Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from North Dakota’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in North Dakota’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 10:31 · Nebraska tiedAnthony Colandrea runs 10 yards for a touchdownNorth Dakota at Nebraska, week 3Q1, 10:31 · Nebraska 7, North Dakota 0Nebraska opened the scoringNebraska opened the scoringA.Colandrea rush right for 10 yards gain to the UND00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q3, 5:49 · North Dakota down 24Jerry Kaminski finds Caleb Goodloe for a 7-yard touchdownNorth Dakota at Nebraska, week 3Q3, 5:49 · North Dakota 7, Nebraska 24North Dakota got on the board with 5:49 left in the third quarterNorth Dakota got on the board with 5:49 left in the third quarterJ.Kaminski pass complete short left to C.Goodloe caught at NEB02, for 7 yards to the NEB00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q2, 5:44 · North Dakota down 14North Dakota is sackedNorth Dakota at Nebraska, week 3Q2, 5:44 · North Dakota 0, Nebraska 140-14score after the play0-14score after the playJ.Kaminski sacked for loss of 11 yards to the UND23 (O.Chambliss, O.Stoudmire)▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 13:57 · Nebraska up 17Jamal Rule runs 55 yards for a touchdownNorth Dakota at Nebraska, week 3Q3, 13:57 · Nebraska 24, North Dakota 05555-yard touchdown run5555-yard touchdown run55-yard touchdown runJ.Rule rush left for 55 yards gain to the UND00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 13:45 · North Dakota down 24Jahsear Whittington sacks Jerry Kaminski for a 9-yard lossNorth Dakota at Nebraska, week 3Q3, 13:45 · North Dakota 0, Nebraska 240-24score after the play0-24score after the playJ.Kaminski sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UND26 (J.Whittington)▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 12:36 · North Dakota down 24Dawson Merritt sacks Jerry Kaminski for a 9-yard lossNorth Dakota at Nebraska, week 3Q3, 12:36 · North Dakota 0, Nebraska 24Dawson Merritt's first career sackDawson Merritt's first career sackJ.Kaminski sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UND31 (D.Merritt)▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
North Dakota lost at Youngstown State after being 94% to win; the closest win was against Murray State, down to 3%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave North Dakota during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
North Dakota is worth +10.4 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile of 133 programs
50% at home, 14% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (3-3 home, 2-12 away). Interval ±6.5.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, North Dakota has beaten the number by +6.0 more at home than away over 57 games. That is inside the ±7.0 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Alerus Center seats 12,283 and has averaged 89% full (10,986, 17 games reported). Visitors cover a median 758 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 45 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
How much of North Dakota’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.14; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.05. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.39 raw vs. 0.08 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · North Dakota
Most similar programs · North DakotaReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.