cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Latrell Caples /Boise State

Latrell Caples

WR · Boise State · Sr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

616 REC YDS · 51 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Boise State

Returning around him

  • 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62

WR · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Latrell Caples

  • 4
  • #3
  • 6-0 | 191 lb
  • Lancaster, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

51

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2111

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2021

Boise State · WR

2022

Boise State · WR

2025

Boise State · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
56.02021
5502022
6162025

+1000%

Up 1000% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#647 national
CFB
College
Boise State
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements6-0 | 191 lb
HometownLancaster, TX
Primary teamBoise State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 647 recruit
Composite rating 0.8719 HighSchool
Signed with Boise State 2020
Origin Lancaster Lancaster, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8719 No. 647 recruit | HighSchool | Boise State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2111Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1852Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (616).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Boise State

Composite

0.8719

#647 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Latrell Caples

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Latrell Caples

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

616

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #140 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 74th

Why it matters

#140 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 616 yards on 51 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 616 (74th)

HIGH · n=51 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#286 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 at Air Force — 87 receiving_yards_total

Result W 49-37

The week the volume broke through — put up 87 yds at Air Force.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
616Rec yards
51Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
47.4Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
616Rec yards
51Receptions
3Rec TDs

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Latrell Caples already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #2111 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 51 3 rec TD | #114/1110 (90th pct)
Receiving yards 616 12.1 per catch | #145/1107 (87th pct)
Scrimmage yards 612 Total offensive yardage | #145/1107 (87th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
51 90th
YDS
616 87th
YPR
12.1 52nd
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
-4 10th
YPC
-4.0 7th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-34@ South Florida45814.5016
Wk 2W 51-14vs Eastern Washington11111.0011
Wk 4W 49-37@ Air Force58717.4031Season-high 87 yds
Wk 5W 47-14vs App State58416.82342 TD catches
Wk 6L 7-28@ Notre Dame6528.7013
Wk 8W 56-31vs UNLV177.017
Wk 9W 24-3@ Nevada33511.7013
Wk 10L 7-30vs Fresno State11616.0016
Wk 12L 7-17@ San Diego State7426.0013
Wk 13W 49-21vs Colorado State77010.0016
Wk 14W 25-24@ Utah State35217.3023
Wk 15W 38-21vs UNLV33210.7017
BowlL 10-38@ Washington57014.0022
Total5161612.4334
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Boise State7-5HC: Andy Avalos · Balanced
2022Boise State10-4HC: Andy Avalos · Run-leaning
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Boise State5161612.13--
2022Boise State5155010.84--
2021Boise State45614.00--
Career3 loaded seasons1061,22211.57--
SeasonTeam
2025Boise State1-4------
2022Boise State26--57--
2021Boise State19------
Career3 loaded seasons411--57--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 9.1% 18.4% pass-game share | #124/1137 (89th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 51 #114/1110 90th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 616 #145/1107 87th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.1 #537/1106 52nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 18.4% #124/1137 89th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -4 #358/397 10th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -4.0 #366/393 7th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 34 #548/1105 50th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 15.9% #33/1137 97th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 13.4% #85/1137 93rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 9.1% #136/1137 88th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 7.5% #208/1137 82nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.0% #303/1137 73rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.9% #226/1137 80th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.2% #374/1137 67th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g3.036.711.90.5
Road7g4.756.612.80.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g3.547.212.70.4
Losses5g4.647.611.80.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.360.313.70.3
Weeks 8+7g3.636.311.20.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

51Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rush yards (8th).

Receptions#114 / 558 · 79th pct
51rece
Rec yards#145 / 558 · 74th pct
616rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Yards / catch#333 / 558 · 40th pct
12.1rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Long catch#447 / 558 · 19th pct
34rece
Rush yards#260 / 287 · 9th pct
-4rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Latrell CaplesBoise StateAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 85% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 82% simSean WilsonDelaware· 81% sim
Receptions
79
Caples
96
Waseem
95
Walker
94
Wilson
Rec yards
74
Caples
84
Waseem
89
Walker
91
Wilson
Rec TDs
57
Caples
78
Waseem
42
Walker
57
Wilson
Yards / catch
40
Caples
21
Waseem
40
Walker
49
Wilson
Rush TDs
39
Caples
39
Waseem
Fumbles lost
36
Caples
36
Waseem
6
Walker
36
Wilson
Long catch
19
Caples
42
Waseem
39
Walker
58
Wilson
Rush yards
9
Caples
4
Waseem

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Thayer Thomas’s 2022 season.

Thayer Thomas

87%match

NC State · 2022

#2

John Paul Richardson

TCU · 2024

86%
#3

Jesse Matthews

San Diego State · 2022

All-Mountain West
85%
#4

Reymello Murphy

UConn · 2025

85%
#5

Ricky Pearsall

Arizona State · 2021

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 31
84%

Matches Thayer on

Height
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Thayer on

Class year (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ryan Flournoy’s path through Southeast Missouri State.

Ryan Flournoy

100%match

Southeast Missouri State · 2023

NFL Rd 6
#2

Anthony Lowe

Gardner-Webb · 2025

99%
#3

Demarcus Lacey

Marshall · 2025

98%
#4

Thayer Thomas

NC State · 2022

97%
#5

Ezrah Archie

Georgia Southern · 2022

97%

Matches Ryan on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Lemeke Brockington's senior season at Minnesota (2025).

Lemeke Brockington

79%match

Minnesota · 2025

#2

Kobe Drake

Memphis · 2024

79%
#3

Vinny Anthony

Wisconsin · 2025

78%
#4

Kobe Paysour

North Carolina · 2025

77%
#5

Octavian Smith Jr.

Maryland · 2025

76%

Matches Lemeke on

Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Spencer Danielson

Pass share

46.6%

472 pass / 540 run

Plays / game

72.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Andy Avalos
Boise State
2022
Andy Avalos
Boise State
2025
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Andy Avalos → Spencer Danielson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLancaster, TX
Height6'0"
Weight191 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Mountain West all_conference Boise State | Mountain West WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Boise State WR4 #2111 #1852 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Boise State WR4 #3019 #2775 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Boise State WR4 #420 #438 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Boise State WR4 #1831 #1806 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 3 | 6-0 | 191 lb | Lancaster, TX
2024 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 3 | 6-0 | 191 lb | Lancaster, TX
2023 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 3 | 6-0 | 191 lb | Lancaster, TX
2022 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 3 | 6-0 | 191 lb | Lancaster, TX
2021 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 3 | 6-0 | 191 lb | Lancaster, TX