Mitch Trubisky: QB · North Carolina · #10.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Mitch Trubisky
Picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. Three seasons in the North Carolina quarterback room to date. On tape: 453 passing yards and 5 passing TD against Pittsburgh, Week 4, 2016.
Play style
High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
56.1% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 30.6% conversion-per-dropback — 40.6% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
5 of the team's 22 inside-the-5 carries (22.7%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
247Sports Nov 3
Syracuse.com Oct 22Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | North Carolina | 304 | 446 | 68.2% | 3,748 | 8.4 | 30 | 6 | 158.3 | 74 |
| 2015 | North Carolina | 40 | 47 | 85.1% | 555 | 11.8 | 6 | 0 | 226.4 | -- |
| 2014 | North Carolina | 42 | 78 | 53.8% | 459 | 5.9 | 5 | 4 | 114.2 | 45 |
| Career | 386 | 571 | 67.6% | 4,762 | 8.3 | 41 | 10 | 157.8 | 72 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | North Carolina | 93 | 308 | 3.3 | 5 | 39 |
| 2015 | North Carolina | 16 | 101 | 6.3 | 3 | 35 |
| 2014 | North Carolina | 11 | 30 | 2.7 | 0 | 16 |
| Career | 120 | 439 | 3.7 | 8 | 39 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2016 season · 13 games
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 24-33vs No. 18 Georgia | 24/40 | 156 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 | 37.3 | |
| Wk 2 | W 48-23@ Illinois | 19/24 | 265 | 2 | 0 | 11.0 | 93.1 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 3 | W 56-28vs James Madison | 24/27 | 432 | 3 | 0 | 16.0 | 97.8 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 4 | W 37-36vs Pittsburgh | 35/46 | 453 | 5 | 0 | 9.8 | 88.3 | Season-high 453 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 37-35@ No. 12 Florida State | 31/38 | 405 | 3 | 0 | 10.7 | 93.0 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 6 | L 3-34vs No. 25 Virginia Tech | 13/33 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 1.8 | 6.1 | |
| Wk 7 | W 20-13@ No. 16 Miami | 33/46 | 299 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 | 76.0 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 8 | W 35-14@ Virginia | 24/31 | 310 | 3 | 0 | 10.0 | 90.3 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 10 | W 48-20vs Georgia Tech | 20/32 | 329 | 1 | 0 | 10.3 | 85.2 | |
| Wk 11 | L 27-28@ Duke | 24/33 | 297 | 3 | 2 | 9.0 | 72.1 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 12 | W 41-7vs The Citadel | 11/20 | 184 | 3 | 0 | 9.2 | 99.1 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | L 21-28vs NC State | 23/38 | 280 | 3 | 0 | 7.4 | 70.1 | 3 TD passes |
 Bowl | L 23-25vs No. 16 Stanford | 23/38 | 280 | 2 | 2 | 7.4 | 52.4 | |
| Total | 304/446 | 3748 | 30 | 6 | 8.4 | — |
Week 4 · 2016
W 37-36
vs Pittsburgh
453 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT · QBR 88.3
Edged out Pittsburgh at home in a shootout.
With R. Switzer — 16 rec · 208 yds · 1 TD · T. Sheldon — 42.7 yards per punt · 3 punts · 47 long
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 436 passing plays (294 completions) against the box score's 446 attempts (304 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
8.5020 of 193 QBsSack rate
4.3%48 of 193 QBsRarely sacked (48 of 193 QBs) and still 20 of 193 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 68.2% completion on 446 attempts · 53 deep completions averaging 32.9 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2016 baseline
-45
percentile points worse on first down
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
3 seasons under Larry Fedora — 25-15 over that span.
Splits · Per-game
2016 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 289 | 2.5 | 9.1 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 315 | 2.6 | 9.4 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 294 | 2.1 | 8.4 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 280 | 2.6 | 9.2 | 0.4 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Larry Fedora
Pass share
53.3%
457 pass / 400 run
Plays / game
65.9
13 games
Scheme: Balanced.
Player standing · 2016
Our Heisman model had this player inside its top 25 in 2016.
How it ended
Three seasons at North Carolina, 4,762 passing yards — the college career is complete.
A stat line in 31 games over three seasons.
Coaching lineage · 2013–2016
1 coachPlayed every college season under Larry Fedora.
