Trevor Siemian

#13 · QB · Northwestern6′3″ · Windermere, FL

Trevor Siemian: QB · Northwestern · #13.

Similar players

Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.

Tristan GebbiaOregon State · 2020 · 78% season match
Gresch JensenTexas State · 2019 · 76% season match
Tucker CarterUTSA · 2014 · 74% season match
Christian HackenbergPenn State · 2014 · 73% season match
Colby KirkegaardWyoming · 2014 · 61% season match

Trevor Siemian

QB · Northwestern · #13

Operates within the system without forcing anything. On tape: 284 passing yards and 32 rushing yards against Notre Dame, Week 12, 2014.

Style of play

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

53.1%Completion %

29.1%Conversion/dropback

38.5%Land short of sticks

2INTs

53.1% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 29.1% conversion-per-dropback — 38.5% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

4/30Inside-5 share

4 of the team's 30 inside-the-5 carries (13.3%).

Fans

No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.

Northwestern in the news

Dante Moore out for seasonOregonLive Oct 29

Where to follow

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2014	Northwestern	228	392	58.2%	2,214	5.6	7	11	105.9	32
Career		228	392	58.2%	2,214	5.6	7	11	105.9	32

Season	Team
2014	Northwestern	68	−123	−1.8	5	16
Career		68	−123	−1.8	5	16

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2014 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 24-31vs California	23/44	229	1	2	5.2	32.4
Wk 2	L 15-23vs Northern Illinois	27/41	268	1	1	6.5	41.0
Wk 4	W 24-7vs Western Illinois	15/25	117	0	0	4.7	38.8
Wk 5	W 29-6@ Penn State	21/37	258	0	1	7.0	56.2
Wk 6	W 20-14vs No. 17 Wisconsin	15/29	182	1	0	6.3	55.3
Wk 7	L 17-24@ Minnesota	32/50	269	1	1	5.4	52.5
Wk 8	L 17-38vs No. 19 Nebraska	18/39	173	0	1	4.4	21.1
Wk 10	L 7-48@ Iowa	8/18	68	0	0	3.8	3.3
Wk 11	L 9-10vs Michigan	32/49	273	1	2	5.6	36.6
Wk 12	W 43-40@ No. 15 Notre Dame	30/48	284	1	2	5.9	44.1	Season-high 284 yds
Wk 13	W 38-14@ Purdue	7/12	93	1	1	7.8	54.3
Total		228/392	2214	7	11	5.6	—

Signature game

Week 5 · 2014

W 29-6

at Penn State

258 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT · QBR 56.2

Dominant 23-point win on the road against Penn State.

With C. Gradone — 37.2 yards per punt · 6 punts · 41 long · M. Shuler — 2 rec · 18 yds

Signature plays

The plays that mattered most

Week 1 · California · 3rd and 3 · Q2 · EPA +5.44Trevor Siemian pass complete to Cameron Dickerson for 54 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)
Week 12 · Notre Dame · 3rd and 8 · Q2 · EPA +4.47Trevor Siemian pass complete to Cameron Dickerson for 60 yds to the NDame 13 for a
Week 12 · Notre Dame · 3rd and 2 · Q2 · EPA −4.42Trevor Siemian pass intercepted Matthias Farley return for 39 yds to the NDame 39
Week 6 · Wisconsin · 2nd and 16 · Q2 · EPA +3.96Trevor Siemian pass complete to Tony Jones for 35 yds to the Wisc 33 for a
Week 2 · Northern Illinois · 3rd and 19 · Q4 · EPA +3.93Trevor Siemian pass complete to Dan Vitale for 20 yds to the NoIll 33 for a
Week 2 · Northern Illinois · 1st and 10 · Q1 · EPA −3.91Trevor Siemian pass intercepted, touchback. Paris Logan return for no gain

4 more plays

Week 5 · Penn State · 2nd and 10 · Q3 · EPA −3.85Trevor Siemian pass intercepted Adrian Amos return for 2 yds to the PnSt 12
Week 8 · Nebraska · 1st and 10 · Q2 · EPA −3.76Trevor Siemian pass intercepted, touchback. Nate Gerry return for no gain
Week 7 · Minnesota · 4th and 10 · Q4 · EPA +3.67Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 14 yds to the Minn 40 for a
Week 7 · Minnesota · 3rd and 10 · Q2 · EPA +3.34Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 19 yds to the Minn 45 for a

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

228/392 (58.2%) · 7 TD · 11 INT

386 of 392 attempts matched to play-by-play

Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 386 passing plays (225 completions) against the box score's 392 attempts (228 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.

Adjusted ANY/A

3.83158 of 181 QBs

Sack rate

7.3%141 of 181 QBs

Sacked on 7.3% of dropbacks (141 of 181) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (158 of 181).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

62%of completions

140 comp5.3 yds avg3 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

29%of completions

65 comp14.1 yds avg2 TD

Deep

20+ yds

9%of completions

20 comp27.4 yds avg2 TD

Overall 58.2% completion on 392 attempts · 20 deep completions averaging 27.4 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2014 baseline

+60

percentile points better on third down or later

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-37 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 9/139 (6.5%) · league sack rate 4.8%

Down 2

-19 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 11/131 (8.4%) · league sack rate 5.3%

Down 3+

+60 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 7/128 (5.5%) · league sack rate 8.1%

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Teams and coaches

2014Northwestern5-7HC: Pat Fitzgerald · Balanced, fast tempo

Our ratings

Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles · 2014 season

12 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: explosive rate (3rd percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Success rate#92 / 163 · 43rd pct

39.2%

Interception rate#94 / 163 · 43rd pct

2.8%

Sack rate#122 / 163 · 25th pct

7.4%

EPA / dropback#133 / 163 · 19th pct

0.07

Explosive rate#158 / 163 · 3rd pct

5.2%

Box-score rates (7)

Rush TDs#36 / 157 · 74th pct

Pass yards#82 / 157 · 48th pct

2214

Completion %#84 / 157 · 47th pct

58.2%

Interceptions#116 / 157 · 24th pct

Pass TDs#129 / 157 · 18th pct

Yards / att#144 / 157 · 8th pct

5.6

Rush yards#151 / 157 · 4th pct

-123

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps in 2014. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2014 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

After 398 dropbacks

32Zeitgeist Passer Rating118th of 142 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 105.9 130th of 142 FBS QBs

ZPR ranks this quarterback 12 places higher than passer rating does: positive plays and yards per attempt come at a higher rate than the box line suggests.

Positive-play rate weight 24%

43.7%46th pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points

Yards per attempt weight 56%

5.9517th pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · +0.1 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

6.6%38th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · -0.1% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (18 of 416 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2014 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	207	0.7	5.5	1.0
Road5g	194	0.6	6.0	1.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	220	0.7	5.9	0.8
Weeks 8+5g	178	0.6	5.5	1.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2014 season

Head Coach

Pat Fitzgerald

Pass share

49.0%

455 pass / 473 run

Plays / game

77.3

12 games

Scheme: Balanced, fast tempo.

Awards

Player standing · 2014

Impact starter

392 pass attempts, 68 carries and 1 catch in 11 games, more passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week.

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Trevor Siemian

Similar players

Style of play

Fans

Northwestern in the news

Where to follow

Career stats

Game log

Signature game

Signature plays

Passing profile

Situational

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

Awards

Impact starter

Five seasons at Northwestern, drafted

2015