cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tim Keenan III /Alabama

Tim Keenan III

DL · Alabama · Sr · #96

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

16 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Los Angeles — Rd 7, Pick 16, #232 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Los Angeles2026 NFL rookie season

#232Rd 7 · Pick 16
Los Angeles2026 NFL rookie season

DL · ALABAMA · SEC

Tim Keenan III

  • 4
  • #96
  • 6-2 | 320 lb
  • Birmingham, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2633

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2022

Alabama · DL

2023

Alabama · DL

2024

Alabama · DL

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Alabama · DL

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 7, Pick 16 · #232 overall · Los Angeles

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#367 national
CFB
College
Alabama
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 &middot; #232
Los Angeles &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey96
Measurements6-2 | 320 lb
HometownBirmingham, AL
Primary teamAlabama

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 367 recruit
Composite rating 0.8933 HighSchool
Signed with Alabama 2021
Origin Ramsay Birmingham, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.8933 No. 367 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2633Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2875Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Alabama

Composite

0.8933

#367 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 7, Pick 16

#232 overall · Los Angeles

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tim Keenan III

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tim Keenan III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
16Tackles
3Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
23Tackles
4.3Tackles for loss
2.9Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 16): needs 16/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 16): needs 21/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 1/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tim Keenan III is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Alabama's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #2633 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 367 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 16 11 solo | #2295/4942 (54th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
16 54th
SOLO
11 60th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 6W 30-14vs Vanderbilt
Wk 8W 37-20vs Tennessee200.00.00
Wk 9W 29-22@ South Carolina420.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 11W 20-9vs LSU100.00.00
Wk 12L 21-23vs Oklahoma000.00.01
Wk 13W 56-0vs Eastern Illinois222.02.002 sacks
Wk 15L 7-28vs Georgia441.00.00
BowlW 34-24@ Oklahoma110.00.00
BowlL 3-38@ Indiana220.00.00
Total16113.02.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Alabama11-2HC: Nick Saban · Balanced
2023Alabama12-2HC: Nick Saban · Run-heavy
2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning
2025Alabama11-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Alabama16113.02.01----
2024Alabama40167.52.51----
2023Alabama38171.51.01----
2022Alabama1--0.50.0------
Career4 loaded seasons954412.55.53----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 16 #2295/4942 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 11 #1855/4584 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g1.50.50.30.2
Road3g2.30.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g1.70.30.30.0
Losses3g2.00.30.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.00.00.00.0
Weeks 8+6g2.20.50.30.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

54Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles (21st).

Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Solo tackles#1855 / 2975 · 35th pct
11defe
Tackles#2295 / 2975 · 21st pct
16defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Tim Keenan IIIAlabamaJohnny Chaney Jr.Florida International· 60% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 59% simKhalil MurdockBuffalo· 59% sim
Sacks
80
III
89
Jr.
63
Vaughns
96
Murdock
Tackles for loss
63
III
91
Jr.
85
Vaughns
99
Murdock
QB hurries
55
III
55
Jr.
22
Vaughns
55
Murdock
Passes defended
48
III
48
Jr.
48
Vaughns
48
Murdock
Forced fumbles
47
III
47
Jr.
47
Vaughns
47
Murdock
Solo tackles
35
III
100
Jr.
96
Vaughns
98
Murdock
Tackles
21
III
99
Jr.
99
Vaughns
100
Murdock

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to CJ West’s 2021 season.

CJ West

86%match

Kent State · 2021

NFL Rd 4
#2

McKinnley Jackson

Texas A&M · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 34
85%
#3

Tre Williams

Clemson · 2024

82%
#4

Cam Goode

UCF · 2021

81%
#5

Jalen Hunt

Cincinnati · 2025

81%

Matches CJ on

Height
Weight
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to McKinnley Jackson's senior season at Texas A&M (2023).

McKinnley Jackson

86%match

Texas A&M · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 34
#2

J.J. Pegues

Ole Miss · 2023

81%
#3

Billy Wooden

Massachusetts · 2023

80%
#4

Chris McClellan

Missouri · 2025

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 13
79%
#5

Jaxson Moi

Tennessee · 2025

78%

Matches McKinnley on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kalen DeBoer

Pass share

53.4%

523 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

65.3

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

384 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Nick Saban
Alabama
2023
Nick Saban
Alabama
2024
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
era →
2025
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama

Coaching transition mid-career: Nick Saban → Kalen DeBoer. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBirmingham, AL
Height6'2"
Weight320 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey96

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-SEC all_conference Alabama | SEC DL

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Alabama DL4 #2633 #2875 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Alabama DL4 #3792 #3701 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Alabama DL4 #4708 #4328 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Alabama SEC DL 4 No. 96 | 6-2 | 320 lb | Birmingham, AL
2024 Alabama SEC DL 4 No. 96 | 6-2 | 320 lb | Birmingham, AL
2023 Alabama SEC DL 4 No. 96 | 6-2 | 320 lb | Birmingham, AL
2022 Alabama SEC DL 4 No. 96 | 6-2 | 320 lb | Birmingham, AL