cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Will Lee III /Texas A&M

Will Lee III

CB · Texas A&M · Sr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

50 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Carolina — Rd 4, Pick 29, #129 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Carolina2026 NFL rookie season

#129Rd 4 · Pick 29
Carolina2026 NFL rookie season

CB · TEXAS A&M · SEC

Will Lee III

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-1 | 189 lb
  • Kirkwood, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

65

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 96th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9975

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1937 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R4 &middot; #129
Carolina &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-1 | 189 lb
HometownKirkwood, MO
Primary teamTexas A&M

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 37 recruit
Composite rating 0.8689 JUCO
Signed with Kansas State 2023
Origin Iowa Western C.C. St. Louis, MO, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8689 No. 37 recruit | JUCO | Kansas State
2021 3-star | 0.8228 No. 1937 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Texas A&M 2024
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 4, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Kansas State -> Texas A&M 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9975Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9767Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Kansas State

Composite

0.8689

#37 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 4, Pick 29

#129 overall · Carolina

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Will Lee III

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Will Lee III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
50Tackles
2Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
54Tackles
2.2Tackles for loss
1.1Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 50): needs 30/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 50): needs 50/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Will Lee III is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Texas A&M's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9975 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 50 40 solo | #600/4942 (88th pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
50 88th
SOLO
40 95th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
1.0 82nd

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
7 96th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs UTSA540.00.00
Wk 2W 44-22vs Utah State430.00.01
Wk 3W 41-40@ Notre Dame660.00.01
Wk 5W 16-10vs Auburn640.00.00
Wk 6W 31-9vs Mississippi State221.00.00
Wk 7W 34-17vs Florida220.00.00
Wk 8W 45-42@ Arkansas760.00.01Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 9W 49-25@ LSU220.00.01
Wk 11W 38-17@ Missouri330.00.01
Wk 12W 31-30vs South Carolina551.01.00
Wk 14L 17-27@ Texas110.00.01
BowlL 3-10vs Miami720.00.01
Total50402.01.07
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Kansas State9-4HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning
2025Texas A&M11-2HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Texas A&M50402.01.07----
2023Kansas State42321.50.062--
Career2 loaded seasons92723.51.0132--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 7 Coverage disruption | #85/2184 (96th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 50 #600/4942 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 7 #85/2184 96th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 40 #212/4584 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g4.40.30.10.3
Road5g3.80.00.01.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g4.20.20.10.5
Losses2g4.00.00.01.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.60.10.00.4
Weeks 8+5g3.60.20.20.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

65Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (96th). Strength: solo tackles (92nd). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#85 / 2975 · 96th pct
7defe
Solo tackles#212 / 2975 · 92nd pct
40defe
Tackles#600 / 2975 · 79th pct
50defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Will Lee IIITexas A&MDalton JohnsonArizona· 92% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 91% simBrevin HamblinUtah State· 90% sim
Passes defended
96
III
96
Johnson
91
Lafayette
98
Hamblin
Solo tackles
92
III
97
Johnson
98
Lafayette
99
Hamblin
Tackles
79
III
98
Johnson
99
Lafayette
99
Hamblin
Sacks
63
III
63
Johnson
63
Lafayette
74
Hamblin
Tackles for loss
47
III
47
Johnson
56
Lafayette
56
Hamblin
QB hurries
22
III
22
Johnson
22
Lafayette
22
Hamblin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Volume Tackler

Targeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Damaje Yancey’s 2024 season.

Damaje Yancey

91%match

Troy · 2024

#2

Will Lee III

Kansas State · 2023

NFL Rd 4
86%
#3

Derrek Pitts Jr.

NC State · 2021

84%
#4

Ra'Mello Dotson

Kansas · 2024

84%
#5

Derrek Pitts Jr.

NC State · 2022

83%

Matches Damaje on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Domani Jackson's junior season at Alabama (2024).

Domani Jackson

96%match

Alabama · 2024

All-SECNFL Rd 6
#2

Derrek Pitts Jr.

NC State · 2022

92%
#3

Cam Allen

Purdue · 2022

92%
#4

Ajani Carter

Utah State · 2022

91%
#5

Omarion Cooper

Colorado · 2023

All-AAC
91%

Matches Domani on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Elko

Pass share

45.8%

407 pass / 482 run

Plays / game

68.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

286 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Elijah Robinson
Texas A&M
2025
Mike Elko
Texas A&M
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Elijah Robinson → Mike Elko. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKirkwood, MO
Height6'1"
Weight189 lb
Class4
PositionCB
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas A&M CB4 #9975 #9767 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Kansas State CB4 #7389 #7770 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas A&M SEC CB 4 No. 4 | 6-1 | 189 lb | Kirkwood, MO
2024 Texas A&M SEC CB 4 No. 4 | 6-1 | 189 lb | Kirkwood, MO
2023 Kansas State Big 12 CB 4 No. 4 | 6-1 | 189 lb | Kirkwood, MO