North Dakota

Home-field advantage · North Dakota · 2018–present · FBS opponents

North Dakota is worth +9.9 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile of 133 programs

50% at home, 15% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (3–3 home, 2–11 away). Interval ±6.7.

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, North Dakota has beaten the number by +4.4 more at home than away over 49 games — inside the ±7.6 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Alerus Center seats 12,283 and has averaged 88% full (10,857, 15 games reported). Visitors cover a median 758 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 43 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.