPendleton, IN
Height6'3"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Duke WR4 #190 #204 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Duke WR4 #3214 #2980 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Duke WR4 #1177 #1147 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Duke WR4 #1498 #1703 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Duke ACC WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Pendleton, IN
2023 Duke ACC WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Pendleton, IN
2022 Duke ACC WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Pendleton, IN
2021 Duke ACC WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Pendleton, IN