Louisiana Christian at Southern
Southern (1‑2) hosts Louisiana Christian (1‑0). No market line yet; the model calls it close to even.
How they got here
Last two games · 2025 season
Louisiana Christian · 0-2
Two straight losses, each by 20 or more, including a loss to Hardin Simmons (#427 of 668).
L 17–52 @ Hardin Simmons #427 of 668
L 9–54 @ McNeese #162 of 668
Last three games
Southern · 1-2
Picked #201 in the preseason · now #199 — about right.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 6–77 @ HoustonTop 25 #23 of 669
lost by 71 as a 51.5-point underdog
W 34–15 vs Kentucky State #290 of 669
L 17–30 @ Alabama State #129 of 669
lost by 13 as a 19.5-point favorite
What’s at stake
Louisiana Christian
- Louisiana Christian is the FBS program known for its faithful following.
Southern
- Southern needs 5 more wins in the final 8 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Southern is still shaking off a 71-point loss.
Conditions
90°F · 6 mph wind
Southern is worth +48.5 points (±13.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.
100% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (4–0 home, 0–7 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.6 at home vs. away over 38 games — inside the ±9.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 92 miles to get here.
Recent games
Southern
- Wk 1Lat Alabama State17-30
- Wk 1Wvs Kentucky State34-15
- Wk 2Lat Houston6-77
Louisiana Christian
- Wk 1Wat Northwestern State42-37