Seth Russell: QB · Baylor · #17.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Seth Russell
Extends plays on the move until something opens up. Played for two head coaches in three seasons at Baylor. On tape: 387 passing yards and 65 rushing yards against Oklahoma State, Week 4, 2016.
Play style
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
41.9% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 29.4% conversion-per-dropback — 23.1% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
12 of 12 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (100.0%). 9 of the team's 34 inside-the-5 carries (26.5%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
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Game log · Week-by-week
2016 season · 9 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 55-7vs Northwestern State | 14/20 | 163 | 4 | 0 | 8.1 | 68.8 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 40-13vs SMU | 26/47 | 261 | 2 | 2 | 5.6 | 48.2 | |
| Wk 3 | W 38-10@ Rice | 22/38 | 337 | 3 | 1 | 8.9 | 79.5 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 4 | W 35-24vs Oklahoma State | 18/28 | 387 | 4 | 1 | 13.8 | 92.3 | Season-high 387 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 45-42@ Iowa State | 12/22 | 178 | 1 | 0 | 8.1 | 62.1 | |
| Wk 7 | W 49-7vs Kansas | 9/22 | 144 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 | 96.7 | |
| Wk 9 | L 34-35@ Texas | 14/28 | 226 | 2 | 1 | 8.1 | 78.6 | |
| Wk 10 | L 22-62vs TCU | 22/42 | 282 | 1 | 1 | 6.7 | 30.1 | |
| Wk 11 | L 24-45@ No. 9 Oklahoma | 15/31 | 148 | 1 | 2 | 4.8 | 28.4 | |
| Total | 152/278 | 2126 | 20 | 8 | 7.6 | — |
Week 4 · 2016
W 35-24
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 267 passing plays (141 completions) against the box score's 278 attempts (152 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
7.2948 of 193 QBsSack rate
4.5%54 of 193 QBsRarely sacked (54 of 193 QBs) and still 48 of 193 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 54.7% completion on 278 attempts · 21 deep completions averaging 38.0 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2016 baseline
No situation moves him more than 58 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2016 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 247 | 2.6 | 8.1 | 0.8 |
| Road4g | 222 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 245 | 2.7 | 8.5 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 219 | 1.3 | 6.5 | 1.3 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jim Grobe
Pass share
43.4%
479 pass / 625 run
Plays / game
84.9
13 games
Scheme: Run-leaning, fast tempo.
Player standing · 2016
More passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week.
How it ended
Three seasons at Baylor, 5,034 passing yards — the college career is complete.
A stat line in 24 games over three seasons.
Coaching lineage · 2012–2016
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Art Briles → Jim Grobe. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
