cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Josh Cuevas /Alabama

Josh Cuevas

TE · Alabama · Sr · #80

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

411 REC YDS · 37 REC · 4 REC TD

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Baltimore — Rd 5, Pick 33, #173 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Baltimore2026 NFL rookie season

#173Rd 5 · Pick 33
Baltimore2026 NFL rookie season

TE · ALABAMA · SEC

Josh Cuevas

  • 4
  • #80
  • 6-3 | 256 lb
  • Los Angeles, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

68

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 81st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#597

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
1642023
2182024
4112025

+151%

Up 151% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 &middot; #173
Baltimore &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey80
Measurements6-3 | 256 lb
HometownLos Angeles, CA
Primary teamAlabama

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#597Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#484Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (411).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 5, Pick 33

#173 overall · Baltimore

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Josh Cuevas

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 10 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 10 mentions · belief +0 · "Alabama Crimson Tide fans get an inside look as Luke Robinson and Jimmy Stein sp"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +100 · "It's the Lockdown Podcast Network. Your team every day. Get your daily college s"National
  • Own fans · n=10
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Josh Cuevas

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

4

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #161 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 70th

Why it matters

#161 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 4 TDs on 37 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 4 (70th)

HIGH · n=37 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#349 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#294 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 at Florida State — 1 receiving_tds

Result L 17-31

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Florida State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
411Rec yards
37Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
34.2Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
445.2Rec yards
40Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 411): needs 289/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 411): needs 589/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 37): needs 23/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 37): needs 43/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Josh Cuevas's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Alabama, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #597 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 37 4 rec TD | #23/475 (95th pct)
Receiving yards 411 11.1 per catch | #34/475 (93rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 418 Total offensive yardage | #34/475 (93rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
37 95th
YDS
411 93rd
YPR
11.1 66th
TD
4 95th

Rushing

CAR
1 51st
YDS
7 57th
YPC
7.0 79th
TD
0 69th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 17-31@ Florida State33110.3127
Wk 2W 73-0vs UL Monroe2147.0111
Wk 3W 38-14vs Wisconsin3227.309
Wk 5W 24-21@ Georgia22412.0012
Wk 6W 30-14vs Vanderbilt33511.7018
Wk 7W 27-24@ Missouri22814.0021
Wk 8W 37-20vs Tennessee23316.5018
Wk 9W 29-22@ South Carolina3165.318
Wk 11W 20-9vs LSU45814.5032
Wk 12L 21-23vs Oklahoma68013.3125Season-high 80 yds
BowlW 34-24@ Oklahoma33511.7023
BowlL 3-38@ Indiana4358.8016
Total3741111.0432
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Washington14-1HC: Kalen DeBoer · Pass-leaning
2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning
2025Alabama11-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Alabama3741111.14--
2024Alabama1621813.61--
2023Washington416441.01--
Career3 loaded seasons5779313.96--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.7% 11.8% pass-game share | #55/468 (88th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #27/475 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 37 #23/475 95th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 411 #34/475 93rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #27/475 95th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 11.1 #161/475 66th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 11.8% #55/468 88th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing LONG 7 #17/50 68th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing yards 7 #24/53 57th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Yards / carry 7.0 #12/53 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Rushing Carries 1 #30/59 51st pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Rush TD 0 #20/62 69th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 32 #122/475 75th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 7.0% #22/468 96th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 6.8% #28/468 94th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 6.7% #30/468 94th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.6% #50/468 90th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.1% #110/468 77th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 6.1% #100/468 79th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.3% #43/468 91st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g3.340.311.70.3
Road6g2.828.210.30.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins9g2.729.411.10.2
Losses3g4.348.710.80.7

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-78g2.828.010.30.2
Weeks 8+4g3.846.812.40.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

68Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (85th). Strength: rec yards (80th).

Receptions#23 / 175 · 86th pct
37rece
Rec yards#34 / 175 · 81st pct
411rece
Rec TDs#27 / 175 · 80th pct
4rece
Rush yards#12 / 33 · 64th pct
7rush
Yards / catch#72 / 175 · 59th pct
11.1rece
Long catch#100 / 175 · 42nd pct
32rece
Rush TDs#14 / 33 · 30th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Josh CuevasAlabamaKenyon SadiqOregon· 89% simGarrett OakleyKansas State· 89% simJack VellingMichigan State· 87% sim
Receptions
86
Cuevas
97
Sadiq
88
Oakley
83
Velling
Rec yards
81
Cuevas
95
Sadiq
79
Oakley
71
Velling
Rec TDs
80
Cuevas
100
Sadiq
95
Oakley
66
Velling
Rush yards
64
Cuevas
59
Sadiq
Yards / catch
59
Cuevas
57
Sadiq
42
Oakley
39
Velling
Long catch
42
Cuevas
39
Sadiq
53
Oakley
32
Velling
Rush TDs
30
Cuevas
30
Sadiq

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Justin Joly’s 2025 season.

Justin Joly

71%match

NC State · 2025

All-ACCNFL Rd 5
#2

Mason Fairchild

Kansas · 2023

69%
#3

Mason Fairchild

Kansas · 2022

All-Big 12
68%
#4

Jeremiah Hasley

Duke · 2025

66%
#5

Cade Stover

Ohio State · 2023

All-Big TenNFL Rd 4
66%

Matches Justin on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Weight

Differs from Justin on

Reception volume (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Justin Joly's senior season at NC State (2025).

Justin Joly

80%match

NC State · 2025

All-ACCNFL Rd 5
#2

Dallas Payne

Florida International · 2025

77%
#3

Jack Westover

Washington · 2023

75%
#4

Lance Mason

Wisconsin · 2025

All-Big Ten
70%
#5

D'Andre Rogers

TCU · 2025

74%

Matches Justin on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Justin on

Reception volume (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kalen DeBoer

Pass share

53.4%

523 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

65.3

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

384 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Nick Saban
Alabama
2024
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
era →
2025
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama

Coaching transition mid-career: Nick Saban → Kalen DeBoer. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLos Angeles, CA
Height6'3"
Weight256 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey80

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Alabama TE4 #597 #484 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Washington TE4 #805 #571 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Alabama SEC TE 4 No. 80 | 6-3 | 256 lb | Los Angeles, CA
2024 Alabama SEC TE 4 No. 80 | 6-3 | 256 lb | Los Angeles, CA
2023 Washington Pac-12 TE 4 No. 80 | 6-3 | 256 lb | Los Angeles, CA