CFB Zeitgeist P Score
Awaiting
Lucas Dean
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
P · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Lucas Dean
- 4
- #5
- 6-2 | 215 lb
- Dunsborough
Heisman Heat
#15538
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP P AWARD
Ray Guy
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR02 · Deep reserve
Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
★
2021
UTSA · P
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2022
UTSA · P
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2023
UTSA · P
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
UTSA
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 3-star | 0.7974 | No. 2710 recruit | HighSchool | UTSA |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to UTSA
Composite
0.7974
#2710 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Lucas Dean
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Lucas Dean
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Lucas Dean already has 4 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
OTHER season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021UTSA12-1HC: Jeff Traylor · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022UTSA11-3HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
2023UTSA9-4HC: Jeff Traylor · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Solo tackles | 1 | #63/282 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Defense | Total tackles | 1 | #109/388 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #15/390 | 96th pct | Disruptionvs FBS peers |
| Defense | TFL | 0.0 | #20/390 | 95th pct | Disruptionvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting YDS | 2,156 | #64/179 | 65th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting LONG | 59 | #99/179 | 45th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting NO | 51 | #56/179 | 69th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting YPP | 42 | #108/179 | 40th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting IN 20 | 20 | #28/166 | 84th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting TB | 2 | #81/142 | 44th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Ray Guy award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · P · 2023
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Traylor
Pass share
50.7%
446 pass / 434 run
Plays / game
67.7
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.0%
281 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
1 coach2021
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2022
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2023
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownDunsborough
Height6'2"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionP
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUTSA
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2023
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2023)
All-AAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
4 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | All-AAC | all_conference | UTSA | AAC | P |
| 2022 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | UTSA | Conference USA | P |
| 2021 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | UTSA | Conference USA | P |
| 2020 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | UTSA | Conference USA | P |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | UTSA | P4 | #15538 | #15243 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | UTSA | P4 | #14735 | #14335 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2021 | UTSA | P4 | #14669 | #14451 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.