CFB Zeitgeist Score
47
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 66th percentile.
Matt Lauter
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
330 REC YDS · 37 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Boise State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Boise State
Returning around him
- 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62
TE · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Matt Lauter
- 4
- #85
- 6-3 | 240 lb
- San Diego, CA
Heisman Heat
#2113
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2022
Boise State · TE
—
2023
Boise State · TE
—
★
2025
Boise State · TE
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+725%
Up 725% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Boise State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8415 | No. 1426 recruit | HighSchool | Boise State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (330).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Boise State
Composite
0.8415
#1426 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Matt Lauter
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Matt Lauter
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
2
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #302 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 43rd
Why it matters
#302 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 2 TDs on 37 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 2 (43th)
HIGH · n=37 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#362 / 531
- Yards per reception#472 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 at Washington — 1 receiving_tds
Result L 10-38
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Washington.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
330Rec yards
37Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
27.5Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
357.5Rec yards
40Receptions
2Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 330): needs 370/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 330): needs 670/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 37): needs 23/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 37): needs 43/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Matt Lauter already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
37 95th
YDS
330 88th
YPR
8.9 40th
TD
2 84th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-34@ South Florida | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 2 | W 51-14vs Eastern Washington | 4 | 45 | 11.3 | 0 | 17 | Season-high 45 yds |
| Wk 4 | W 49-37@ Air Force | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 1 | 20 | |
| Wk 5 | W 47-14vs App State | 3 | 45 | 15.0 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 7 | W 41-25vs New Mexico | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 8 | W 56-31vs UNLV | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-3@ Nevada | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 10 | L 7-30vs Fresno State | 4 | 30 | 7.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 13 | W 49-21vs Colorado State | 4 | 38 | 9.5 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 14 | W 25-24@ Utah State | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 15 | W 38-21vs UNLV | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Bowl | L 10-38@ Washington | 5 | 37 | 7.4 | 1 | 14 | |
| Total | 37 | 330 | 8.7 | 2 | 20 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Boise State10-4HC: Andy Avalos · Run-leaning
2023Boise State8-6HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-heavy
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | 37 | 330 | 8.9 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Boise State | 9 | 157 | 17.4 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | Boise State | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 50 | 527 | 10.5 | 5 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 37 | #23/475 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 330 | #60/475 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #79/475 | 84th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.9 | #288/475 | 40th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 13.3% | #39/468 | 92nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 20 | #253/475 | 47th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.8% | #42/468 | 91st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 8.2% | #10/468 | 98th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.3% | #62/468 | 87th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 6.4% | #36/468 | 93rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.0% | #40/468 | 92nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.3% | #239/468 | 49th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 3.1 | 28.9 | 8.7 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 3.0 | 25.6 | 8.8 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 2.7 | 25.3 | 9.0 | 0.1 |
| Losses3g | 4.3 | 34.0 | 7.9 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 3.7 | 36.0 | 10.3 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.5 | 19.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
47Mid-pack
Elite: receptions (85th). Concern: long catch (9th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Matt LauterBoise StateTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 88% simJoshua LongEastern Michigan· 86% simHayden HansenFlorida· 86% sim
Receptions
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Yards / catch
Long catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete TE
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Treyton Welch’s 2023 season.
Treyton Welch
86%match
#2
Jeremiah Franklin
All-ACC
81%
#3
Jack Westover
80%
#4
Emmanuel Stevenson
75%
#5
Christian Trahan
74%
Matches Treyton on
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
Class year
Differs from Treyton on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jeremiah Franklin's senior season at Boston College (2025).
Jeremiah Franklin
88%match
All-ACC
#2
Treyton Welch
80%
#3
Blake Bosma
All-MAC
79%
#4
R.J. Maryland
78%
#5
Bryce Kennon
75%
Matches Jeremiah on
Weight
Yards / reception
TD rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Spencer Danielson
Pass share
46.6%
472 pass / 540 run
Plays / game
72.3
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Andy Avalos
Boise State
2023era →
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
2025
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
Coaching transition mid-career: Andy Avalos → Spencer Danielson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSan Diego, CA
Height6'3"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey85
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBoise State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Mountain West
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Boise State | Mountain West | TE |
| 2024 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Boise State | Mountain West | TE |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boise State | TE4 | #2113 | #1854 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Boise State | TE4 | #756 | #761 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Boise State | TE4 | #1916 | #1752 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | No. 85 | 6-3 | 240 lb | San Diego, CA |
| 2024 | Boise State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | No. 85 | 6-3 | 240 lb | San Diego, CA |
| 2023 | Boise State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | No. 85 | 6-3 | 240 lb | San Diego, CA |
| 2022 | Boise State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | No. 85 | 6-3 | 240 lb | San Diego, CA |