This week · as of Wed Nov 4

8-0, won 8 straight, on track for 11-1 in the regular season.

Now

Career arc

Stature score by season, then after every game this seasonFBS medianJames MadisonUCLAPower Programperennial contenderNational Programrespectable, streakyRegional Programthe building-block levelJames Madison when he took over: 25.6 (Regional Program I), its final 2023 readingtook overJames Madison, 2024: 9-4, Regional Program IJames Madison, 2024: 9-4, Regional Program I2024James Madison, 2025: 12-2, National Program IIIJames Madison, 2025: 12-2, National Program III2025+4.1UCLA when he took over: 38.8 (National Program I), its final 2025 readingtook overUCLA, 2026 preseason: 38.5, National Program IUCLA, 2026 preseason: 38.5, National Program I2026 preUCLA, 2026 after W 45-24 vs California: 38.4, National Program IW 45-24CaliforniaUCLA, 2026 after W 28-10 vs San Diego State: 38.7, National Program IW 28-10San Diego …UCLA, 2026 after W 52-38 vs Purdue: 38.6, National Program IW 52-38PurdueUCLA, 2026 after W 54-3 vs Maryland: 38.9, National Program IW 54-3MarylandUCLA, 2026 after W 17-15 vs Oregon: 39.2, National Program IW 17-15OregonUCLA, 2026 after W 17-7 vs Wisconsin: 40.5, National Program IW 17-7WisconsinUCLA, 2026 after W 28-10 vs Michigan State: 41.1, National Program IW 28-10Michigan S…UCLA, 2026 after W 27-0 vs Nevada: 41.2, National Program IUCLA, 2026 after W 27-0 vs Nevada: 41.2, National Program IW 27-0Nevada-0.3best: 2026, week 8○ the program when he took over · Earlier seasons: one reading each. 2026: preseason, then after each game — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Bowls and playoffs: 1-1

James Madison2024Boca Raton BowlW 27-172025CFP first roundL 34-51

This week Wed Nov 4

  • Last gameW 27-0 vs. Nevada Sat Oct 31
  • This season8-0 won 8 straight
  • On track for11-1 regular season
  • Nextat Minnesota Sat Nov 7
  • Stature35th of 138 FBS programs

What the result changed

  • AP poll #7 → #5 up two
  • Playoff odds 42% → 34% CFB Zeitgeist forecast, before and after

Saturday: at Minnesota

Sat Nov 7, 12 pm ET FOX · Minnesota is 5-3 · First meeting between Chesney and P.J. Fleck as head coaches · UCLA’s chance to win: 73% (the site’s model)

His week

8-0 is in the past”

UCLA coach Bob Chesney sends message to team

Los Angeles Daily News headline · Tue Nov 3

Many stories this week →

The headlines, Nov 1–4 from several outlets

On the podcasts

Offense: 71st of 138 per play. Defense: 1st.

Offense, per play71stOffense, big plays136thDefense, per play1stRun defense1stWorstBest
Offense, per play71st of 138Offense, big plays136th of 138Defense, per play1st of 138Run defense1st of 138WorstBest
Through 8 games. Each tick is an FBS team, adjusted for opponent strength (CFB Zeitgeist model); the dot is UCLA. The other two rows are where UCLA stands furthest from the middle. Early-season numbers move a lot.

4 games left

  1. Sat Nov 7at Minnesota (5-3)FOX73%
  2. Fri Nov 13vs. Illinois (5-3)FOX89%
  3. Sat Nov 21at Michigan (5-3)65%
  4. Sat Nov 28vs. USC (7-2)67%

Percent: UCLA’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.

How the season got here

Where UCLA stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).

30th36th42ndPreseason38thCalifornia W 45-24California W 45-24W 45-24California38thSan Diego State W 28-10San Diego State W 28-10W 28-10San Diego Sta…38thPurdue W 52-38Purdue W 52-38W 52-38Purdue38thMaryland W 54-3Maryland W 54-3W 54-3Maryland38thOregon W 17-15Oregon W 17-15W 17-15Oregon36thWisconsin W 17-7Wisconsin W 17-7W 17-7Wisconsin36thMichigan State W 28-10Michigan State W 28-10W 28-10Michigan State35thNevada W 27-0Nevada W 27-0W 27-0Nevada35th
  1. Oct 26–Nov 1W 27-0 vs. Nevada36 headlines · 17th of 138UCLA coach Bob Chesney’s savage reaction to lack of Rose Bowl crowd: ‘There’s no noise’ Yahoo Sports“There’s no noise”UCLA coach Bob Chesney’s savage reaction to lack of Rose Bowl crowd, Oct 31
  2. Oct 19–25W 28-10 vs. Michigan State13 headlines · 35th of 138Bob Chesney’s UCLA Faces Same Problem That Has Plagued Lincoln Riley’s USC Despite Unbeaten Record Yahoo Sports
  3. Oct 12–18W 17-7 vs. Wisconsin24 headlines · 19th of 138What UCLA Win Over Wisconsin Would Say About Bob Chesney Yahoo Sports
  4. Oct 5–11W 17-15 at Oregon20 headlines · 21st of 138How Bob Chesney has completely turned around UCLA ESPN
  5. Sep 28–Oct 4No game14 headlines · 31st of 138Dan Lanning says Bob Chesney offered to check on Dante Moore in hospital: 'Pretty amazing' USA Today
  6. Sep 21–27 · rebuiltW 54-3 at Maryland12 headlines · 33rd of 138UCLA routs Maryland 54-3 to stay unbeaten under Bob Chesney CBS Sports

Each week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.

Watch the biggest plays from UCLA’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.

Poach watch

This winter

6%chance he leaves this winter for a head-coaching job elsewhere, or an NFL coordinator jobSettled37th-highest of 132 FBS head coaches
0%50%+

Our poach model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, his program, his pay and his background. Ranked against the 132 FBS head coaches this season. The zone words describe the market’s interest; none of them says he is leaving.

What drives his number

The biggest factors in his profile, each against the typical FBS head coach today. The games he has left are priced into the number, not listed here.

  • ▼ Lower
    His first season at UCLA
  • ▲ Higher
    No record for him here before this season · his first year in the job
  • ▲ Higher
    His team is 8-0, outscoring opponents by 20.1 points a game · AP-ranked
How good is this number? It ranks a head coach who leaves for another head-coaching job ahead of one who stays 78 to 82% of the time, and its average came within a point of the share who actually left. What it can’t do

Tested on every FBS head coach from 2012 through 2025, each season scored by a model fit only on the seasons before it. From three games on, given one coach who left for a head-coaching job elsewhere or an NFL coordinator job and one who stayed, it ranked the one who left ahead 79 to 82% of the time; in a season’s first two games, 78%. Its average chance came within a point of the share who actually left. It counts a move a coach makes while he still holds the job; when his school ends it, that doesn’t count, even if another school then hires him.

  • The live number prices the games he has left with the power model’s ratings from this season. The test priced them with each team’s rating from the season before, because ratings made during past seasons were not kept, so this live version could not be replayed.
  • Programs new to FBS have no FBS record before this season in the data it reads, so their coaches are scored without one.
  • It is frozen: it learns nothing from 2026 until a deliberate refit.
  • A coach hired in December needs his background (age, alma mater, the state he was born in) added before his first game, or he shows as not rated.