cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Rodney Hill /Arkansas

Rodney Hill

RB · Arkansas · Jr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

36 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 8 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arkansas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arkansas for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Arkansas

Returning around him

  • 36% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 4 Arkansas players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (41 in / 43 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arkansas · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #23 · 2026 recruiting class #32

RB · ARKANSAS · SEC

Rodney Hill

  • 3
  • #1
  • 5-10 | 195 lb
  • Statesboro, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

9

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 33rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#505

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
1442022
1902023
1842024
36.02025

-75%

Sharp dropoff (-75%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#113 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey1
Measurements5-10 | 195 lb
HometownStatesboro, GA
Primary teamArkansas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 113 recruit
Composite rating 0.9482 HighSchool
Signed with Florida State 2021
Origin Edna Karr New Orleans, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9482 No. 113 recruit | HighSchool | Florida State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#505Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#535Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Florida State

Composite

0.9482

#113 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Rodney Hill

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "#tbt Rodney Hill’s Crucial 4th Quarter TD Run vs. Duke (2023)"RivalsNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Rivals · n=1
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Rodney Hill

Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
36Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
4Rush yards
1Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
52Rush yards
12Carries
0Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 36): needs 178.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 36): needs 241/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 36): needs 366/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 4.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Rodney Hill is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 36 rushing yards, 1 catches, and 240 return yards for Arkansas. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #505 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 113 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 45 36 rush | 9 rec | #560/735 (24th pct)
Rush TD 0 8 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 4.5 Per-rush efficiency | #383/735 (48th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
8 25th
YDS
36 24th
YPC
4.5 48th
TD
0 40th

Receiving

REC
1 16th
YDS
9 16th
YPR
9.0 71st
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 52-7vs Alabama A&M3134.307
Wk 2W 56-14vs Arkansas State4246.0018Season-high 24 yds
Wk 4L 31-32@ Memphis
Wk 7L 31-34@ Tennessee
Wk 8L 42-45vs Texas A&M
Wk 9L 24-33vs Auburn
Wk 10L 35-38vs Mississippi State
Wk 12L 22-23@ LSU1-1-1.000
Wk 14L 17-31vs Missouri
Total8363.1018
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Florida State10-3HC: Mike Norvell · Run-leaning
2023Florida State13-1HC: Mike Norvell · Balanced
2024Arkansas7-6HC: Sam Pittman · Run-leaning
2025Arkansas2-10HC: Sam Pittman · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas8364.50--
2024Arkansas281846.62--
2023Florida State501903.81--
2022Florida State271445.31--
Career4 loaded seasons1135544.94--
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas199.00--
2024Arkansas8688.50--
2023Florida State58316.60--
2022Florida State----------
Career4 loaded seasons1416011.40--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 1 9 rec yds | #467/552 (16th pct)
Usage 4.8% 8.2% rush share | #552/738 (25th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 36 #560/735 24th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.5 #383/735 48th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 1 #467/552 16th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 9 #460/548 16th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 4.8% #552/738 25th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 18 #425/733 42nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 8 #558/739 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 9 #425/540 21st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 9.0 #159/548 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 240 #30/200 86th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 24.0 #34/199 83rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 10 #31/206 85th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 8.2% #541/738 27th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 7.4% #446/738 40th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 5.8% #527/738 29th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.4% #639/738 14th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 2.0% #612/738 17th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 1.1% #495/738 33rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #622/738 16th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g6.25.20.0
Road3g-0.3-1.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins2g18.55.20.0
Losses7g-0.1-1.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g9.25.20.0
Weeks 8+5g-0.2-1.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

9Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Yards / carry#227 / 349 · 33rd pct
4.5rush
Long run#316 / 349 · 9th pct
18rush
Rec yards#319 / 338 · 6th pct
9rece
Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush
Receptions#327 / 338 · 2nd pct
1rece
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
36rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
8rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Rodney HillArkansasJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 47% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 45% simTae MeadowsTroy· 44% sim
Yards / carry
33
Hill
41
Brunson
33
Wright
29
Meadows
Long run
9
Hill
73
Brunson
49
Wright
53
Meadows
Rec yards
6
Hill
3
Brunson
10
Wright
38
Meadows
Rush TDs
3
Hill
50
Brunson
62
Wright
72
Meadows
Receptions
2
Hill
2
Brunson
32
Wright
45
Meadows
Rush yards
0
Hill
80
Brunson
84
Wright
74
Meadows
Carries
0
Hill
85
Brunson
92
Wright
84
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sam Pittman

Pass share

48.8%

381 pass / 400 run

Plays / game

65.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.3%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2023
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2024
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2025
Sam Pittman
Arkansas

Played his entire career under Sam Pittman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownStatesboro, GA
Height5'10"
Weight195 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arkansas RB3 #505 #535 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Florida State RB3 #608 #391 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Florida State RB3 #955 #742 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arkansas SEC RB 3 No. 1 | 5-10 | 195 lb | Statesboro, GA
2024 Arkansas SEC RB 3 No. 1 | 5-10 | 195 lb | Statesboro, GA
2023 Florida State ACC RB 3 No. 1 | 5-10 | 195 lb | Statesboro, GA
2022 Florida State ACC RB 3 No. 1 | 5-10 | 195 lb | Statesboro, GA