CFB Zeitgeist Score
44
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 47th percentile.
Kadarius Calloway
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
450 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 117 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to New Mexico State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · New Mexico State
Returning around him
- 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: +1 net (25 in / 24 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
New Mexico State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #130 · 2026 recruiting class #126
RB · NEW MEXICO STATE · CONFERENCE USA
Kadarius Calloway
- 4
- #1
- 6-0 | 220 lb
- Philadelphia, MS
Heisman Heat
#737
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025-28%
Sharp dropoff (-28%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | California -> New Mexico State | 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Old Dominion -> California | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (450).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Kadarius Calloway
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Kadarius Calloway
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
450Rush yards
117Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
37.5Rush yards
10Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
487.5Rush yards
127Carries
3Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 450): needs 300/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 450): needs 550/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 450): needs 1,050/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 12/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 17/game over remaining 1.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Kadarius Calloway is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 450 rushing yards, 26 catches, and 16 return yards for New Mexico State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
117 83rd
YDS
450 75th
YPC
3.8 27th
TD
3 73rd
Receiving
REC
26 91st
YDS
175 86th
YPR
6.7 47th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 19-3vs Bryant | 12 | 50 | 4.2 | 1 | 17 | |
| Wk 2 | W 21-14vs Tulsa | 5 | -3 | -0.6 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 3 | L 14-49@ Louisiana Tech | 7 | 11 | 1.6 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 5 | L 20-38@ New Mexico | 8 | 34 | 4.3 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 6 | W 37-10vs Sam Houston | 15 | 66 | 4.4 | 1 | 29 | |
| Wk 8 | L 27-30@ Liberty | 18 | 84 | 4.7 | 1 | 14 | Season-high 84 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 17-24vs Missouri State | 10 | 50 | 5.0 | 0 | 23 | |
| Wk 10 | L 16-35@ Western Kentucky | 5 | 6 | 1.2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-24vs Kennesaw State | 8 | 27 | 3.4 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 12 | L 9-42@ Tennessee | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 13 | W 34-31@ UTEP | 16 | 69 | 4.3 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-31vs Middle Tennessee | 9 | 37 | 4.1 | 0 | 20 | |
| Total | 117 | 450 | 3.4 | 3 | 29 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Old Dominion6-7HC: Ricky Rahne · Run-leaning
2024California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced
2025New Mexico State4-8HC: Tony Sanchez · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico State | 117 | 450 | 3.8 | 3 | -- |
| 2024 | California | 26 | 124 | 4.8 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Old Dominion | 88 | 623 | 7.1 | 5 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 231 | 1,197 | 5.2 | 9 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico State | 26 | 175 | 6.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | California | 1 | -- | 0.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Old Dominion | 8 | 48 | 6.0 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 35 | 223 | 6.4 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 450 | #187/735 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #204/739 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.8 | #534/735 | 27th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 26 | #50/552 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 175 | #79/548 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.03 | #325/362 | 10th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 87 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 16.0% | #154/738 | 79th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 117 | #124/739 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 29 | #303/733 | 59th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 27 | #142/540 | 74th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.7 | #292/548 | 47th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 16.0 | #132/199 | 34th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 16 | #164/200 | 18th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 32.0% | #103/738 | 86th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 19.7% | #148/738 | 80th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 18.4% | #121/738 | 84th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 17.7% | #174/738 | 77th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 13.0% | #108/738 | 86th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.5% | #313/738 | 58th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 6.3% | #108/738 | 86th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 37.8 | 3.4 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 37.2 | 3.5 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 45.5 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Losses8g | 33.5 | 3.6 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 31.6 | 2.8 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 41.7 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
44Mid-pack
Elite: receptions (85th). Concern: yards / carry (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.03Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Kadarius CallowayNew Mexico StateAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 77% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 74% simRashod DubinionApp State· 74% sim
Receptions
Rec yards
Carries
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Long run
Yards / carry
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Workhorse
Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kenyon Clay’s 2025 season.
Kenyon Clay
80%match
#2
Dylan Downing
80%
#3
Jaison Patterson
79%
#4
Noah Cain
78%
#5
Oscar Adaway III
77%
Matches Kenyon on
Yards / carry
Yards / reception
Receiving share
Differs from Kenyon on
Class year (higher)
Height (lower)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Michael Turner’s path through Baylor.
Michael Turner
100%match
#2
Brock Townsend
100%
#3
Caleb Huntley
All-MAC
97%
#4
CJ Evans Jr.
96%
#5
Peytton Pickett
93%
Matches Michael on
Height
Weight
Yards per carry
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Edward Saydee's junior season at Temple (2022).
Edward Saydee
76%match
#2
EJ Wilson Jr.
74%
#3
Ethan Payne
73%
#4
Donovan Edwards
72%
#5
Jirehl Brock
71%
Matches Edward on
Weight
Height
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tony Sanchez
Pass share
57.4%
472 pass / 350 run
Plays / game
68.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.7%
359 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Jerry Kill
New Mexico State
2024era →
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State
2025
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State
Coaching transition mid-career: Jerry Kill → Tony Sanchez. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownPhiladelphia, MS
Height6'0"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNew Mexico State
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | California | RB4 | #737 | #776 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Old Dominion | RB4 | #665 | #895 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Philadelphia, MS |
| 2024 | California | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Philadelphia, MS |
| 2023 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Philadelphia, MS |