CFB Zeitgeist Score
26
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 94th percentile.
Jaylen Poe
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
40 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 6 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Northern Illinois for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Northern Illinois
Returning around him
- 53% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -17 net (5 in / 22 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Northern Illinois · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #125 · 2026 recruiting class #84
RB · NORTHERN ILLINOIS · MID-AMERICAN
Jaylen Poe
- 2
- #28
- 5-10 | 212 lb
- Dallas, GA
Heisman Heat
#3594
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025-9%
Down 9% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Northern Illinois
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jaylen Poe
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jaylen Poe
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 4g
40Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
10Rush yards
2Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
130Rush yards
20Carries
0Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 40): needs 78.9/game over remaining 9.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 40): needs 106.7/game over remaining 9.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 40): needs 162.2/game over remaining 9.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.1/game over remaining 9.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 9.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.2/game over remaining 9.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jaylen Poe's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Northern Illinois, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
6 20th
YDS
40 25th
YPC
6.7 91st
TD
0 40th
Receiving
REC
7 51st
YDS
34 40th
YPR
4.9 23rd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 4 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 19-17vs Holy Cross | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 21 | Season-high 22 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 9-20@ Maryland | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 4 | L 10-38@ Mississippi State | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 5 | L 3-6vs San Diego State | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Total | 6 | 40 | 6.1 | 0 | 21 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Northern Illinois7-6HC: Thomas Hammock · Run-leaning
2025Northern Illinois3-9HC: Thomas Hammock · Run-heavy, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Northern Illinois | 6 | 40 | 6.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | 6 | 44 | 7.3 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 12 | 84 | 7.0 | 0 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Northern Illinois | 7 | 34 | 4.9 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 7 | 34 | 4.9 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 40 | #549/735 | 25th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.7 | #67/735 | 91st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 7 | #270/552 | 51st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 34 | #330/548 | 40th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 6.0% | #489/738 | 34th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 21 | #389/733 | 47th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 6 | #592/739 | 20th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 9 | #425/540 | 21st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 4.9 | #425/548 | 23rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 9.0 | #175/199 | 13th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 9 | #181/200 | 10th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 9.9% | #33/738 | 96th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.3% | #268/738 | 64th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.1% | #338/738 | 54th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 6.3% | #505/738 | 32nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.3% | #552/738 | 25th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.2% | #545/738 | 26th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 3.8% | #667/738 | 10th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 4 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 12.0 | 6.5 | 0.0 |
| Road2g | 8.0 | 5.3 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 22.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses3g | 6.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 10.0 | 6.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
26Below cohort
Elite: yards / carry (94th). Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jaylen PoeNorthern IllinoisKamari MoultonIowa· 44% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 44% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 43% sim
Yards / carry
Receptions
Rec yards
Long run
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Thomas Hammock
Pass share
33.0%
244 pass / 495 run
Plays / game
61.6
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.3%
234 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Thomas Hammock
Northern Illinois
2025
Thomas Hammock
Northern Illinois
Played his entire career under Thomas Hammock.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownDallas, GA
Height5'10"
Weight212 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey28
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNorthern Illinois
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Northern Illinois | RB2 | #3594 | #3675 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | RB2 | #2648 | #2871 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | RB | 2 | No. 28 | 5-10 | 212 lb | Dallas, GA |
| 2024 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | RB | 2 | No. 28 | 5-10 | 212 lb | Dallas, GA |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | RB | 2 | No. 28 | 5-10 | 212 lb | Dallas, GA |