K.J. Carta-Samuels: QB · Colorado State · #1.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
K.J. Carta-Samuels
Operates within the system without forcing anything. The four seasons span two programs and two head coaches: Chris Petersen and Mike Bobo. One game to point at: 537 passing yards and 25 rushing yards against Hawai'i — Week 1, 2018.
Play style
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
57.6% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 27.0% conversion-per-dropback — 47.4% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Colorado State | 183 | 298 | 61.4% | 2,261 | 7.6 | 19 | 9 | 140.1 | 46 |
| 2017 | Washington | 8 | 10 | 80.0% | 82 | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 148.9 | -- |
| 2016 | Washington | 9 | 13 | 69.2% | 104 | 8.0 | 3 | 0 | 212.6 | -- |
| 2015 | Washington | 10 | 24 | 41.7% | 124 | 5.2 | 0 | 1 | 76.7 | -- |
| Career | 210 | 345 | 60.9% | 2,571 | 7.5 | 22 | 10 | 138.7 | 46 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Colorado State | 45 | −14 | −0.3 | 1 | 11 |
| 2017 | Washington | 2 | −4 | −2.0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2016 | Washington | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2015 | Washington | 9 | −1 | −0.1 | 1 | 10 |
| Career | 60 | −15 | −0.2 | 2 | 11 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2018 season · 9 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 34-43vs Hawai'i | 34/50 | 537 | 5 | 1 | 10.7 | 76.6 | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 1 | L 13-45vs Colorado | 18/33 | 176 | 1 | 1 | 5.3 | — | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 34-27vs Arkansas | 32/47 | 389 | 2 | 1 | 8.3 | — | |
| Wk 3 | L 10-48@ Florida | 21/33 | 217 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 | — | |
| Wk 4 | L 19-35vs Illinois State | 15/27 | 142 | 2 | 1 | 5.3 | — | |
| Wk 6 | W 42-30@ San José State | 14/27 | 162 | 4 | 2 | 6.0 | — | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 7 | W 20-18vs New Mexico | 24/42 | 311 | 1 | 0 | 7.4 | — | |
| Wk 8 | L 28-56@ Boise State | 19/30 | 238 | 2 | 2 | 7.9 | 32.5 | |
| Wk 13 | L 19-27@ Air Force | 6/9 | 89 | 1 | 1 | 9.9 | — | |
| Total | 183/298 | 2261 | 19 | 9 | 7.6 | — |
Week 1 · 2018
L 34-43
vs Hawai'i
537 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT · QBR 76.6 · 25 rush yds (6 car)
With P. Williams — 9 rec · 188 yds · 2 TD · R. Stonehouse — 44 yards per punt · 4 punts · 1 inside the 20
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 260 passing plays (159 completions) against the box score's 298 attempts (183 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
6.9471 of 207 QBsSack rate
4.5%51 of 207 QBsRarely sacked (51 of 207 QBs) and still 71 of 207 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 61.4% completion on 298 attempts · 24 deep completions averaging 32.6 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2018 baseline
No situation moves him more than 34 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2018 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 345 | 2.5 | 7.9 | 0.8 |
| Road4g | 176 | 2.0 | 7.6 | 1.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 276 | 2.3 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| Weeks 8+2g | 164 | 1.5 | 8.9 | 1.5 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mike Bobo
Pass share
56.4%
501 pass / 387 run
Plays / game
74.0
12 games
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Player standing · 2018
About as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week.
How it ended
Four seasons, at Washington and Colorado State, 2,571 passing yards — the college career is complete.
A stat line in 24 games over four seasons.
Coaching lineage · 2014–2018
2 coachesPlayed for 2 head coaches at 2 schools: Chris Petersen and Mike Bobo.
