cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kaedin Robinson /App State

Kaedin Robinson

WR · App State · Sr · #2

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSApp State 2023 alumnus

WR · APP STATE · SUN BELT

Kaedin Robinson

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-2 | 205 lb
  • Arden, NC

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#4590

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2023
30.02021
4352022
9052023

+2917%

Up 2917% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#58 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-2 | 205 lb
HometownArden, NC
Primary teamApp State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 58 recruit
Composite rating 0.8300 JUCO
Signed with UCF 2021
Origin ASA College (New York) Asheville, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8300 No. 58 recruit | JUCO | UCF

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UCLA 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 3, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 App State -> UCLA 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate
2022 UCF -> App State 3-star | 0.8100 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4590Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4949Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UCF

Composite

0.8300

#58 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kaedin Robinson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kaedin Robinson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Kaedin Robinson already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #4590 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 67 10 rec TD | #29/1110 (97th pct)
Receiving yards 905 13.5 per catch | #40/1107 (96th pct)
Scrimmage yards 906 Total offensive yardage | #40/1107 (96th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
67 97th
YDS
905 96th
YPR
13.5 63rd
TD
10 99th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
1 20th
YPC
1.0 22nd
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
18 22nd
KR AVG
18.0 41st
PR YDS
37 46th
PR AVG
18.5 93rd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021UCF8-4HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-leaning
2022App State6-6HC: Shawn Clark · Run-leaning
2023App State9-5HC: Shawn Clark · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2023App State6790513.510--
2022App State2743516.12--
2021UCF13030.01--
Career3 loaded seasons951,37014.413--
SeasonTeam
2023App State111837--
2022App State11517----
2021UCF----------
Career3 loaded seasons2163537--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage -- Role share still loading
Return yards 55 0 return TD | #187/238 (22nd pct)
Touchdowns 10 Across offense and returns | #12/1111 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 67 #29/1110 97th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 905 #40/1107 96th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 10 #12/1111 99th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.5 #406/1106 63rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 18 #187/238 22nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 37 #122/224 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 1 #334/346 4th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 1 #317/397 20th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 1.0 #309/393 22nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 52 #244/1105 78th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 18.5 #16/222 93rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 18.0 #141/236 41st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 2 #156/237 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 1 #169/243 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dowell Loggains

Pass share

55.6%

508 pass / 405 run

Plays / game

70.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

389 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
Shawn Clark
App State
2022
Shawn Clark
App State
2023
Shawn Clark
App State

Played his entire career under Shawn Clark.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownArden, NC
Height6'2"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference Sun Belt WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 App State WR4 #4590 #4949 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 App State WR4 #544 #635 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 App State WR4 #1244 #1521 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 UCF WR4 #2772 #2824 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 App State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Arden, NC
2023 App State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Arden, NC
2022 App State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Arden, NC
2021 UCF American Athletic WR 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Arden, NC