cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Robert Henry /UTSA

Robert Henry

RB · UTSA · Sr · #20

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,045 RUSH YDS · 9 RUSH TD · 151 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · UTSA

Returning around him

  • 96% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (21 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UTSA · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #65 · 2026 recruiting class #107

RB · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Robert Henry

  • 4
  • #20
  • 5-9 | 205 lb
  • Lumberton, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

83

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 96th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#252

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
5882023
7062024
1,0452025

+78%

Up 78% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#57 national
CFB
College
UTSA
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey20
Measurements5-9 | 205 lb
HometownLumberton, MS
Primary teamUTSA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 57 recruit
Composite rating 0.8633 JUCO
Signed with UTSA 2023
Origin Jones College Lumberton, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8633 No. 57 recruit | JUCO | UTSA

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#252Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#434Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (1045).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UTSA

Composite

0.8633

#57 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Robert Henry

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Robert Henry

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
1,045Rush yards
151Carries
9Rush TDs
Per game
95Rush yards
14Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
1,235Rush yards
178Carries
11Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 1,045.

✓ Hit 1,000-yard season · finished with 1,045.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 1,045): needs 227.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 9): needs 0.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 9): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 9): needs 5.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Robert Henry's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UTSA, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #252 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 24.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,159 1,045 rush | 114 rec | #31/735 (96th pct)
Rush TD 9 151 carries | #43/739 (94th pct)
Yards/carry 6.9 Per-rush efficiency | #60/735 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorseEfficient runnerPassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
151 91st
YDS
1,045 96th
YPC
6.9 92nd
TD
9 94th

Receiving

REC
18 83rd
YDS
114 74th
YPR
6.3 42nd
TD
2 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 24-42@ Texas A&M1617711.1275Season-high 177 yds
Wk 2L 36-43vs Texas State171599.4275159-yard day
Wk 3W 48-20vs Incarnate Word1414410.3274
Wk 4W 17-16@ Colorado State211446.9176
Wk 6L 21-27@ Temple12423.508
Wk 7W 61-13vs Rice12645.3115
Wk 8L 17-55@ North Texas1213811.5172
Wk 10W 48-26vs Tulane16875.4034
Wk 11L 23-55@ South Florida10272.7013
Wk 12W 28-7@ Charlotte810.106
Wk 14L 24-27vs Army13624.8022
Total15110456.5976
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023UTSA9-4HC: Jeff Traylor · Run-leaning
2024UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced, fast tempo
2025UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UTSA1511,0456.99--
2024UTSA1307065.47--
2023UTSA1275884.611--
Career3 loaded seasons4082,3395.727--
SeasonTeam
2025UTSA181146.32--
2024UTSA211999.51--
2023UTSA191156.10--
Career3 loaded seasons584287.43--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 18 114 rec yds | #96/552 (83rd pct)
Usage 24.0% 44.1% rush share | #57/738 (92nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.26 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #15/362 (96th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 1,045 #31/735 96th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 9 #43/739 94th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.9 #60/735 92nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 18 #96/552 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 114 #146/548 74th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.26 #15/362 96th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 147 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 24.0% #57/738 92nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 151 #68/739 91st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 76 #32/733 96th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 74 #11/540 98th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 6.3 #320/548 42nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 1 #139/206 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 44.1% #38/738 95th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 26.1% #44/738 94th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 25.3% #79/738 89th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 24.5% #8/738 99th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 23.8% #89/738 88th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 21.3% #20/738 97th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 6.4% #103/738 86th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g1037.01.0
Road6g88.26.00.7

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins5g88.05.60.8
Losses6g1017.20.8

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g1227.81.3
Weeks 8+5g63.04.90.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

83All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / carry (95th). Strength: rush yards (91st).

Yards / carry#14 / 349 · 96th pct
6.9rush
Rush yards#31 / 349 · 91st pct
1045rush
Long run#30 / 349 · 91st pct
76rush
Rush TDs#43 / 349 · 87th pct
9rush
Carries#68 / 349 · 81st pct
151rush
Receptions#93 / 338 · 71st pct
18rece
Rec yards#135 / 338 · 60th pct
114rece
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.26Elite (≥p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Robert HenryUTSADylan RileyBoise State· 90% simKaytron AllenPenn State· 89% simJoe JacksonKansas State· 89% sim
Yards / carry
96
Henry
82
Riley
89
Allen
68
Jackson
Rush yards
91
Henry
94
Riley
97
Allen
86
Jackson
Long run
91
Henry
92
Riley
81
Allen
93
Jackson
Rush TDs
87
Henry
89
Riley
97
Allen
84
Jackson
Carries
81
Henry
91
Riley
93
Allen
86
Jackson
Receptions
71
Henry
59
Riley
71
Allen
81
Jackson
Rec yards
60
Henry
75
Riley
39
Allen
63
Jackson
Fumbles lost
49
Henry
49
Allen
49
Jackson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Merchant

Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jarquez Hunter’s 2024 season.

Jarquez Hunter

80%match

Auburn · 2024

NFL Rd 4
#2

Waymond Jordan

USC · 2025

73%
#3

Ayo Adeyi

North Texas · 2023

All-AAC
70%
#4

Noah Whittington

Oregon · 2025

67%
#5

OJ Arnold

Georgia Southern · 2025

All-Sun Belt
65%

Matches Jarquez on

Yards / carry
Yards / reception
Class year

Differs from Jarquez on

Rush TD rate (higher)
Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jarquez Hunter's junior season at Auburn (2023).

Jarquez Hunter

71%match

Auburn · 2023

All-SECNFL Rd 4
#2

John Lee Eldridge III

Air Force · 2023

All-Mountain West
70%
#3

Charles McClelland

Cincinnati · 2022

68%
#4

Emari Demercado

TCU · 2022

68%
#5

Emmett Johnson

Nebraska · 2025

All-Big TenNFL Rd 5
67%

Matches Jarquez on

Weight
Height
Yards / carry

Differs from Jarquez on

Total rush EPA (college ability) (higher)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Traylor

Pass share

50.7%

446 pass / 434 run

Plays / game

67.7

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.0%

281 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2024
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2025
Jeff Traylor
UTSA

Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLumberton, MS
Height5'9"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey20

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UTSA RB4 #252 #434 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 UTSA RB4 #211 #251 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UTSA American Athletic RB 4 No. 20 | 5-9 | 205 lb | Lumberton, MS
2024 UTSA American Athletic RB 4 No. 20 | 5-9 | 205 lb | Lumberton, MS
2023 UTSA American Athletic RB 4 No. 20 | 5-9 | 205 lb | Lumberton, MS