cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Michael Pettway /Jacksonville State

Michael Pettway

WR · Jacksonville State · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

59 REC YDS · 8 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Jacksonville State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Jacksonville State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Jacksonville State

Returning around him

  • 84% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (20 in / 13 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Jacksonville State · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #111 · 2026 recruiting class #110

WR · JACKSONVILLE STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Michael Pettway

  • 4
  • #1
  • 5-10 | 175 lb
  • Alabaster, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

2

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 7th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4632

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
1962023
59.02025

-70%

Sharp dropoff (-70%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Jacksonville State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements5-10 | 175 lb
HometownAlabaster, AL
Primary teamJacksonville State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4632Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5008Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Michael Pettway

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Michael Pettway

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
59Rec yards
8Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
7.4Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
95.9Rec yards
13Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 59): needs 128.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 59): needs 188.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 8): needs 10.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 8): needs 14.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Michael Pettway's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Jacksonville State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4632 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 54 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 8 0 rec TD | #631/1110 (43rd pct)
Receiving yards 59 7.4 per catch | #748/1107 (33rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 59 Total offensive yardage | #748/1107 (33rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
8 43rd
YDS
59 33rd
YPR
7.4 14th
TD
0 45th

Returns

KR YDS
38 42nd
KR AVG
19.0 48th
PR YDS
16 30th
PR AVG
3.2 18th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3L 34-41@ Georgia Southern133.003
Wk 4W 45-10vs Murray State11111.0011
Wk 7W 29-27@ Sam Houston2126.008
Wk 8W 38-25vs Delaware
Wk 10W 24-21@ Middle Tennessee
Wk 14W 37-34vs Western Kentucky11818.0018Season-high 18 yds
Wk 15L 15-19vs Kennesaw State2126.009
BowlW 17-13vs Troy133.003
Total8597.8018
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Jacksonville State9-4HC: Rich Rodriguez · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2025Jacksonville State9-5HC: Charles Kelly · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Jacksonville State8597.40--
2023Jacksonville State1719611.51--
Career2 loaded seasons2525510.21--
SeasonTeam
2025Jacksonville State----3816--
2023Jacksonville State----207----
Career2 loaded seasons----24516--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.5% 7.3% pass-game share | #665/1137 (42nd pct)
Return yards 54 0 return TD | #140/238 (42nd pct)
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 8 #631/1110 43rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 59 #748/1107 33rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 7.4 #949/1106 14th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 38 #140/238 42nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 16 #158/224 30th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 7.3% #665/1137 42nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 18 #804/1105 27th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 19.0 #123/236 48th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 5 #122/237 49th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 3.2 #183/222 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 2 #132/243 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.2% #667/1137 41st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.2% #885/1137 22nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.5% #858/1137 25th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.5% #868/1137 24th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.3% #807/1137 29th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 1.7% #942/1137 17th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g1.08.89.50.0
Road3g1.05.04.50.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins6g0.87.39.50.0
Losses2g1.57.54.50.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.27.25.80.0
Weeks 8+4g0.87.512.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

2Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Long catch#543 / 558 · 3rd pct
18rece
Yards / catch#548 / 558 · 2nd pct
7.4rece
Rec yards#558 / 558 · 0th pct
59rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
8rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Michael PettwayJacksonville StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 48% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 42% simAaron TurnerRice· 39% sim
Rec TDs
7
Pettway
24
III
7
Gibson
68
Turner
Long catch
3
Pettway
16
III
56
Gibson
65
Turner
Yards / catch
2
Pettway
9
III
15
Gibson
1
Turner
Rec yards
0
Pettway
70
III
74
Gibson
48
Turner
Receptions
0
Pettway
92
III
92
Gibson
92
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Charles Kelly

Pass share

33.8%

328 pass / 642 run

Plays / game

69.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

243 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Rich Rodriguez
Jacksonville State
2025
Charles Kelly
Jacksonville State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Rich Rodriguez → Charles Kelly. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAlabaster, AL
Height5'10"
Weight175 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Jacksonville State WR4 #4632 #5008 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Jacksonville State WR4 #2110 #2151 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Jacksonville State Conference USA WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 175 lb | Alabaster, AL
2024 Jacksonville State Conference USA WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 175 lb | Alabaster, AL
2023 Jacksonville State Conference USA WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 175 lb | Alabaster, AL