Jayden Daniels: QB · LSU · #5.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Jayden Daniels
Extends plays on the move until something opens up. Played for two head coaches at two programs in five seasons: Herm Edwards and Brian Kelly. First career honor, 2023: All-America (Consensus). One game to point at: 414 passing yards and 99 rushing yards against Ole Miss — Week 5, 2023.
Play style
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
73.9% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 25.9% conversion-per-dropback — 58.8% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
11 of the team's 47 inside-the-5 carries (23.4%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
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| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | LSU | 236 | 327 | 72.2% | 3,812 | 11.7 | 40 | 4 | 208.0 | 97 |
| 2022 | LSU | 266 | 388 | 68.6% | 2,913 | 7.5 | 17 | 3 | 144.5 | 62 |
| 2021 | Arizona State | 197 | 301 | 65.4% | 2,380 | 7.9 | 10 | 10 | 136.2 | 53 |
| 2020 | Arizona State | 49 | 84 | 58.3% | 701 | 8.3 | 5 | 1 | 145.7 | 42 |
| 2019 | Arizona State | 205 | 338 | 60.7% | 2,943 | 8.7 | 17 | 2 | 149.2 | 49 |
| Career | 953 | 1,438 | 66.3% | 12,749 | 8.9 | 89 | 20 | 158.4 | 64 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | LSU | 135 | 1,134 | 8.4 | 10 | 85 |
| 2022 | LSU | 186 | 885 | 4.8 | 11 | 37 |
| 2021 | Arizona State | 138 | 710 | 5.1 | 6 | 51 |
| 2020 | Arizona State | 33 | 223 | 6.8 | 4 | 53 |
| 2019 | Arizona State | 125 | 355 | 2.8 | 3 | 27 |
| Career | 617 | 3,307 | 5.4 | 34 | 85 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2023 season · 12 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 24-45vs No. 8 Florida State | 22/37 | 346 | 1 | 1 | 9.4 | 61.8 | |
| Wk 2 | W 72-10vs Grambling | 18/24 | 269 | 5 | 0 | 11.2 | 89.7 | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 41-14@ Mississippi State | 30/34 | 361 | 2 | 0 | 10.6 | 95.3 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 4 | W 34-31vs Arkansas | 20/29 | 320 | 4 | 1 | 11.0 | 85.4 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 5 | L 49-55@ No. 20 Ole Miss | 27/36 | 414 | 4 | 0 | 11.5 | 92.7 | Season-high 414 yds |
| Wk 6 | W 49-39@ No. 21 Missouri | 15/21 | 259 | 3 | 0 | 12.3 | 97.1 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 7 | W 48-18vs Auburn | 20/27 | 325 | 3 | 1 | 12.0 | 90.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | W 62-0vs Army | 11/15 | 279 | 3 | 0 | 18.6 | 96.0 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 10 | L 28-42@ No. 8 Alabama | 15/24 | 219 | 2 | 1 | 9.1 | 97.6 | |
| Wk 11 | W 52-35vs Florida | 17/26 | 372 | 3 | 0 | 14.3 | 98.9 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 12 | W 56-14vs Georgia State | 25/30 | 413 | 6 | 0 | 13.8 | 98.8 | 6 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | W 42-30vs Texas A&M | 16/24 | 235 | 4 | 0 | 9.8 | 98.3 | 4 TD passes |
| Total | 236/327 | 3812 | 40 | 4 | 11.7 | — |
Week 5 · 2023
L 49-55
at Ole Miss
414 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT · QBR 92.7 · 99 rush yds (15 car) · 1 TD
With J. Bramblett — 43.3 yards per punt · 3 punts · 2 inside the 20 · L. Diggs — 101 rush yds (19 car) · 2 TD · 2 rec · 22 yds
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 313 passing plays (225 completions) against the box score's 327 attempts (236 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
12.481 of 212 QBsSack rate
6.0%117 of 212 QBsSacked on 6.0% of dropbacks (117 of 212) — and still 1 of 212 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 72.2% completion on 327 attempts · 65 deep completions averaging 34.7 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2023 baseline
No situation moves him more than 25 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2023 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 316 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 0.3 |
| Road4g | 313 | 2.8 | 10.9 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 328 | 3.1 | 11.1 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 304 | 3.6 | 13.1 | 0.2 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brian Kelly
Pass share
49.0%
407 pass / 423 run
Plays / game
63.8
13 games
Scheme: Balanced.
Player standing · 2023
The trophy is in the case.
Recognition
Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score
Former four-star. Now #1 at the position.
Selector Grid · 2023
Named Consensus All-American — recognized on 3+ of the 5 NCAA-recognized selector lists.
Career, closed
Gone at #2 overall.
How it ended
Five seasons, at Arizona State and LSU, 12,749 passing yards, the Heisman Trophy (2023) — drafted at #2 overall by the Washington Commanders.
A blue-chip recruit with honors.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-AMERICA · CONSENSUS
Consensus AA (2023)
11 first-team selectors
National awards
Heisman, Walter Camp, Davey O'Brien +2 more
2023 season
ALL-SEC · 1ST TEAM
All-SEC 1st team (2023)
Coaching lineage · 2019–2023
2 coachesPlayed for 2 head coaches at 2 schools: Herm Edwards and Brian Kelly.
Next stop · NFL
Washington CommandersEntering 3rd NFL season
Washington CommandersEntering 3rd NFL season
