Josh Kelly

Former wide receiver at Texas Tech. 2024: 89 catches, 1,023 receiving yards, 5 TD.

WR · Texas Tech · Sr. · #3

6′1″ · 195 lb · Fresno, CA

CFB Index 84 · #20 of 466 WRsHigh confidenceAll-ConferenceTexas Tech 2024 — college career complete

Recruiting

3★

WR recruit

No. 2153 nationally · Signed with Fresno State

Statement game9 rec · 150 ydsvs West Virginia (FBS) · W 52-15

Top 1% receiving yards game since 2021.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

Former wide receiver at Texas Tech. 2024: 89 catches, 1,023 receiving yards, 5 TD.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Fresno State in 2019.
Transferred from Washington State to Texas Tech in 2024.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Six seasons at Texas Tech, 3,251 receiving yards — his college career is complete.

His career

Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.

The week the volume broke through — put up 159 yds vs Oregon State.Oregon State · W 38-352023

20193 games

Signed with Fresno State3-star out of San Joaquin Memorial

202312 games

The role got bigger.

Entered the portal

202412 games

Entered the portal
All-Big 12second

Career arc

Recruit

★★★

#2153 national

CFB

College

3 teams

2019–2024

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Trophy case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 honor

🎖

ALL-BIG 12 · 2ND TEAM

All-Big 12 2nd team (2024)

Coaching lineage · 2019–2024

2 coaches

2019–2021

Matt Wells

Texas Tech

2022–2024

Joey McGuire

Texas Tech

era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Matt Wells → Joey McGuire. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

2024 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2019Fresno State4-8HC: Jeff Tedford · Balanced

2020Fresno State3-3HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced, fast tempo

2021Fresno State10-3HC: Lee Marks · Balanced, fast tempo

2022Fresno State10-4HC: Jeff Tedford · Balanced

2023Washington State5-7HC: Jake Dickert · Pass-leaning

2024Texas Tech8-5HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced, fast tempo

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

84All-Conference level #20 of 466?

High confidence11 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: catch rate (81st percentile). Strength: receptions (99th percentile). Concern: fumbles lost (7th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Catch rate#113 / 610 · 81st pct

97.7%

Explosive rate#186 / 610 · 70th pct

18.6%

EPA / target#187 / 610 · 69th pct

1.03

Yards / catch#328 / 610 · 46th pct

11.7

TD rate#370 / 610 · 39th pct

4.7%

Box-score rates (6)

Receptions#5 / 541 · 99th pct

Rec yards#22 / 541 · 96th pct

1023

Rec TDs#101 / 541 · 78th pct

Long catch#362 / 541 · 32nd pct

Yards / catch#390 / 541 · 28th pct

11.5

Fumbles lost#197 / 221 · 7th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / target

79th → 69th percentile

Explosive rate

74th → 70th percentile

Catch rate

46th → 81st percentile

TD rate

61st → 39th percentile

Yards / catch

75th → 46th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2024 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home7g	8.0	103	13.5	0.4
Road5g	6.6	59.8	8.5	0.4

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-76g	7.3	85.7	12.1	0.5
Weeks 8+6g	7.5	84.8	10.8	0.3

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Joey McGuire

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2024

All-Conference

Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

84 · #20 of 466 WRs

Three-star recruit. Now #20 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2024	Texas Tech	89	1,023	11.5	5	--
2023	Washington State	61	923	15.1	8	--
2022	Fresno State	12	207	17.2	0	--
2021	Fresno State	52	778	15.0	3	--
2020	Fresno State	22	330	15.0	1	--
2019	Fresno State	1	-10	-10.0	0	--
Career		237	3,251	13.7	17	--

Season	Team
2024	Texas Tech	--	--	--	29	--
2023	Washington State	1	3	8	--	--
2022	Fresno State	--	--	--	--	--
2021	Fresno State	3	20	--	--	--
2020	Fresno State	2	8	225	--	--
2019	Fresno State	--	--	--	--	--
Career		6	31	233	29	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2024

W 52–51

vs Abilene Christian

10 rec · 156 yds · 1 TD

Edged out Abilene Christian at home in a shootout.

With B. Morton — 378 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT · QBR 68.4 · -5 rush yds (2 car) · D. McCray — 55 AVG · 74 LONG · 3 NO

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 10 · Iowa State · 2&9 · Q1 · EPA +3.56Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 35 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
Week 3 · North Texas · 2&21 · Q1 · EPA +3.56Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 26 yds to the UNT 47 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · Washington State · 4&9 · Q2 · EPA +3.44Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 20 yds to the WSU 49 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · Washington State · 3&3 · Q3 · EPA +3.33Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 37 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST down
Week 14 · West Virginia · 3&4 · Q3 · EPA +3.14Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 25 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST down
Week 10 · Iowa State · 3&6 · Q3 · EPA +3.14Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 19 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
Week 3 · North Texas · 3&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.08Josh Kelly 10 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)
Week 10 · Iowa State · 4&7 · Q4 · EPA +3.06Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 8 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST down
Week 1 · Abilene Christian · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +2.97Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 35 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
Week 4 · Arizona State · 3&3 · Q1 · EPA +2.95Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 20 yds for a TD (Reese Burkhardt KICK)

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2024 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 52-51vs Abilene Christian	10	156	15.6	1	35	Season-high 156 yds
Wk 2	L 16-37@ Washington State	9	95	10.6	0	37
Wk 3	W 66-21vs North Texas	2	36	18.0	1	26
Wk 4	W 30-22vs Arizona State	10	89	8.9	1	20
Wk 5	W 44-41vs Cincinnati	8	111	13.9	0	29
Wk 6	W 28-22@ Arizona	5	27	5.4	0	12
Wk 8	L 35-59vs Baylor	9	76	8.4	0	32
Wk 9	L 34-35@ TCU	7	19	2.7	0	9
Wk 10	W 23-22@ Iowa State	8	127	15.9	2	35	2 TD catches
Wk 11	L 27-41vs Colorado	8	106	13.3	0	35
Wk 13	W 56-48@ Oklahoma State	4	31	7.8	0	14
Wk 14	W 52-15vs West Virginia	9	150	16.7	0	41	150-yard receiving day
Total		89	1023	11.4	5	41

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology