cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Matthew Henry /Western Kentucky

Matthew Henry

WR · Western Kentucky · Sr · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

888 REC YDS · 55 REC · 6 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Western Kentucky for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Western Kentucky for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Western Kentucky

Returning around him

  • 33% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (19 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Western Kentucky · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #100 · 2026 recruiting class #96

WR · WESTERN KENTUCKY · CONFERENCE USA

Matthew Henry

  • 4
  • #17
  • 6-0 | 183 lb
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

75

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Western Kentucky
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey17
Measurements6-0 | 183 lb
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamWestern Kentucky

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Western Kentucky 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 9, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Western Illinois -> Western Kentucky 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (888).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Matthew Henry

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Matthew Henry

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

16.1

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #62 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 88th

Why it matters

#62 of 531 All FBS WRs at 16.1 yards per reception (55 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 16.1 (88th)

HIGH · n=55 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#38 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#55 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 vs Sam Houston — 148 ypr

Result W 41-24

The week the volume broke through — put up 148 yds vs Sam Houston.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
888Rec yards
55Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
68.3Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
888Rec yards
55Receptions
6Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 888.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Matthew Henry is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 7.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load 52 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 55 6 rec TD | #88/1110 (92nd pct)
Receiving yards 888 16.1 per catch | #41/1107 (96th pct)
Scrimmage yards 882 Total offensive yardage | #41/1107 (96th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetBig-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
55 92nd
YDS
888 96th
YPR
16.1 82nd
TD
6 95th

Rushing

CAR
3 64th
YDS
-6 5th
YPC
-2.0 12th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
52 48th
KR AVG
26.0 88th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 41-24vs Sam Houston714821.1155Season-high 148 yds
Wk 1W 55-6vs North Alabama24120.5127Season-high 148 yds
Wk 2L 21-45@ Toledo294.517
Wk 4W 31-16vs Nevada177.007
Wk 5W 27-22@ Missouri State57314.6034
Wk 6W 27-24@ Delaware49924.8048
Wk 8L 6-25vs Florida International25829.0046
Wk 9W 28-27@ Louisiana Tech55210.4017
Wk 10W 35-16vs New Mexico State78111.62252 TD catches
Wk 12W 42-26vs Middle Tennessee713519.3137135-yard receiving day
Wk 13L 10-13@ LSU3165.307
Wk 14L 34-37@ Jacksonville State34314.3022
BowlW 27-16@ Southern Miss712618.0046
Total5588815.4655
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Western Kentucky9-4HC: Tyson Helton · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Western Kentucky5588816.16--
Career1 loaded season5588816.16--
SeasonTeam
2025Western Kentucky3-652----
Career1 loaded season3-652----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 7.8% 13.7% pass-game share | #292/1137 (74th pct)
Return yards 52 1 return TD | #124/238 (48th pct)
Touchdowns 7 Across offense and returns | #56/1111 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 55 #88/1110 92nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 888 #41/1107 96th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 6 #56/1111 95th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 16.1 #197/1106 82nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 52 #124/238 48th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.7% #292/1137 74th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 3 #146/407 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 2 #314/346 10th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -2.0 #348/393 12th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -6 #378/397 5th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 55 #215/1105 81st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 26.0 #30/236 88th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 2 #132/243 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick return TD 1 #4/20 85th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.1% #95/1137 92nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 11.5% #160/1137 86th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 7.8% #227/1137 80th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.8% #319/1137 72nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 6.3% #297/1137 74th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.1% #284/1137 75th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.3% #332/1137 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g4.378.318.10.8
Road7g4.159.713.10.1

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins9g5.084.716.40.6
Losses4g2.531.513.30.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.071.915.80.4
Weeks 8+6g4.564.215.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

75Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (92nd). Strength: rec tds (86th). Concern: rush yards (4th).

Rec yards#41 / 558 · 93rd pct
888rece
Rec TDs#56 / 558 · 87th pct
6rece
Yards / catch#83 / 558 · 85th pct
16.1rece
Receptions#88 / 558 · 84th pct
55rece
Long catch#189 / 558 · 65th pct
55rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rush yards#274 / 287 · 5th pct
-6rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Matthew HenryWestern KentuckyHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 90% simChase HendricksOhio· 89% simChris Brazzell IITennessee· 89% sim
Rec yards
93
Henry
94
III
97
Hendricks
97
II
Rec TDs
87
Henry
68
III
92
Hendricks
97
II
Yards / catch
85
Henry
78
III
72
Hendricks
87
II
Receptions
84
Henry
90
III
97
Hendricks
91
II
Long catch
65
Henry
65
III
80
Hendricks
86
II
Rush TDs
39
Henry
39
III
39
Hendricks
Rush yards
5
Henry
20
III
20
Hendricks

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Keandre Lambert’s 2021 season.

Keandre Lambert

63%match

Penn State · 2021

#2

Jacob Cowing

UTEP · 2020

All-Conference USANFL Rd 4
63%
#3

Dax Milne

BYU · 2020

NFL Rd 7
61%
#4

Willie Johnson

Marshall · 2020

61%
#5

Khalil Shakir

Boise State · 2021

All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 5
67%

Matches Keandre on

Height
TD rate

Differs from Keandre on

Reception volume (higher)
Yards / reception (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Jared Gipson’s path through Sacramento State.

Jared Gipson

100%match

Sacramento State · 2024

#2

Cary Angeline

NC State · 2020

100%
#3

Seth Williams

Auburn · 2020

99%
#4

Antonio Nunn

Buffalo · 2020

All-MAC
98%
#5

Ryan Williams

Alabama · 2025

97%

Matches Jared on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Dorian Singer's sophomore season at Arizona (2022).

Dorian Singer

83%match

Arizona · 2022

#2

Alex Adams

Akron · 2022

All-MAC
80%
#3

Corey Crooms

Western Michigan · 2021

All-MAC
78%
#4

Cyrus Allen

Louisiana Tech · 2023

NFL Rd 5
76%
#5

Jared Brown

Coastal Carolina · 2022

All-Sun Belt
75%

Matches Dorian on

Yards / reception
Weight
TD rate

Differs from Dorian on

Reception volume (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tyson Helton

Pass share

54.9%

492 pass / 404 run

Plays / game

68.9

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.5%

366 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Tyson Helton
Western Kentucky

Played his entire career under Tyson Helton.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height6'0"
Weight183 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Western Kentucky Conference USA WR 4 No. 17 | 6-0 | 183 lb | Miami, FL