cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Luke Hutchison /Navy

Luke Hutchison

WR · Navy · Jr · #89

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

134 REC YDS · 5 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Navy for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Navy for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Navy

Returning around him

  • 97% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 Navy players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (0 in / 3 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Navy · Last season: 11-2 (AP #22) · 2026 recruiting class #131

WR · NAVY · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Luke Hutchison

  • 3
  • #89
  • 6-0 | 190 lb
  • Round Rock, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

46

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 100th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1361

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
28.02024
1342025

+379%

Up 379% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Navy
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey89
Measurements6-0 | 190 lb
HometownRound Rock, TX
Primary teamNavy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1361Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1291Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Luke Hutchison

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Luke Hutchison

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
134Rec yards
5Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
26.8Rec yards
1Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
348.4Rec yards
13Receptions
8Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 134): needs 70.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 134): needs 108.2/game over remaining 8.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 5): needs 6.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 5): needs 9.4/game over remaining 8.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 0.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 0.9/game over remaining 8.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Luke Hutchison is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #1361 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 5 3 rec TD | #725/1110 (35th pct)
Receiving yards 134 26.8 per catch | #558/1107 (50th pct)
Scrimmage yards 136 Total offensive yardage | #558/1107 (50th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
5 35th
YDS
134 50th
YPR
26.8 98th
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
2 24th
YPC
2.0 28th
TD
1 96th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 52-7vs VMI155.005
Wk 2W 38-24vs UAB16363.0163Season-high 63 yds
Wk 3W 42-23@ Tulsa122.012
Wk 5W 21-13vs Rice13434.0034
BowlW 35-13@ Cincinnati13030.0130
Total513426.8363
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Navy10-3HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy
2025Navy11-2HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Navy513426.83--
2024Navy4287.00--
Career2 loaded seasons916218.03--
SeasonTeam
2025Navy12------
2024Navy12------
Career2 loaded seasons24------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.7% 13.3% pass-game share | #303/1137 (73rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 5 #725/1110 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 134 #558/1107 50th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 26.8 #22/1106 98th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.3% #303/1137 73rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 2 #314/346 10th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 2 #302/397 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 2.0 #283/393 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 63 #150/1105 87th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.9% #820/1137 28th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.2% #667/1137 41st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.7% #834/1137 27th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.4% #871/1137 23rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.4% #787/1137 31st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.5% #284/1137 75th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #937/1137 18th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g1.034.034.00.3
Road2g1.016.016.01.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g1.026.826.80.6

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g1.026.826.80.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

46Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (99th). Strength: rush tds (85th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#2 / 558 · 100th pct
26.8rece
Rush TDs#19 / 287 · 85th pct
1rush
Long catch#136 / 558 · 76th pct
63rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Rush yards#218 / 287 · 23rd pct
2rush
Rec yards#532 / 558 · 5th pct
134rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
5rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Luke HutchisonNavyHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 48% simJordyn TysonArizona State· 47% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 46% sim
Yards / catch
100
Hutchison
78
III
36
Tyson
80
Jr.
Rush TDs
85
Hutchison
39
III
85
Tyson
39
Jr.
Long catch
76
Hutchison
65
III
68
Tyson
96
Jr.
Rec TDs
57
Hutchison
68
III
95
Tyson
68
Jr.
Rush yards
23
Hutchison
20
III
28
Tyson
12
Jr.
Rec yards
5
Hutchison
94
III
81
Tyson
96
Jr.
Receptions
0
Hutchison
90
III
90
Tyson
93
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brian Newberry

Pass share

22.5%

182 pass / 626 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

138 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Brian Newberry
Navy
2025
Brian Newberry
Navy

Played his entire career under Brian Newberry.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRound Rock, TX
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey89

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Navy WR3 #1361 #1291 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Navy WR3 #5152 #5491 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Navy American Athletic WR 3 No. 89 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Round Rock, TX
2024 Navy American Athletic WR 3 No. 89 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Round Rock, TX
2023 Navy American Athletic WR 3 No. 89 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Round Rock, TX