Miller Moss

#7 · QB · Sr. · Louisville6′2″ · 210 lb · Los Angeles, CA · Bishop Alemany

Miller Moss is a quarterback who has not played this season; the last season with a stat line was 2025, at Louisville.

On Trialas of Nov 4

Miller Moss is on trial in Louisville's fan jury — the eye test against the résumé.

PASS YDS · 2,500-YD CLUB

2,679

2679 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.

Louisville fans are litigating the player's worthiness — the eye test against the résumé.

medium confidence4 sources

Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.

Read the story so far

Miller Moss arrived as a 4-star prospect, the No.76 recruit nationally. Miller Moss lines up at QB for Louisville.

Louisville fans are litigating the player's worthiness — the eye test against the résumé.

The number to watch: 2,679 — pass yds · 2,500-yd club.

AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-11-04

Where to follow

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2025	Louisville	244	380	64.2%	2,679	7.0	16	7	133.6	55
2024	USC	233	362	64.4%	2,555	7.1	18	9	135.1	67
2023	USC	46	65	70.8%	681	10.5	7	1	191.2	--
2022	USC	12	14	85.7%	159	11.4	1	0	204.7	--
2021	USC	8	13	61.5%	74	5.7	1	0	134.7	--
Career		543	834	65.1%	6,148	7.4	43	17	140.0	61

Season	Team
2025	Louisville	54	−65	−1.2	9	13
2024	USC	21	−18	−0.9	2	9
2023	USC	4	32	8.0	2	15
2022	USC	3	9	3.0	0	10
2021	USC	3	−14	−4.7	0	10
Career		85	−56	−0.7	13	15

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 51-17vs Eastern Kentucky	17/25	223	1	2	8.9	89.3
Wk 2	W 28-14vs James Madison	13/23	151	1	0	6.6	59.0
Wk 4	W 40-17vs Bowling Green	23/32	316	0	0	9.9	71.9
Wk 5	W 34-27@ Pittsburgh	33/51	339	3	1	6.6	73.3	Season-high 339 yds
Wk 6	L 27-30vs No. 24 Virginia	34/48	329	2	1	6.9	54.2
Wk 8	W 24-21@ No. 2 Miami	23/37	248	2	0	6.7	71.5
Wk 9	W 38-24vs Boston College	15/27	187	1	1	6.9	38.0
Wk 10	W 28-16@ Virginia Tech	19/28	136	1	1	4.9	67.3
Wk 11	L 26-29vs California	20/38	203	0	1	5.3	20.5
Wk 12	L 19-20vs Clemson	19/27	212	0	0	7.9	58.7
Wk 14	W 41-0vs Kentucky	12/20	182	3	0	9.1	87.8	3 TD passes
Bowl	W 27-22vs Toledo	16/24	153	2	0	6.4	77.1
Total		244/380	2679	16	7	7.0	—

Highs and lows

Only games with 20 or more plays count for best and lowest.
Best by our grade	Bowling Green	W 40-17 · Graded great · 316 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 3 for -25 · Sacked 3
Lowest by our grade	at Virginia Tech	W 28-16 · Graded rough · 136 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 3 for 11 · The interception cost about 10 points of win chance · Sacked 1
Biggest game	at Miami	No. 2 at kickoff · W 24-21 · Graded solid · 248 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT · Rush 3 for -9, 1 TD · Sacked 1
Best play	Virginia	Completion, Q4 1:57 · Win chance 30% to 59%
Costliest play	Virginia	Interception, returned for a touchdown, Q3 6:25 · Win chance 75% to 39%

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

244/380 (64.2%) · 16 TD · 7 INT

376 of 380 attempts matched to play-by-play

140 of 376 attempts charted for true throw depth

Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 376 passing plays (235 completions) against the box score's 380 attempts (244 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.

Adjusted ANY/A

6.3687 of 206 QBs

Sack rate

4.8%103 of 206 QBs

Rarely sacked (103 of 206 QBs) and still 87 of 206 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

18% of attempts (25)

88%comp

Air -3.3 · YAC 11.0 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

53% of attempts (74)

65%comp

Air 4.3 · YAC 3.6 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

17% of attempts (24)

38%comp1 INT

Air 14.9 · YAC 6.8 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

12% of attempts (17)

35%comp2 INT

Air 24.5 · YAC 7.3 avg

Overall 64.2% completion on 380 attempts · 35% completion on 17 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2025 baseline

No situation moves him more than 25 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-7 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 7/153 (4.6%) · league sack rate 4.2%

Down 2

-13 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 7/121 (5.8%) · league sack rate 4.5%

Down 3+

+25 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 5/106 (4.7%) · league sack rate 7.8%

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Teams and coaches

2021USC4-8HC: Donte Williams · Balanced, fast tempo

2022USC11-3HC: Lincoln Riley · Balanced

2023USC8-5HC: Lincoln Riley · Pass-leaning, slow tempo

2024USC7-6HC: Lincoln Riley · Pass-leaning

2025Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced

Our ratings

CFB Zeitgeist Score 37 (#102 of 146). Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles · 2025 season

37Below cohort / limited sample #102 of 146 · 2025?

13 metrics · season cumulative

2025 score: the 2026 sample is not big enough yet. The rows below are 2026 so far. Elite: rush tds (86th percentile). Concern: explosive rate (26th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Success rate#80 / 183 · 56th pct

41.2%

Sack rate#84 / 183 · 54th pct

4.8%

Interception rate#87 / 183 · 52nd pct

2.1%

EPA / dropback#129 / 183 · 30th pct

0.11

Explosive rate#135 / 183 · 26th pct

7.4%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush TDs#21 / 183 · 86th pct

Pass yards#54 / 183 · 71st pct

2679

Completion %#64 / 183 · 64th pct

64.2%

Pass TDs#63 / 183 · 64th pct

Yards / att#92 / 183 · 49th pct

7.1

Interceptions#92 / 183 · 44th pct

Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct

Rush yards#175 / 183 · 5th pct

-65

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

57th → 30th percentile

Success rate

85th → 56th percentile

Explosive rate

29th → 26th percentile

Sack rate

93rd → 54th percentile

Interception rate

58th → 52nd percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps in 2025. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2025 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

After 376 dropbacks

55Zeitgeist Passer Rating56th of 142 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 133.6 85th of 142 FBS QBs

ZPR ranks this quarterback 29 places higher than passer rating does: the schedule adjustment credits the defenses faced.

Positive-play rate weight 24%

48.9%75th pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · +2.1% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

6.8843rd pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · +0.1 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

4.6%67th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · -0.4% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (19 of 395 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home8g	225	1.0	7.7	0.6
Road3g	241	2.0	6.1	0.7

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	252	1.5	7.5	0.7
Weeks 8+6g	195	1.2	6.8	0.5

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Brohm

Pass share

50.2%

414 pass / 410 run

Plays / game

63.4

13 games

Scheme: Balanced.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Impact starter

380 pass attempts, 54 carries and 2 catches in 12 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score

37 · #102 of 146 QBs · 2025

Former four-star. Now #102 at the position.

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-ACC

Based on 2025: #14 of 17 ACC QBs

How the All-ACC base rate is computed

A base rate for the rank, not a forecast of this player: 22% of returning players who ranked #11–20 at their position in their conference made an all-conference team the next season (95% confidence interval 19–25%).