#16

Nate Cox

Senior quarterback for Nevada. 2022: 1,466 passing yards, 5 TD, 5 INT.

QB · Nevada · Sr. · #16

6′9″ · 215 lb · Lafayette, LA

CFB Index 28 · #121 of 140 QBsHigh confidenceNevada 2022 alumnus

Recruiting

2★

PRO recruit

No. 321 nationally · Joined Nevada

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for Nevada. 2022: 1,466 passing yards, 5 TD, 5 INT.

Signed as a 2-star recruit to Nevada in 2020.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Three seasons at Nevada, 1,755 passing yards — his college career is complete.

His career

He barely played early on. Then he did not come off the field.

2020

Signed with Nevada2-star out of Garden City C.C.

Career arc

Recruit

★★

#321 national

CFB

College

Nevada

2020–2022

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Coaching lineage · 2020–2022

3 coaches

2020

Jay Norvell

Nevada

2021

Vai Taua

Nevada

era →

2022

Ken Wilson

Nevada

era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Jay Norvell, Vai Taua, and Ken Wilson. Multi-era developmental context.

2022 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2020Nevada7-2HC: Jay Norvell · Pass-leaning, fast tempo

2021Nevada8-5HC: Vai Taua · Pass-heavy

2022Nevada2-10HC: Ken Wilson · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

28Below cohort / limited sample #121 of 140?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interception rate (87th percentile). Concern: success rate (16th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Interception rate#22 / 169 · 87th pct

1.2%

Sack rate#64 / 169 · 62nd pct

5.1%

Explosive rate#118 / 169 · 30th pct

8.6%

EPA / dropback#123 / 169 · 28th pct

0.16

Success rate#143 / 169 · 16th pct

40.6%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush yards#49 / 177 · 73rd pct

268

Interceptions#52 / 177 · 65th pct

Rush TDs#67 / 177 · 58th pct

Pass yards#111 / 177 · 38th pct

1466

Pass TDs#147 / 177 · 15th pct

Completion %#157 / 177 · 12th pct

53.0%

Yards / att#164 / 177 · 8th pct

5.8

Fumbles lost#152 / 169 · 7th pct

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2022 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	140	0.7	4.5	0.5
Road5g	125	0.2	5.1	0.4

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-77g	133	0.3	5.5	0.1
Weeks 8+4g	133	0.8	3.5	1.0

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Jeff Choate

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2022

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

28 · #121 of 140 QBs

Two-star recruit. Now #121 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2022	Nevada	133	251	53.0%	1,466	5.8	5	5	104.6	25	--	--
2021	Nevada	26	43	60.5%	279	6.5	2	1	125.7	--	--	--
2020	Nevada	1	2	50.0%	10	5.0	0	0	92.0	--	--	--
Career		160	296	54.1%	1,755	5.9	7	6	107.6	25	--	--

Season	Team
2022	Nevada	71	268	3.8	3	--
2021	Nevada	18	34	1.9	1	--
2020	Nevada	1	--	0.0	0	--
Career		90	302	3.4	4	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2022

W 38–14

vs Texas State

43 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 86.8 · 29 rush yds (8 car) · 1 TD

Dominant 24-point win at home against Texas State.

With M. Freem — 40 AVG · 2 IN 20 · 52 LONG · J. Bell — 6 rec · 60 yds

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 12 · Fresno State · 2&8 · Q3 · EPA +6.53Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 73 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)
Week 12 · Fresno State · 3&10 · Q4 · EPA +3.98Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 28 yds for a TD FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Mac Dalena) declined, (Brandon Talton KICK)
Week 2 · Incarnate Word · 3&15 · Q1 · EPA +3.85Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 23 yds to the InWrd 33 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · Incarnate Word · 2&12 · Q4 · EPA +3.77Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 37 yds to the InWrd 40 for a 1ST down
Week 1 · Texas State · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA -3.74N.Cox steps back to pass. N.Cox sacked at NEV 42 for -17 yards (L.Bell)
Week 2 · Incarnate Word · 2&20 · Q3 · EPA +3.55Nate Cox pass complete to Devonte Lee for 20 yds to the InWrd 40 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Fresno State · 4&3 · Q3 · EPA -3.46Nate Cox run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 19
Week 12 · Fresno State · 1&15 · Q3 · EPA +3.43Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 41 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · Colorado State · 3&10 · Q4 · EPA +3.24Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 18 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · Colorado State · 2&13 · Q1 · EPA +3.17Nate Cox pass complete to Jacob Munro for 24 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2022 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 23-12@ New Mexico State	7/11	27	0	0	2.5	49.4
Wk 1	W 38-14vs Texas State	5/7	43	0	0	6.1	86.8
Wk 2	L 41-55vs Incarnate Word	22/43	302	2	0	7.0	30.6	Season-high 302 yds
Wk 3	L 0-27@ Iowa	—	—	—	—	—	—
Wk 4	L 20-48@ Air Force	12/20	130	0	0	6.5	53.6
Wk 6	L 14-17vs Colorado State	20/42	244	0	1	5.8	13.5
Wk 7	L 16-31@ Hawai'i	22/37	188	0	0	5.1	47.9
Wk 8	L 7-23vs San Diego State	2/8	11	0	0	1.4	9.3
Wk 11	L 3-41vs Boise State	0/1	0	0	0	0.0	0.1
Wk 12	L 14-41vs Fresno State	16/38	243	2	2	6.4	17.7
Wk 13	L 22-27@ UNLV	27/44	278	1	2	6.3	18.3
Total		133/251	1466	5	5	4.7	32.7

How he plays

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

51.4%Completion %

24.3%Conversion/dropback

50.0%Land short of sticks

0INTs

51.4% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 24.3% conversion-per-dropback — 50.0% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design