cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Joshua Cephus /UTSA

Joshua Cephus

WR · UTSA · Sr · #2

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSUTSA 2023 alumnus

WR · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Joshua Cephus

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-3 | 185 lb
  • Spring, TX

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#288

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2022

2021

UTSA · WR

2022

UTSA · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2023

UTSA · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2023
8032021
9852022
1,1512023

+43%

Up 43% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#2839 national
CFB
College
UTSA
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-3 | 185 lb
HometownSpring, TX
Primary teamUTSA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 2839 recruit
Composite rating 0.7906 HighSchool
Signed with UTSA 2019
Origin Dekaney Houston, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 2-star | 0.7906 No. 2839 recruit | HighSchool | UTSA

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#288Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#371Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to UTSA

Composite

0.7906

#2839 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Joshua Cephus

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Joshua Cephus

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Joshua Cephus already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #288 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 2 honors loaded

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 89 10 rec TD | #5/1110 (100th pct)
Receiving yards 1,151 12.9 per catch | #9/1107 (99th pct)
Scrimmage yards 1,142 Total offensive yardage | #9/1107 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
89 100th
YDS
1,151 99th
YPR
12.9 58th
TD
10 99th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
-9 3rd
YPC
-9.0 2nd
TD
0 81st

Returns

PR YDS
16 30th
PR AVG
16.0 89th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021UTSA12-1HC: Jeff Traylor · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022UTSA11-3HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
2023UTSA9-4HC: Jeff Traylor · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2023UTSA891,15112.910--
2022UTSA8798511.36--
2021UTSA7180311.36--
Career3 loaded seasons2472,93911.922--
SeasonTeam
2023UTSA1-9--16--
2022UTSA3101236--
2021UTSA211------
Career3 loaded seasons6121252--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 9.8% 20.7% pass-game share | #80/1137 (93rd pct)
Return yards 16 0 return TD
Touchdowns 10 Across offense and returns | #12/1111 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 89 #5/1110 100th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 1,151 #9/1107 99th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 10 #12/1111 99th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.9 #465/1106 58th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 16 #158/224 30th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 20.7% #80/1137 93rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -9 #386/397 3rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -9.0 #387/393 2nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 84 #18/1105 98th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 16.0 #25/222 89th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 1 #182/237 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 12.9% #104/1137 91st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.7% #144/1137 87th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.3% #100/1137 91st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 9.8% #105/1137 91st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.9% #127/1137 89th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.7% #117/1137 90th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.6% #259/1137 77th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Traylor

Pass share

50.7%

446 pass / 434 run

Plays / game

67.7

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.0%

281 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2022
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2023
Jeff Traylor
UTSA

Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSpring, TX
Height6'3"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-AAC all_conference UTSA | AAC WR
2022 All-Conference USA all_conference UTSA | Conference USA WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 UTSA WR4 #288 #371 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 UTSA WR4 #240 #267 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 UTSA WR4 #509 #506 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 UTSA American Athletic WR 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 185 lb | Spring, TX
2022 UTSA Conference USA WR 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 185 lb | Spring, TX
2021 UTSA Conference USA WR 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 185 lb | Spring, TX