cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Seth Henigan /Memphis

Seth Henigan

QB · Memphis · Sr · #9

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

CAREER COMPLETEMemphis 2024 — college career complete

QB · MEMPHIS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Seth Henigan

  • 4
  • #9
  • 6-3 | 215 lb
  • Denton, TX

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#52

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2021

Memphis · QB

2022

Memphis · QB

2023

Memphis · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2024

Memphis · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2024
3,3222021
3,5712022
3,8832023
3,5022024

+5%

Modest growth (5%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1188 national
CFB
College
Memphis
2021–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements6-3 | 215 lb
HometownDenton, TX
Primary teamMemphis

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1188 recruit
Composite rating 0.8500 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Ryan Denton, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8500 No. 1188 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#52Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#55Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8500

#1188 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Seth Henigan

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Seth Henigan

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Seth Henigan already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #52 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 60.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 2 honors loaded

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,502 25 TD | 6 INT | #16/382 (96th pct)
Completion rate 64.8% 309/477 completions | #133/383 (66th pct)
Yards/attempt 7.3 Explosiveness through the air | #145/382 (62nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientDual-threat

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
309 98th
ATT
477 99th
CMP%
64.8% 66th
Y/A
7.3 62nd

Passing Production

YDS
3,502 96th
TD
25 96th
INT
6 28th

Rushing

CAR
80 80th
YDS
190 78th
YPC
2.4 45th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Memphis6-6HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced
2022Memphis7-6HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced
2023Memphis10-3HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced
2024Memphis11-2HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2024Memphis30947764.8%3,5027.3256141.2----
2023Memphis31847666.8%3,8838.2329153.7----
2022Memphis28644664.1%3,5718.0228144.1----
2021Memphis23539359.8%3,3228.5258147.7----
Career4 loaded seasons1,1481,79264.1%14,2788.010431146.7----
SeasonTeam
2024Memphis801902.41--
2023Memphis942742.95--
2022Memphis1462892.04--
2021Memphis801471.80--
Career4 loaded seasons4009002.210--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 190 1 rush TD | #90/408 (78th pct)
Usage 60.2% 99.8% pass share | 14.3% rush share | #16/428 (96th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.39 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #29/200 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,502 #16/382 96th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 25 #19/407 96th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 309 #8/383 98th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 64.8% #133/383 66th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.3 #145/382 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 190 #90/408 78th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.39 #29/200 86th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 485 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 60.2% #16/428 96th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 477 #7/407 99th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 6 #294/407 28th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 80 #82/408 80th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 23 #153/391 61st pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 2.4 #226/407 45th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 99.8% #1/428 100th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 77.5% #12/428 97th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 73.6% #23/428 95th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 61.7% #16/428 96th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 53.5% #14/428 97th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 52.9% #18/428 96th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 14.3% #111/428 74th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.24 #73/140 49th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 60 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Silverfield

Pass share

46.9%

412 pass / 466 run

Plays / game

67.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

285 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024

1 coach
2021
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2022
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2023
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2024
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis

Played his entire career under Ryan Silverfield.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDenton, TX
Height6'3"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-AAC all_conference Memphis | AAC QB
2023 All-AAC all_conference Memphis | AAC QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Memphis QB4 #52 #55 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Memphis QB4 #34 #55 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Memphis QB4 #102 #160 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 Memphis QB4 #134 #183 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Memphis American Athletic QB 4 No. 9 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Denton, TX
2023 Memphis American Athletic QB 4 No. 9 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Denton, TX
2022 Memphis American Athletic QB 4 No. 9 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Denton, TX
2021 Memphis American Athletic QB 4 No. 9 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Denton, TX