cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Fred Farrier II /Kentucky

Fred Farrier II

WR · Kentucky · Sr · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

132 REC YDS · 11 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kentucky for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kentucky for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Kentucky

Returning around him

  • 27% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 4 Kentucky players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (29 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kentucky · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #27 · 2026 recruiting class #29

WR · KENTUCKY · SEC

Fred Farrier II

  • 4
  • #13
  • 6-1 | 188 lb
  • Frankfort, KY

CFB Zeitgeist Score

18

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 39th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1167

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
1302022
2662023
1262024
1322025

+2%

Modest growth (2%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1750 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey13
Measurements6-1 | 188 lb
HometownFrankfort, KY
Primary teamKentucky

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1750 recruit
Composite rating 0.8306 HighSchool
Signed with UAB 2021
Origin Franklin County Frankfort, KY, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8306 No. 1750 recruit | HighSchool | UAB

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Kentucky 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 14, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 UAB -> Kentucky 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1167Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1248Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UAB

Composite

0.8306

#1750 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Fred Farrier II

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Fred Farrier II

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
132Rec yards
11Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
16.5Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
214.5Rec yards
18Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 132): needs 113.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 132): needs 173.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 11): needs 9.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 11): needs 13.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Fred Farrier II's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kentucky, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1167 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 11 1 rec TD | #559/1110 (50th pct)
Receiving yards 132 12.0 per catch | #564/1107 (49th pct)
Scrimmage yards 132 Total offensive yardage | #564/1107 (49th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
11 50th
YDS
132 49th
YPR
12.0 51st
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 24-16vs Toledo166.006
Wk 3W 48-23vs Eastern Michigan13333.0033
Wk 5L 13-35@ South Carolina040.004
Wk 6L 14-35@ Georgia133.003
Wk 8L 13-16vs Texas177.007
Wk 10W 10-3@ Auburn24522.5032Season-high 45 yds
Wk 11W 38-7vs Florida11313.0013
Wk 13L 17-45@ Vanderbilt4215.319
Total1113211.2133
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022UAB7-6HC: Bryant Vincent · Run-heavy
2023UAB4-8HC: Trent Dilfer · Balanced
2024Kentucky4-8HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Kentucky5-7HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Kentucky1113212.01--
2024Kentucky131269.70--
2023UAB1826614.81--
2022UAB1113011.81--
Career4 loaded seasons5365412.33--
SeasonTeam
2025Kentucky----------
2024Kentucky13------
2023UAB----------
2022UAB----------
Career4 loaded seasons13------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.3% 7.1% pass-game share | #679/1137 (40th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 11 #559/1110 50th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 132 #564/1107 49th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.0 #545/1106 51st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 7.1% #679/1137 40th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 33 #568/1105 49th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.7% #483/1137 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.2% #791/1137 31st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.3% #712/1137 37th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.9% #696/1137 39th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.1% #874/1137 23rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.1% #908/1137 20th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g1.014.814.80.0
Road4g1.818.27.70.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.224.218.60.0
Losses4g1.58.83.80.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g0.811.510.50.0
Weeks 8+4g2.021.511.90.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

18Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#339 / 558 · 39th pct
12.0rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Long catch#458 / 558 · 18th pct
33rece
Rec yards#533 / 558 · 4th pct
132rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
11rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Fred Farrier IIKentuckyMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 51% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 45% simAaron TurnerRice· 45% sim
Yards / catch
39
II
9
III
40
Walker
1
Turner
Fumbles lost
36
II
6
III
6
Walker
81
Turner
Rec TDs
24
II
24
III
42
Walker
68
Turner
Long catch
18
II
16
III
39
Walker
65
Turner
Rec yards
4
II
70
III
89
Walker
48
Turner
Receptions
0
II
92
III
95
Walker
92
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mark Stoops

Pass share

46.2%

366 pass / 427 run

Plays / game

66.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.0%

280 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Mark Stoops
Kentucky
2023
Mark Stoops
Kentucky
2024
Mark Stoops
Kentucky
2025
Mark Stoops
Kentucky

Played his entire career under Mark Stoops.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFrankfort, KY
Height6'1"
Weight188 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kentucky WR4 #1167 #1248 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 UAB WR4 #2614 #3304 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 UAB WR4 #2426 #2611 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 UAB WR4 #2925 #2655 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kentucky SEC WR 4 No. 13 | 6-1 | 188 lb | Frankfort, KY
2024 Kentucky SEC WR 4 No. 13 | 6-1 | 188 lb | Frankfort, KY
2023 UAB American Athletic WR 4 No. 13 | 6-1 | 188 lb | Frankfort, KY
2022 UAB Conference USA WR 4 No. 13 | 6-1 | 188 lb | Frankfort, KY
2021 UAB Conference USA WR 4 No. 13 | 6-1 | 188 lb | Frankfort, KY