CFB Zeitgeist Score
75
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 89th percentile.
Patrick Overmyer
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
344 REC YDS · 27 REC · 5 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to UTSA for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · UTSA
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
UTSA · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #65 · 2026 recruiting class #107
TE · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
CFB Zeitgeist Score
75
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 89th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#1256
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2024–2025Modest growth (22%) across the multi-season window.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8206 | No. 2046 recruit | HighSchool | UTSA |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to UTSA
Composite
0.8206
#2046 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
12.7
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#243 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.7 yards per reception (27 catches).
Vs cohort
MODERATE · n=27 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 14 vs Army — 73 ypr
Result L 24-27
The week the volume broke through — put up 73 yds vs Army.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The most interesting thing about Patrick Overmyer is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 24-42@ Texas A&M | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 2 | L 36-43vs Texas State | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 48-20vs Incarnate Word | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 4 | W 17-16@ Colorado State | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 6 | L 21-27@ Temple | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 1 | 7 | |
| Wk 7 | W 61-13vs Rice | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 8 | L 17-55@ North Texas | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 10 | W 48-26vs Tulane | 4 | 68 | 17.0 | 0 | 44 | |
| Wk 11 | L 23-55@ South Florida | 1 | 45 | 45.0 | 1 | 45 | |
| Wk 12 | W 28-7@ Charlotte | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 13 | W 58-24vs East Carolina | 3 | 58 | 19.3 | 0 | 37 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-27vs Army | 6 | 73 | 12.2 | 2 | 40 | Season-high 73 yds |
| Bowl | W 57-20vs Florida International | 2 | 50 | 25.0 | 1 | 34 | |
| Total | 27 | 344 | 12.6 | 5 | 45 |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 27 | #66/475 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 344 | #57/475 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 5 | #14/475 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 12.7 | #100/475 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 9.3% | #108/468 | 77th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 23 | #14/53 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Rushing | Carries | 19 | #2/59 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 2 | #30/50 | 42nd pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.2 | #32/53 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #5/62 | 94th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 45 | #50/475 | 90th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 15.5% | #1/468 | 100th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.9% | #13/468 | 97th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 6.9% | #28/468 | 94th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 4.6% | #99/468 | 79th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 4.6% | #5/468 | 99th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.5% | #166/468 | 65th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.2% | #174/468 | 63rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 2.6 | 36.1 | 12.4 | 0.4 |
| Road6g | 1.5 | 15.2 | 12.7 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 2.0 | 29.7 | 13.4 | 0.1 |
| Losses6g | 2.2 | 22.7 | 11.8 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 1.4 | 10.6 | 6.9 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.8 | 45.0 | 18.2 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
Elite: rec tds (88th). Strength: rush yards (80th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jordan Smith’s 2022 season.
Jordan Smith
Lance Mason
Trey Knox
Kyirin Heath
Jordan Smith
Matches Jordan on
Differs from Jordan on
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Joel Wilson's sophomore season at Central Michigan (2021).
Joel Wilson
Isaac Rex
Izayah Cummings
Javonte Vereen
Jordan Smith
Matches Joel on
Differs from Joel on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Traylor
Pass share
50.7%
446 pass / 434 run
Plays / game
67.7
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.0%
281 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Jeff Traylor.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Team, conference, and class by season.