CFB Zeitgeist Score
63
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 87th percentile.
Jeff Caldwell
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
478 REC YDS · 32 REC · 6 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Cincinnati for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Cincinnati
Returning around him
- 79% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 4 Cincinnati players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -1 net (22 in / 23 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Cincinnati · Last season: 7-6 (AP #22) · Talent rank #73 · 2026 recruiting class #61
WR · CINCINNATI · BIG 12
Jeff Caldwell
- 4
- #9
- 6-5 | 215 lb
- Louisville, KY
Heisman Heat
Awaiting
Not on the live Heisman board this week.
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
—
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Cincinnati
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Lindenwood -> Cincinnati | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens
Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.
Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jeff Caldwell
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Rivals · n=2
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jeff Caldwell
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
14.9
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #109 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 80th
Why it matters
#109 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.9 yards per reception (32 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 14.9 (80th)
HIGH · n=32 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving TDs#55 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#238 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 2 vs Bowling Green — 109 ypr
Result W 34-20
The week the volume broke through — put up 109 yds vs Bowling Green.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
478Rec yards
32Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
39.8Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
517.8Rec yards
35Receptions
6Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 478): needs 222/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 478): needs 522/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 32): needs 28/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 32): needs 48/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 2/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 4/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jeff Caldwell's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Cincinnati, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
32 77th
YDS
478 78th
YPR
14.9 75th
TD
6 95th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 17-20vs Nebraska | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 2 | W 34-20vs Bowling Green | 5 | 109 | 21.8 | 1 | 39 | Season-high 109 yds |
| Wk 3 | W 70-0vs Northwestern State | 3 | 58 | 19.3 | 0 | 28 | |
| Wk 5 | W 37-34@ Kansas | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 6 | W 38-30vs Iowa State | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 7 | W 20-11vs UCF | 3 | 58 | 19.3 | 2 | 40 | 2 TD catches |
| Wk 8 | W 49-17@ Oklahoma State | 3 | 54 | 18.0 | 0 | 38 | |
| Wk 9 | W 41-20vs Baylor | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 10 | L 14-45@ Utah | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 12 | L 24-30vs Arizona | 5 | 68 | 13.6 | 1 | 33 | |
| Wk 13 | L 14-26vs BYU | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 1 | 19 | |
| Wk 14 | L 23-45@ TCU | 4 | 42 | 10.5 | 1 | 16 | |
| Total | 32 | 478 | 13.6 | 6 | 40 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Cincinnati7-6HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Cincinnati | 32 | 478 | 14.9 | 6 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 32 | 478 | 14.9 | 6 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 32 | #255/1110 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 478 | #240/1107 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 6 | #56/1111 | 95th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 14.9 | #272/1106 | 75th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 16.3% | #187/1137 | 84th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 40 | #450/1105 | 59th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 12.4% | #120/1137 | 90th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 11.3% | #73/1137 | 94th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.4% | #266/1137 | 77th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 8.2% | #199/1137 | 83rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.3% | #269/1137 | 76th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.8% | #345/1137 | 70th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 2.6 | 43.0 | 14.4 | 0.6 |
| Road4g | 2.8 | 33.5 | 12.1 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 2.7 | 47.4 | 16.2 | 0.4 |
| Losses5g | 2.6 | 29.2 | 10.0 | 0.6 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.7 | 46.3 | 15.9 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.7 | 33.3 | 11.3 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
63Solid starter
Elite: rec tds (86th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2025
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jeff CaldwellCincinnatiGermie BernardAlabama· 75% simKevin ConcepcionTexas A&M· 75% simElijah SarrattIndiana· 72% sim
Rec TDs
Yards / catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Long catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Jump-Ball Target
Wins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Da'Quan Felton’s 2023 season.
Da'Quan Felton
81%match
#2
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg
80%
#3
Christian Fitzpatrick
77%
#4
Isaiah Neyor
75%
#5
Jordan Cooper
69%
Matches Da'Quan on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
TD rate
Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to CJ Turner’s path through SE Louisiana.
CJ Turner
97%match
#2
Cary Angeline
97%
#3
Jared Gipson
96%
#4
Jalen Coker
96%
#5
Trevon Grimes
96%
Matches CJ on
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Quentin Skinner's sophomore season at Kansas (2022).
Quentin Skinner
80%match
#2
Jordan Smith
79%
#3
Noah Thomas
74%
#4
Devin Carter
74%
#5
Ja'Cyais Credle
71%
Matches Quentin on
TD rate
Yards / reception
Reception volume
Differs from Quentin on
Weight (higher)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Scott Satterfield
Pass share
47.8%
363 pass / 396 run
Plays / game
58.4
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
2.6%
266 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
Played his entire career under Scott Satterfield.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLouisville, KY
Height6'5"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey9
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamCincinnati
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc1 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model. | |||||||||
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 9 | 6-5 | 215 lb | Louisville, KY |