cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Gamarion Carter /Middle Tennessee

Gamarion Carter

WR · Middle Tennessee · Sr · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

32 REC YDS · 3 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Middle Tennessee for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Middle Tennessee for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Middle Tennessee

Returning around him

  • 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Middle Tennessee player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (19 in / 18 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Middle Tennessee · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #110 · 2026 recruiting class #98

WR · MIDDLE TENNESSEE · CONFERENCE USA

Gamarion Carter

  • 4
  • #17
  • 6-2 | 190 lb
  • Toccoa, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

6

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 23rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5347

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
1272022
89.02023
32.02025

-75%

Sharp dropoff (-75%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1623 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey17
Measurements6-2 | 190 lb
HometownToccoa, GA
Primary teamMiddle Tennessee

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1623 recruit
Composite rating 0.8344 HighSchool
Signed with Vanderbilt 2021
Origin Stephens County Toccoa, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8344 No. 1623 recruit | HighSchool | Vanderbilt

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Middle Tennessee 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 4, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Vanderbilt -> Middle Tennessee 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5347Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6127Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Vanderbilt

Composite

0.8344

#1623 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Gamarion Carter

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Gamarion Carter

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
32Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
10.7Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
138.7Rec yards
13Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 32): needs 66.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 32): needs 96.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 3): needs 5.7/game over remaining 10.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 3): needs 7.7/game over remaining 10.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Gamarion Carter's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Middle Tennessee, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #5347 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 3 0 rec TD | #811/1110 (27th pct)
Receiving yards 32 10.7 per catch | #847/1107 (24th pct)
Scrimmage yards 32 Total offensive yardage | #847/1107 (24th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
3 27th
YDS
32 24th
YPR
10.7 38th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 5L 16-24@ Kennesaw State11515.0015Season-high 15 yds
Wk 10L 21-24vs Jacksonville State166.006
Wk 13W 31-17vs Sam Houston11111.0011
Total33210.7015
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Vanderbilt5-7HC: Clark Lea · Run-leaning
2023Vanderbilt2-10HC: Clark Lea · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Middle Tennessee3-9HC: Derek Mason · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Middle Tennessee33210.70--
2023Vanderbilt38929.70--
2022Vanderbilt612721.21--
Career3 loaded seasons1224820.71--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.0% 3.7% pass-game share | #976/1137 (14th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 3 #811/1110 27th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 32 #847/1107 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 10.7 #682/1106 38th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 3.7% #976/1137 14th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 15 #858/1105 22nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.2% #885/1137 22nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.1% #783/1137 31st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.2% #856/1137 25th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.0% #950/1137 17th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 1.5% #999/1137 12th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #937/1137 18th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g1.08.58.50.0
Road1g1.015.015.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g1.011.011.00.0
Losses2g1.010.510.50.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g1.015.015.00.0
Weeks 8+2g1.08.58.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

6Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#431 / 558 · 23rd pct
10.7rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Long catch#550 / 558 · 1st pct
15rece
Rec yards#558 / 558 · 0th pct
32rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
3rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Gamarion CarterMiddle TennesseeMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 47% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 42% simAaron TurnerRice· 38% sim
Yards / catch
23
Carter
9
III
15
Gibson
1
Turner
Rec TDs
7
Carter
24
III
7
Gibson
68
Turner
Long catch
1
Carter
16
III
56
Gibson
65
Turner
Rec yards
0
Carter
70
III
74
Gibson
48
Turner
Receptions
0
Carter
92
III
92
Gibson
92
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Derek Mason

Pass share

61.3%

495 pass / 313 run

Plays / game

67.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.6%

373 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
2023
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
2025
Derek Mason
Middle Tennessee
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Rick Stockstill → Derek Mason. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownToccoa, GA
Height6'2"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Middle Tennessee WR4 #5347 #6127 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Vanderbilt WR4 #2848 #3630 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Vanderbilt WR4 #2026 #2554 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Vanderbilt WR4 #4486 #4940 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Middle Tennessee Conference USA WR 4 No. 17 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Toccoa, GA
2024 Middle Tennessee Conference USA WR 4 No. 17 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Toccoa, GA
2023 Vanderbilt SEC WR 4 No. 17 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Toccoa, GA
2022 Vanderbilt SEC WR 4 No. 17 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Toccoa, GA
2021 Vanderbilt SEC WR 4 No. 17 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Toccoa, GA