Philip Nelson: QB · East Carolina · #9.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Philip Nelson
Keeps the offense on schedule and doesn't lose the game. One game to point at: 400 passing yards and 1 passing TD against South Carolina — Week 3, 2016.
Play style
Consistent underneath passer who protects the lead. Rarely loses games; rarely wins them alone.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
48.7% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 17.9% conversion-per-dropback — 63.2% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
2 of the team's 21 inside-the-5 carries (9.5%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
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| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | East Carolina | 234 | 347 | 67.4% | 2,603 | 7.5 | 16 | 8 | 141.1 | 55 |
| Career | 234 | 347 | 67.4% | 2,603 | 7.5 | 16 | 8 | 141.1 | 55 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | East Carolina | 63 | 73 | 1.2 | 2 | 31 |
| Career | 63 | 73 | 1.2 | 2 | 31 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2016 season · 10 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-7vs Western Carolina | 28/32 | 398 | 5 | 0 | 12.4 | 95.6 | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 33-30vs NC State | 33/43 | 297 | 1 | 1 | 6.9 | 67.1 | |
| Wk 3 | L 15-20@ South Carolina | 44/58 | 400 | 1 | 2 | 6.9 | 64.0 | Season-high 400 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 17-54@ Virginia Tech | 17/34 | 362 | 2 | 0 | 10.6 | 16.9 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 5 | L 29-47vs UCF | 23/41 | 278 | 2 | 1 | 6.8 | 62.7 | |
| Wk 6 | L 22-38@ South Florida | 12/23 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 3.8 | 53.3 | |
| Wk 8 | L 19-31@ Cincinnati | 28/43 | 283 | 2 | 2 | 6.6 | 67.8 | |
| Wk 9 | W 41-3vs UConn | 29/41 | 253 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 | 72.9 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 10 | L 24-45@ Tulsa | 9/13 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 | 14.6 | |
| Wk 11 | L 31-55vs SMU | 11/19 | 144 | 0 | 2 | 7.6 | 19.3 | |
| Total | 234/347 | 2603 | 16 | 8 | 7.5 | — |
Week 1 · 2016
W 52-7
398 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT · QBR 95.6
Dominant 45-point win at home against Western Carolina.
With A. Scott — 120 rush yds (11 car) · 1 TD · 9 rec · 90 yds · 2 TD · J. Summers — 95 rush yds (10 car) · 15 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 97.5
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 346 passing plays (233 completions) against the box score's 347 attempts (234 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
6.6472 of 193 QBsSack rate
5.2%72 of 193 QBsRarely sacked (72 of 193 QBs) and still 72 of 193 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 67.4% completion on 347 attempts · 33 deep completions averaging 33.5 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2016 baseline
+88
percentile points better on third down or later
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2016 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 274 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 0.8 |
| Road5g | 247 | 1.2 | 7.1 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 304 | 1.8 | 7.9 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 195 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 1.0 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Scottie Montgomery
Pass share
58.1%
552 pass / 398 run
Plays / game
79.2
12 games
Scheme: Pass-leaning, fast tempo.
Player standing · 2016
347 pass attempts, 63 carries and 1 catch in 10 games, more passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week.
How it ended
One season at East Carolina, 2,603 passing yards — the college career is complete.
Coaching lineage · 2012–2016
3 coachesPlayed for 3 head coaches at 2 schools: Jerry Kill, Ruffin McNeill and Scottie Montgomery.
