cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jayden Williams /North Texas

Jayden Williams

DL · North Texas · So · #94

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

21 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to North Texas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to North Texas for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · North Texas

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +11 net (49 in / 38 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

North Texas · Last season: 12-2 (AP #23) · Talent rank #96 · 2026 recruiting class #112

DL · NORTH TEXAS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Jayden Williams

  • 2
  • #94
  • 6-2 | 298 lb
  • Monroe, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

30

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 72nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12566

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2242 national
CFB
College
North Texas
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey94
Measurements6-2 | 298 lb
HometownMonroe, LA
Primary teamNorth Texas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2242 recruit
Composite rating 0.8225 HighSchool
Signed with North Texas 2024
Origin Wossman Monroe, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8225 No. 2242 recruit | HighSchool | North Texas

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12566Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12302Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to North Texas

Composite

0.8225

#2242 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jayden Williams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jayden Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
21Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
34Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 21): needs 11.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 21): needs 15.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jayden Williams is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on North Texas's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12566 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 0.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 21 12 solo | #1929/4942 (61st pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
21 61st
SOLO
12 62nd
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
2 66th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 51-0vs Lamar110.00.00
Wk 3W 59-10vs Washington State210.00.00
Wk 5W 36-22vs South Alabama540.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 7L 36-63vs South Florida420.00.00
Wk 9W 54-20@ Charlotte310.00.00
Wk 13W 56-24@ Rice200.00.00
Wk 14W 52-25vs Temple210.00.00
Wk 15L 21-34@ Tulane220.00.00
Total21120.00.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025North Texas12-2HC: Eric Morris · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025North Texas21120.00.0------
Career1 loaded season21120.00.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 21 #1929/4942 61st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 12 #1735/4584 62nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.80.00.00.0
Road3g2.30.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g2.50.00.00.0
Losses2g3.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g3.00.00.00.0
Weeks 8+4g2.20.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

30Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Solo tackles#1735 / 2975 · 40th pct
12defe
Tackles#1929 / 2975 · 34th pct
21defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jayden WilliamsNorth TexasBlake FletcherAir Force· 59% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 51% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 48% sim
QB hurries
72
Williams
92
Fletcher
22
Martin
82
Davey
Solo tackles
40
Williams
91
Fletcher
87
Martin
99
Davey
Tackles
34
Williams
99
Fletcher
98
Martin
99
Davey
Sacks
24
Williams
24
Fletcher
24
Martin
63
Davey
Passes defended
18
Williams
67
Fletcher
67
Martin
18
Davey
Tackles for loss
7
Williams
28
Fletcher
63
Martin
91
Davey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Christopher Clark-Jolivet’s 2025 season.

Christopher Clark-Jolivet

88%match

Rice · 2025

#2

Tim Passmore Jr.

Massachusetts · 2025

87%
#3

Nazir Sy

Akron · 2021

86%
#4

Hugo Klages

Massachusetts · 2021

86%
#5

Cameron Roetherford

Cincinnati · 2024

86%

Matches Christopher on

Class year
Sack rate
TFL rate

Differs from Christopher on

Height (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Eamon Smalls's sophomore season at UAB (2024).

Eamon Smalls

87%match

UAB · 2024

#2

Chris Marable Jr.

Boston College · 2025

84%
#3

Dallas Vakalahi

Utah · 2025

84%
#4

Tim Passmore Jr.

Massachusetts · 2025

83%
#5

Nazir Sy

Akron · 2021

83%

Matches Eamon on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eric Morris

Pass share

48.5%

475 pass / 504 run

Plays / game

69.9

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.9%

321 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Eric Morris
North Texas

Played his entire career under Eric Morris.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMonroe, LA
Height6'2"
Weight298 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey94

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 North Texas DL2 #12566 #12302 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 North Texas American Athletic DL 2 No. 94 | 6-2 | 298 lb | Monroe, LA
2024 North Texas American Athletic DL 2 No. 94 | 6-2 | 298 lb | Monroe, LA