cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jalen Apalit-Williams /San José State

Jalen Apalit-Williams

DB · San José State · Sr · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

53 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to San José State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to San José State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · San José State

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (17 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

San José State · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #109 · 2026 recruiting class #117

DB · SAN JOSÉ STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Jalen Apalit-Williams

  • 4
  • #7
  • 6-1 | 193 lb
  • Martinez, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

47

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11507

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1483 national
CFB
College
San José State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey7
Measurements6-1 | 193 lb
HometownMartinez, CA
Primary teamSan José State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1483 recruit
Composite rating 0.8415 HighSchool
Signed with San José State 2020
Origin Las Lomas Walnut Creek, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8415 No. 1483 recruit | HighSchool | San José State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11507Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11382Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to San José State

Composite

0.8415

#1483 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jalen Apalit-Williams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jalen Apalit-Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
53Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
69Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 53): needs 9/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 53): needs 15.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jalen Apalit-Williams is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on San José State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11507 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 0.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 53 27 solo | #525/4942 (89th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
53 89th
SOLO
27 86th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 14-16vs Central Michigan850.00.01
Wk 2L 7-38@ Texas650.00.010
Wk 4W 31-28vs Idaho950.00.01Season-high 9 tackles
Wk 5L 29-30@ Stanford310.00.00
Wk 7L 28-35@ Wyoming310.00.01
Wk 8L 25-30@ Utah State310.00.01
Wk 10W 45-38vs Hawai'i410.00.00
Wk 12L 10-55@ Nevada530.00.00
Wk 13L 3-25@ San Diego State720.00.00
Wk 14L 14-41vs Fresno State530.00.00
Total53270.00.014
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022San José State7-5HC: Brent Brennan · Pass-leaning
2023San José State7-6HC: Brent Brennan · Balanced, slow tempo
2025San José State3-9HC: Ken Niumatalolo · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025San José State53270.00.041--
2023San José State840.00.0------
2022San José State1--0.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons62310.00.041--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 53 #525/4942 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 41.0 #49/578 92nd pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 41 #146/578 75th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 27 #649/4584 86th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home4g6.50.00.00.5
Road6g4.50.00.00.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g6.50.00.00.5
Losses8g5.00.00.00.4

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g5.80.00.00.6
Weeks 8+5g4.80.00.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

47Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (85th). Strength: tackles (81st). Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Tackles#525 / 2975 · 82nd pct
53defe
Solo tackles#649 / 2975 · 77th pct
27defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jalen Apalit-WilliamsSan José StateBlake FletcherAir Force· 79% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 75% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 75% sim
Passes defended
86
Apalit-Williams
67
Fletcher
91
Ra-El
67
Martin
Tackles
82
Apalit-Williams
99
Fletcher
99
Ra-El
98
Martin
Solo tackles
77
Apalit-Williams
91
Fletcher
100
Ra-El
87
Martin
QB hurries
55
Apalit-Williams
92
Fletcher
22
Ra-El
22
Martin
Forced fumbles
47
Apalit-Williams
47
Ra-El
47
Martin
Interceptions
31
Apalit-Williams
31
Martin
Sacks
24
Apalit-Williams
24
Fletcher
24
Ra-El
24
Martin
Tackles for loss
7
Apalit-Williams
28
Fletcher
56
Ra-El
63
Martin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Malik Spencer’s 2025 season.

Malik Spencer

89%match

Michigan State · 2025

#2

Javon Mcintyre

Pittsburgh · 2024

87%
#3

Akeem Dent

Florida State · 2022

85%
#4

Caleb Spann

Central Michigan · 2025

86%
#5

Jordan Hansen

Northern Illinois · 2021

84%

Matches Malik on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Javon Mcintyre's senior season at Pittsburgh (2024).

Javon Mcintyre

90%match

Pittsburgh · 2024

#2

Alijah Clark

Syracuse · 2024

90%
#3

Malik Spencer

Michigan State · 2025

89%
#4

Hudson Clark

Arkansas · 2023

88%
#5

Malachi Moore

Alabama · 2023

All-SECNFL Rd 4
88%

Matches Javon on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ken Niumatalolo

Pass share

61.1%

486 pass / 310 run

Plays / game

66.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.1%

420 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Brent Brennan
San José State
2023
Brent Brennan
San José State
2025
Ken Niumatalolo
San José State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Brent Brennan → Ken Niumatalolo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMartinez, CA
Height6'1"
Weight193 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 San José State DB4 #11507 #11382 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 San José State DB4 #11622 #11445 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 San José State DB4 #11935 #11678 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 San José State DB4 #12039 #11948 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 San José State Mountain West DB 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 193 lb | Martinez, CA
2024 San José State Mountain West DB 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 193 lb | Martinez, CA
2023 San José State Mountain West DB 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 193 lb | Martinez, CA
2022 San José State Mountain West DB 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 193 lb | Martinez, CA
2021 San José State Mountain West DB 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 193 lb | Martinez, CA