Fredi Knighten: QB · Arkansas State · #9.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Fredi Knighten
Extends plays on the move until something opens up. Rated a two-star prospect, with two seasons of snaps at Arkansas State since. Named All-Sun Belt two seasons running, most recently in 2015. On tape: 367 passing yards and 33 rushing yards against New Mexico State, Week 13, 2015.
Play style
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
61.8% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 29.7% conversion-per-dropback — 47.6% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
8 of 10 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (80.0%). 7 of the team's 32 inside-the-5 carries (21.9%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Arkansas State | 136 | 251 | 54.2% | 1,835 | 7.3 | 19 | 9 | 133.4 | 44 |
| 2014 | Arkansas State | 269 | 432 | 62.3% | 3,277 | 7.6 | 24 | 7 | 141.1 | 44 |
| Career | 405 | 683 | 59.3% | 5,112 | 7.5 | 43 | 16 | 138.3 | 44 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Arkansas State | 138 | 400 | 2.9 | 5 | 26 |
| 2014 | Arkansas State | 211 | 779 | 3.7 | 11 | 63 |
| Career | 349 | 1,179 | 3.4 | 16 | 63 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2015 season · 10 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 6-55@ No. 8 USC | 8/23 | 86 | 0 | 2 | 3.7 | 8.5 | |
| Wk 2 | L 20-27vs No. 21 Missouri | 11/23 | 97 | 2 | 1 | 4.2 | 24.7 | |
| Wk 7 | W 49-31@ South Alabama | 10/17 | 119 | 2 | 0 | 7.0 | 10.4 | |
| Wk 8 | W 37-27vs Louisiana | 8/19 | 105 | 2 | 1 | 5.5 | 40.4 | |
| Wk 9 | W 48-34vs Georgia State | 21/29 | 224 | 3 | 2 | 7.7 | 47.1 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 10 | W 40-27@ App State | 14/25 | 208 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 | 69.2 | |
| Wk 11 | W 59-21@ UL Monroe | 15/29 | 300 | 5 | 0 | 10.3 | 71.1 | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | W 52-28@ New Mexico State | 23/42 | 367 | 2 | 1 | 8.7 | 73.6 | Season-high 367 yds |
| Wk 14 | W 55-17vs Texas State | 12/16 | 192 | 2 | 0 | 12.0 | 95.4 | |
 Bowl | L 28-47vs Louisiana Tech | 14/28 | 137 | 0 | 2 | 4.9 | 31.0 | |
| Total | 136/251 | 1835 | 19 | 9 | 7.3 | — |
Week 11 · 2015
W 59-21
at UL Monroe
300 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT · QBR 71.1 · 22 rush yds (11 car) · 1 TD
Dominant 38-point win on the road against UL Monroe.
With L. Ferguson — 42.6 yards per punt · 11 punts · 59 long · C. Murray — 2 rec · 52 yds · 1 TD
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 249 passing plays (133 completions) against the box score's 251 attempts (136 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
6.2780 of 198 QBsSack rate
5.6%91 of 198 QBsRarely sacked (91 of 198 QBs) and still 80 of 198 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 54.2% completion on 251 attempts · 21 deep completions averaging 39.9 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2015 baseline
No situation moves him more than 31 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
2 seasons under Blake Anderson — 16-10 over that span.
Splits · Per-game
2015 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 154 | 2.2 | 7.3 | 1.0 |
| Road5g | 216 | 2.0 | 7.6 | 0.6 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 110 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 233 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 0.7 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Blake Anderson
Pass share
38.1%
365 pass / 593 run
Plays / game
73.7
13 games
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Player standing · 2015
Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.
How it ended
Two seasons at Arkansas State, 5,112 passing yards, a first-team All-Conference season (2014) — the college career is complete.
Honored in a first season.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-SUN BELT · 2ND TEAM
All-Sun Belt 2nd team (2015)
Coaching lineage · 2012–2015
3 coachesPlayed under 3 different head coaches: Gus Malzahn, Bryan Harsin, and Blake Anderson. Multi-era developmental context.
