cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jaelyn Davis-Robinson /SMU

Jaelyn Davis-Robinson

CB · SMU · Jr · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

26 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to SMU for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to SMU for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Cornerback · SMU

Returning around him

  • 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 SMU player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (14 in / 25 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

SMU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #25 · 2026 recruiting class #31

CB · SMU · ACC

Jaelyn Davis-Robinson

  • 3
  • #13
  • 6-1 | 190 lb
  • Waxahachie, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

44

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#6019

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#483 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class3
Jersey13
Measurements6-1 | 190 lb
HometownWaxahachie, TX
Primary teamSMU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 483 recruit
Composite rating 0.8856 HighSchool
Signed with LSU 2022
Origin Waxahachie Waxahachie, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8856 No. 483 recruit | HighSchool | LSU

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination SMU 2023
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 15, 2022
Season Move Context
2023 LSU -> SMU 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#6019Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6146Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to LSU

Composite

0.8856

#483 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jaelyn Davis-Robinson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jaelyn Davis-Robinson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
26Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
48Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 26): needs 9/game over remaining 6.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 26): needs 12.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 6.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jaelyn Davis-Robinson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on SMU's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #6019 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 26 22 solo | #1609/4942 (67th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
26 67th
SOLO
22 80th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2L 45-48vs Baylor530.00.01
Wk 3W 28-10@ Missouri State760.00.010Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 4L 24-35@ TCU110.00.010
Wk 6W 31-18vs Syracuse660.00.02
Wk 11W 45-13@ Boston College220.00.00
Wk 14L 35-38@ California100.00.00
BowlW 24-19vs Arizona440.00.00
Total26220.00.023
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022LSU10-4HC: Brian Kelly · Balanced
2023SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2024SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2025SMU9-4HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025SMU26220.00.032--
2024SMU22110.00.03----
2023SMU16130.00.021--
2022LSU410.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons68470.00.083--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 26 #1609/4942 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 22 #902/4584 80th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home3g5.00.00.01.0
Road4g2.80.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g4.80.00.00.5
Losses3g2.30.00.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g4.60.00.00.6
Weeks 8+2g1.50.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

44Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Solo tackles#902 / 2975 · 69th pct
22defe
Tackles#1609 / 2975 · 45th pct
26defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jaelyn Davis-RobinsonSMUTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 67% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 67% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 67% sim
Passes defended
78
Davis-Robinson
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
91
Lafayette
Interceptions
75
Davis-Robinson
95
Johnson
75
Lafayette
Solo tackles
69
Davis-Robinson
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
98
Lafayette
Tackles
45
Davis-Robinson
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
99
Lafayette
Sacks
24
Davis-Robinson
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
63
Lafayette
QB hurries
22
Davis-Robinson
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
22
Lafayette
Tackles for loss
7
Davis-Robinson
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
56
Lafayette

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Cover Corner

Steady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Botros Alisandro’s 2024 season.

Botros Alisandro

89%match

Purdue · 2024

#2

Jaelyn Davis-Robinson

SMU · 2024

87%
#3

Ben Osueke

Temple · 2024

84%
#4

Elijah Jackson

Washington · 2024

84%
#5

Korie Black

Oklahoma State · 2021

NFL Rd 7
84%

Matches Botros on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Ennis Rakestraw Jr.'s senior season at Missouri (2023).

Ennis Rakestraw Jr.

84%match

Missouri · 2023

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 29
#2

Syeed Gibbs

Kansas · 2025

82%
#3

Jaden Mickey

Boise State · 2025

80%
#4

Coleman Bryson

North Carolina · 2025

80%
#5

Andru Phillips

Kentucky · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 6
78%

Matches Ennis on

Class year
PD rate
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Rhett Lashlee

Pass share

53.7%

460 pass / 396 run

Plays / game

65.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.4%

333 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2023
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2024
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2025
Rhett Lashlee
SMU

Played his entire career under Rhett Lashlee.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWaxahachie, TX
Height6'1"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionCB
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 SMU CB3 #6019 #6146 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 SMU CB3 #7091 #7215 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 LSU CB3 #9075 #8675 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 SMU ACC CB 3 No. 13 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Waxahachie, TX
2024 SMU ACC CB 3 No. 13 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Waxahachie, TX
2023 SMU American Athletic CB 3 No. 13 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Waxahachie, TX
2022 LSU SEC CB 3 No. 13 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Waxahachie, TX