cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jared Dawson /Notre Dame

Jared Dawson

DL · Notre Dame · Sr · #93

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

20 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Notre Dame for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Notre Dame for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Notre Dame

Returning around him

  • 37% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 6 Notre Dame players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (7 in / 15 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Notre Dame · Last season: 10-2 (AP #9) · Talent rank #9 · 2026 recruiting class #12

DL · NOTRE DAME · FBS INDEPENDENTS

Jared Dawson

  • 4
  • #93
  • 6-1 | 288 lb
  • Collierville, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

55

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 69th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#7884

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#775 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey93
Measurements6-1 | 288 lb
HometownCollierville, TN
Primary teamNotre Dame

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 775 recruit
Composite rating 0.8667 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Collierville Collierville, TN, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8667 No. 775 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Notre Dame 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 11, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Louisville -> Notre Dame 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#7884Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#8354Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8667

#775 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jared Dawson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jared Dawson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
20Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
26Tackles
4.5Tackles for loss
0.7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 20): needs 20/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 20): needs 26.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 1.8/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 3.2/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jared Dawson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Notre Dame's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #7884 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 20 10 solo | #1998/4942 (60th pct)
TFL 3.5 Backfield disruption | #869/4972 (83rd pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
20 60th
SOLO
10 56th
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
0.5 70th
QBH
4 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 24-27@ Miami210.00.01
Wk 3L 40-41vs Texas A&M110.00.00
Wk 6W 28-7vs Boise State110.00.00
Wk 7W 36-7vs NC State310.00.00
Wk 8W 34-24vs USC311.00.00
Wk 10W 25-10@ Boston College211.50.00
Wk 11W 49-10vs Navy210.00.00
Wk 12W 37-15@ Pittsburgh000.00.00
Wk 13W 70-7vs Syracuse421.00.50Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 14W 49-20@ Stanford210.00.00
Total20103.50.51
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Louisville6-6HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Louisville8-5HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning
2023Louisville10-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Run-leaning
2024Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
2025Notre Dame10-2HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Notre Dame20103.50.51----
2024Louisville19116.54.0------
2023Louisville1374.02.51----
2022Louisville1593.02.5------
2021Louisville210.00.0------
Career5 loaded seasons693817.09.52----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 20 #1998/4942 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.5 #869/4972 83rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 10 #1996/4584 56th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.30.30.10.0
Road4g1.50.40.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g2.10.40.10.0
Losses2g1.50.00.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.80.00.00.2
Weeks 8+6g2.20.60.10.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

55Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (87th).

QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Tackles for loss#866 / 2975 · 69th pct
3.5defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Tackles#1998 / 2975 · 32nd pct
20defe
Solo tackles#1996 / 2975 · 31st pct
10defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jared DawsonNotre DameTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 60% simTreylin PayneTexas State· 59% simRay ConeyTulsa· 59% sim
QB hurries
88
Dawson
95
Fields
82
Payne
88
Coney
Tackles for loss
69
Dawson
87
Fields
87
Payne
90
Coney
Sacks
51
Dawson
63
Fields
80
Payne
80
Coney
Passes defended
48
Dawson
67
Fields
67
Payne
67
Coney
Tackles
32
Dawson
98
Fields
98
Payne
100
Coney
Solo tackles
31
Dawson
96
Fields
95
Payne
93
Coney

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tuli Letuligasenoa’s 2021 season.

Tuli Letuligasenoa

92%match

Washington · 2021

#2

Skyler Gill-Howard

Northern Illinois · 2023

NFL Rd 6
91%
#3

Samuela Tuihalamaka

Oklahoma State · 2022

89%
#4

Prince James Boyd Jr.

Purdue · 2022

88%
#5

Tuli Letuligasenoa

Washington · 2023

86%

Matches Tuli on

Sack rate
TFL rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Devin Lee's graduate season at South Florida (2025).

Devin Lee

87%match

South Florida · 2025

#2

Dezmond Tell

Louisville · 2024

85%
#3

TyQaze Leggs

Marshall · 2024

83%
#4

Dierre Kelly

Bowling Green · 2025

82%
#5

Grady Kelly

Michigan State · 2025

80%

Matches Devin on

Class year
Weight
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Marcus Freeman

Pass share

44.0%

321 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

60.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

257 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Brian Kelly
Notre Dame
2022
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
era →
2023
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
2024
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
2025
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame

Coaching transition mid-career: Brian Kelly → Marcus Freeman. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCollierville, TN
Height6'1"
Weight288 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey93

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisville DL4 #7884 #8354 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Louisville DL4 #5285 #5705 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Louisville DL4 #6916 #7205 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Louisville DL4 #11490 #11325 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Notre Dame FBS Independents DL 4 No. 93 | 6-1 | 288 lb | Collierville, TN
2024 Louisville ACC DL 4 No. 93 | 6-1 | 288 lb | Collierville, TN
2023 Louisville ACC DL 4 No. 93 | 6-1 | 288 lb | Collierville, TN
2022 Louisville ACC DL 4 No. 93 | 6-1 | 288 lb | Collierville, TN
2021 Louisville ACC DL 4 No. 93 | 6-1 | 288 lb | Collierville, TN